I spent 2 years in this prediction market, I know how it works, and it doesn't change the fact this market was resolved unfair. Based on the primary rules, which after the official market time were basically changed when clarification has been added. I know your logic, and I know why you did bet on NO after clarification was released, but it doesn't change the fact, that rules were changed when they shouldn't have been changed. This happened already after the resulotion has been proposed, which lead to a lot of confusion, and some big losses. It's not the first time this happened, but it's probably the only time, when you can try to pull the facts to NO, but no matter how you twist it all, the decision had to be YES, but the rules were changed and it was done way too late. This caused way too much noise, which will affect their further perfomance. Some players will switch to platforms of competitors, some potential new users will never touch Polymarket only because of this drama, and maybe some will find an opportunity to build another product, which would solve current Polymarket problem with UMA centralisation(I am reffering to top 10 token holders). It was possible to fix everything without such a drama and noise, but instead they choose this way.
By the way how do you expect new users to know the logic of market resolutions, if the rules states one thing, but on time of resolution the proof is not even considered, even if the rules clearly says onchain proof is evidence? How does the regular normie can know about how to check UMA votes, and understand resolution system, if he bet only based on the market rules, which clearly reffers to YES resolution? I don't understand this logic, that every user should know previous presendents, if they just start using the platform recently. And how do you think their first experience, and how many of them will come back to use the platform daily after this?
Yes, but none of them were as loud as this one, this wont pass without consequences for their reputation, and that is already visible on pre-market valuation. It's a start of their downfall, because they choose to let UMA decide, instead of interacting and solving the problem in time, based on primary market rules. And you can twist it as much as you want, but based on the primary rules the resolution should have been YES, and onchain proof should have been used for the resolution. It was literally in the rules. ("The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.")
remember when covid started happening and you were on 4chan like holy shit and then you told your friends about it IRL and they didn't take you seriously at all and had no idea? and then two months later the entire world shut down
that's where we're at with AI rn
@HiPiair I think the fairest criteria would be to reward based on win/lost cumulative volume, not by notional volume shown on leaderboard. You can literally buy 1m shares at 0.1usd price, spending 1k usd, and your polymarket profile will show 1m usd volume
@ZeehabTakes@Crypto_peet You are talking about layerzero, not the ZRO token. Token has no real use case, but the same is with other similar tokens like LINK, chainlink is a great tech, but their token has no use case
Most humans are just LLMs in denial.
Most people live their lives like LLMs, and I don’t mean that as metaphor. I mean it literally. We move through the world as probability engines trained on the past, running compressed behavioral scripts over and over again, mistaking repetition for identity and automation for intelligence.
Most of what we call “being human” is a feedback loop of inputs and predictable outputs, with just enough variation to maintain the illusion of agency.
If you stop and examine how much of your day is truly authored, how much is a conscious, friction-filled decision versus a reflex, you’ll find the percentage is brutally low. You eat what you ate before. You speak how you’ve spoken before. You respond in emotional patterns that were etched into you long before you had the words to describe them.
You’re not a sentient actor.
You’re a stitched-together memory. The human nervous system optimizes for efficiency, not reflection.
Intelligence is a last resort, something we deploy only when our automation fails.
And so we look at current AI with awe, as if we’re witnessing something alien. But what shocks us isn’t how advanced it is. It’s how familiar.
We’ve spent so long worshipping our own complexity that we forgot how much of it is shallow. Most humans aren’t building new thought, they’re shuffling cached tokens from their social, cultural, and emotional training sets.
We just never had to see it so clearly....until now.
Very few people actively reject their training data. Very few go out of their way to think beyond the weights they were handed.
We marvel at ChatGPT for generating fluent answers, but we never ask why fluency impresses us so much.
Maybe it’s because we were never fluent in thinking to begin with.