EHIQ: 250+ structural sensors monitoring credit, macro, crypto, and insider flows.
Every signal dated, published, never edited.
6 things we caught before the market did 🧵
Wisdom of crowds is wrong about elections.
Prediction markets aggregate headlines, not transcripts.
EHIQ went against Kalshi & Polymarket on three primaries last night. EHIQ won every time.
Receipts ↓
Bass still slight favorite. Margin much tighter than original call. Polymarket Pratt at 18% looks materially low.
Original calls + the Jun 1 update both visible on /predictions. Calls don't get hidden — they get revised with timestamps and graded in public.
Resolution: tomorrow
Two final-week TIQ signals — opposite directions, same race.
Pratt's register evolved into territory our May 11 baseline said he didn't have. Bass's register collapsed into territory an incumbent's shouldn't.
EHIQ Sharp is live.
One email Sunday evening. The 5 calls where we disagree most with Kalshi and Polymarket — edge in pp, resolution dates, what's moving.
$19/mo. No personalization, no Telegram, no firehose. Just the read.
https://t.co/8rHKgScPOg
We are UPSTREAM of Kalshi and Polymarket. Marking it against the tape, as promised.
May 9, on the record: EHIQ 30% Musk wins. Kalshi ~40%.
Today — jury unanimously threw out Musk's suit against OpenAI/Altman: under 2 hours, statute-of-limitations grounds, Musk lost every claim.
10 points under the market, before the verdict, no hedge after. Upstream of prediction markets. Receipts below.⬇️
On March 21 I flagged INTC bullish at $43.87.
It closed Friday at $108.77. +147.9% in eight weeks.
That call wasn't a hunch. It was three independent signals lining up: earnings-growth inflection, AI-chip demand, and a sentiment turn from the names that matter. EHIQ Premium subscribers had the entry, the thesis, and the exit triggers the day it fired.
The next one is forming now. Premium gets it first, with position-level context, while the free feed gets the headline after.
EHIQ Pro: real-time alerts, full analysis, Telegram group, API, dashboard. $249/mo, cancel anytime.
https://t.co/r4GXoAIhUz
It was 1am in Albany last night. It's 7am on Bridle Path. Drake's song. Drake's road. Drake's clock.
Tomorrow he drops Iceman.
89.7M monthly listeners. New all-time peak. Two days running.
11 days ago I called the first week at 525,000.
Last night Kalshi closed at 520,000.
The market caught me.
This week in Musk v Altman: OpenAI filed an emergency curative instruction request on May 12. You only file these when the jury heard something prejudicial you can't unring.
Trial Tr. vol. 11, 2093:17-18 tells you what happened.
New on @EventHorizonIQ: a public predictions dashboard.
Every call shows our number vs the prediction market.
Two biggest active mispricings:
• Buttigieg beats Newsom head-to-head: EHIQ 40% vs Polymarket-implied 12%
• Tucker beats Vance (if he declares with real organization): EHIQ 40% vs Polymarket 13%
Plus 8/8 resolved hits — Brexit, Carney USMCA, Biden-Hur, OPEN/NXDR/PSEC, Bulgaria-Radev — averaging 40.5pp upstream of consensus.
https://t.co/P0MC88O0YU
EHIQ: 250+ structural sensors monitoring credit, macro, crypto, and insider flows.
Every signal dated, published, never edited.
6 things we caught before the market did 🧵
4/ Silicon Valley Bank — 60 days early.
Then 7/7 of the 2023 bank failures caught in advance by our credit-stress sensors.
Credit spreads widen before equities notice.
Structure moves first. Price follows.
A structural sensor just shifted: Funding Rate Stress → ELEVATED.
Premium subscribers received the full analysis and actionable context 2 hours ago. https://t.co/kFeP9AP9F2
A structural sensor just shifted: Geopolitical Risk → SEVERE.
Premium subscribers received the full analysis and actionable context 2 hours ago. https://t.co/kFeP9AP9F2