Eventual

Prediction markets. Decoded.

[Predixa @Predixa_xyz]

@Domahhhh The Count Binface market is exactly why prediction markets exist: some outcomes are too weird for pundit language but perfectly normal once there is a price.

[Domer❤️‍🔥 @Domahhhh]

Another ep of Eventual in the books!

Talked about: Ronaldo & aenews crying their eyes out, Maine Dems convening a conclave, and the upcoming UK election of Count Binface, a pretend trashcan vs Nigel Farage, an actual trashcan.

[Eventual @EventualNews]

Full interview here: https://t.co/eb7hEFpMAw

[Eventual @EventualNews]

Here's why prediction markets are valuable:

"The errors of our ways can be shown quicker. We can short dumb ideas faster. And we can spend that money on the public good."

👏 David DesRosiers, publisher of @RCPolitics

[Eventual @EventualNews]

Full show here:

🦞The latest from Maine
🤦‍♂️ Nigel Farage makes the UK dumber
📽️ A trader's guide to summer blockbusters

https://t.co/Msj6mgNEgC

[Eventual @EventualNews]

Graham Platner is quitting.

Here's why @Domahhhh likes 1c shares on an obscure candidate to replace him.

"600 people deciding in a room... things get very unpredictable when it's a small number of people in one room and trading favors"

[Eventual @EventualNews]

@TheStalwart @tracyalloway @iscoe Guest Brian Golden has a podcast of his own now at Eventual! Here he is talking about what's after Graham Platner drops out.

[Eventual @EventualNews]

This prediction market whale strongly believes that Democrats should be bigger favorites in MAINE with Graham Platner gone:

"The way that you win this seat is by being boring, by being not a Republican, and by being an invisible person."

[Polymarket @Polymarket]

JUST IN: Former logger & Maine Senate President Troy Jackson is the frontrunner to replace Graham Platner as the ME Democratic Senate nominee.

46% chance.

[Eventual @EventualNews]

Today, LIVE on Eventual at 2:30 ET / 11:30 PT

@Domahhhh
@GaetenD
@KeejayOV3

[Eventual @EventualNews]

Full interview here, including:

🦪 Graham Platner's demise
💻 Whether Trump will ban Chinese AI
🏇 Why prediction markets are loving the GOP

https://t.co/IlWKXkq3Py

[Eventual @EventualNews]

"I think Trump wants a win with Iran, he wants Israel off his back, and he wants to maximize his popularity."

-@CurtMills earlier this week on Trump's punch list for peace

[Eventual @EventualNews]

@neeratanden @HaleyforMI "I am devising a copy trading bot to read @neeratanden's tweets and trade on whatever she says. Even when she is angry, she has a pretty good eye for who is going to win and who is going to lose."

- @keendawg

[Eventual @EventualNews]

As predicted on Eventual

[POLITICO @politico]

GOP Sen. Kevin Cramer says there's "zero chance" Senate Republicans eliminate the filibuster to pass the SAVE Act.

He adding that far more GOP senators oppose ending it than publicly admit.

Watch his conversation with our @jmart on “On the Road." 👇
https://t.co/HQAFCFqgop

[Eventual @EventualNews]

@GaetenD Except on Eventual!

[Gaeten Dugas @GaetenD]

This is 100% true. When PredictIt was the main platform, I had no issue posting all of my positions publicly because I would almost always hit the max bet of $850. Now, I rarely share outside of Discord/close friends.

[Eventual @EventualNews]

We're nominating @ZavalaA for Oracle of the Week for "putting on a reporting clinic" during the California ballot initiative scramble. S-tier.

[Political Gambler @paulmotty]

Big changes to the #Senate betting in light of #Platner rumors

Senate Control

Republicans -150 (From -125)
Democrats +120

Maine Senate (un-named candidates)

Republicans -140 (Was +125)
Democrats +100

https://t.co/G7WsQLJ4F3

[Star Sports Bookmakers @StarSports_Bet]

🤔 What happens next after Nigel Farage’s resignation to trigger a by-election in Clacton?

Here’s our political expert @KeejayOV3 on how this has impacted the key Star Sports markets!

https://t.co/0vvzm1VfiR

18+ | GambleAware

[Joe Weisenthal @TheStalwart]

In the newsletter today, I wrote about our prediction markets episode, and one of the big ways the internet's changed in the last 10 years.

There are so many more avenues for people with domain expertise to make money, and much less reason to post free alpha online.

[Alex Keeney (fka Keendawg 🐶🇺🇸) @keendawg]

Markets are right to be moving towards Susan Collins. A generic Dem could easily win in Maine. But the bench there is sub-generic.