Explistats

Economic Statistics Made Explicit.

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This chart (Gas station retail sales deflated by CPI Gasoline price index) - suggests amount of gas pumped last month was same as 4 years previously. Less driving, EV and fuel efficiency gains?

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Individually price adjusted Food & Beverage Stores sales have stabilized for almost two years at 10% above pre-Covid. Americans eating more at home? Let's hope it's not alcohol sales.

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Vehicle sales ticked up last month but still below pre-pandemic level. Large price increases explain growth in unadjusted sales.

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Our own "real" retail sales index has its components individually deflated. (unlike the headline which deflates all sales by All Items CPI). Dropped below pre-Covid levels.

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Payroll Survey in perspective. Today's report ~60k retail jobs growth in January. Seasonally adjusted. But then, as of last month's report, there had been 60k growth in May. As of today, May is now revised to a 25k LOSS. Seasonal adjustment for you.

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Revisions to payroll survey point to some seasonal adjustment, "thrashing" (to use a mathematical term).
https://t.co/HSGHzMDFs6

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Payrolls survey. Hours worked fell in January, continuing the downward trend in Services. Goods producing still around Jan 2020 levels. Weekly, hourly wages and more: https://t.co/pPFDAruvmb

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State and Metro Area Employment - We just took a look at the latest data to see where jobs are recovering fast and slow, and where wages are going up and down the most. https://t.co/8sR3JRopU9

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@RMKOutFront This started in 2014. US expats having been renouncing citizenship because inability to open local bank accounts was the last straw. https://t.co/AierEdHobo

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Dollar amount of #payrolls in the medical manufacturing industry. Perhaps a change in mix of job types, or maybe wage rises all round. (BLS one month behind in data for this industry.)

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Actually, although Information stands out as a sector, there is a patchwork of positive and negative growth within other sectors.
https://t.co/MFUPX934dW

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Jan. total #payroll jobs growth flat again, with a positive contribution from Information sector. But not the data-processing industry.
https://t.co/XoZqUgoR5I

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Jobs in Accomodation continue to slide from the rebound peak. Payroll dollars keeping track with hours worked.
We can produce these charts for any industry in a few seconds. WE ARE TAKING REQUESTS.

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Total #payroll dollars back to its pre-pandemic peak - despite jobs being more than 3% down from the peak.

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Out and About weekly update. Dining and Travel compared to last year, continues down. Nationwide back at June levels. In California, back even earlier.

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"Out and About" #TSA #opentable Year over year flying and dining continue to decline from their rebound peaks.

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@cvpayne We must wait until early June 2021 for confirmation of that number as of today, but the latest #QCEW , which is based on actual tax returns,shows the "out of business" picture in June 2020.

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@biancoresearch The dining picture here in California. (Note the 7-day mvg avg mutes last few days' drop. For now.)

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Apologies - earlier "Out and About" update, left off new OpenTable and TSA data to yesterday.
Dining-out plummeting in past week.

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Airline and Restaurant jobs updated #payrolls show slight increase in Air, slight drop in Food Services. Inline with @opentable and #TSA numbers.
Tables here: https://t.co/DEf672wCoX