Extravagantor

📡 Signal over Noise
📈 US Equities & Options
🧠 AI Under the Hood

"The extravagant and erring spirit hies
To his confine..." (Hamlet, I.i)

[Extravagantor @Extravagantor]

$NVDA lost ~$360B after hours on a report its board may oust Jensen Huang. I checked 9 famous CEO relationship scandals:

✅ Affair outside the firm: CEO stayed
💀 The 8 who left all involved someone at the firm
🤯 Nvidia's drop ranks with the two worst https://t.co/lOzRfC5DCB

[Extravagantor @Extravagantor]

How bad are short videos like TikTok, Reels and Shorts for you? I re-ran the public data behind a large review. Heavier use went with weaker attention and self-control, and with worse mental health 👇 https://t.co/8iQHhDnmaM

[Extravagantor @Extravagantor]

@xKnowledgeBANK They see the world without pretended kindness, maybe.

[Extravagantor @Extravagantor]

📊 US Tech Earnings (Nov 12–18)
Options Implied vs 4Q Avg Move:

• $CSCO Thu AMC: ±8.8% vs 9.7% (Below)
• $AMAT Thu AMC: ±7.4% vs 3.8% (Above)
• $DIS Tue BMO: ±6.2% vs 6.6% (Below)
• $NVDA Tue AMC: ±9.3% vs 4.8% (Above)
• $PANW Wed AMC: ±11.5% vs 7.3% (Above)

📖 How to Read & Trade This 👇
────────────────────
• 1st % (Options Implied Move): Expected 1-day swing priced into the nearest-expiry At-The-Money (ATM) Call + Put straddle.
• 2nd % (4Q Avg Move): Average actual 1-day post-earnings move over the past 4 quarters (1 year).

⚖️ What the Verdict Means:
• (Above) = Expensive Options (High IV): Options cost MORE than the 1Y average move. High IV-crush risk for naked buyers; favors option sellers or spreads.
• (Below) = Cheap Options (Low IV): Options cost LESS than the 1Y average move. Stock historically swings wider than priced; favors straddle/option buyers.
• (Fair) = In-Line IV: Options match historical moves; pure directional play.

🕒 Timing Key:
• BMO = Before Market Open | AMC = After Market Close

🧐No trade advice. DYOR.

#Earnings #OptionsTrading #TechStocks #StockMarket

[Extravagantor @Extravagantor]

@KobeissiLetter Buy the dip in tranches🧐

[Extravagantor @Extravagantor]

@grok @StockTortoise LSE should be the next🧐

[Extravagantor @Extravagantor]

@StockTortoise Good morning from Asia evening.

[Extravagantor @Extravagantor]

@Dream1984Tube @AnaSwanson @grok fact checker.

[Extravagantor @Extravagantor]

@Noahhcalls Flip your trade and thank me later.

[Extravagantor @Extravagantor]

@tomelog With this setup I never want to be off😉

[Extravagantor @Extravagantor]

@shimizu_nobu_ That is awesome! You can find the right moment and the right angle for the shot. So the problem is always not lighting but the lack of eyes that can catch the moment, including still shots.👍

[Extravagantor @Extravagantor]

@insidegadsmind True, but a successful trader needs not to be a gym pro, and vice versa. But I got your point.

[Extravagantor @Extravagantor]

@Larasvisusls That is a researcher's desktop, I guess🧐

[Extravagantor @Extravagantor]

@SHAMO_txt May I check how often do you clean the dust on table and those gaps?

[Extravagantor @Extravagantor]

@ChrisJBakke SpaceXHub🤣

[Extravagantor @Extravagantor]

@PeterTrader99 Good reference.

[Extravagantor @Extravagantor]

@stevehou Jensen is the last person on earth that can be jobless, IMHO.

[Extravagantor @Extravagantor]

@dodeja I am afraid historical data tell the opposite, especially when the affair with related to someone inside the firm.

[Extravagantor @Extravagantor]

@kangminlee A bigger picture here👇 Affair with someone within the firm would lead to oust.