Ryan Bread

Depressed MN Sports Fan || ball knower || Creator of TheBakery || Lead Prospect Analyst @domainfantasy

[Ryan Bread @FFRybread]

As the CFB Season is wrapping up and we begin to move into the bulk of the Dynasty Offseason, I figure there’s no better time to officially introduce TheBakery!

(I realized I had never actually explained this thing I talk about all the time lol)

[Ryan Bread @FFRybread]

I’m seeing so many Packer Fans justifying Watson’s contract by saying things like:

“his importance isn’t just on the stat sheet”

So you paid the Sacrificial X $110M? Not sure that’s a flex

[Ryan Bread @FFRybread]

If Christian Watson is getting $100M there’s a bubble

10th Highest WR Total Contract Value and 14th Highest AAV smh 🤦

[Ryan Bread @FFRybread]

“and many other teams”

[Lambeau Villain @PackersRunNFC]

Christian Watson was paid as the WR1 that he is…

Would easily be the WR1 for the Bears and many other teams.

Elite talent, big time playmaker gets PAID!

[Ryan Bread @FFRybread]

.@Dylanlarkin39 you, Kirill, Boldy, Hughes, Faber cmon you know you wanna it’d be so cool

[B/R Open Ice @BR_OpenIce]

BREAKING NEWS: Dylan Larkin has requested a trade out of Detroit, per @FriedgeHNIC

[Adam Wexler @AdamJWexler]

A big, bad #Texans good morning from Will Anderson Jr.

[Ryan Bread @FFRybread]

If Christian Watson is getting $100M there’s a bubble

10th Highest WR Total Contract Value and 14th Highest AAV smh 🤦

[Adam Schefter @AdamSchefter]

ESPN sources: Green Bay WR Christian Watson and the Packers reached agreement today on a four-year, $110.5 million contract extension that includes a $31 million signing bonus.

[Ryan Bread @FFRybread]

Someone with unscrupulous amounts of benjamins pls give money to the Gophers

[Adam Schefter @AdamSchefter]

Tennessee received a $130 million investment from Browns owners Dee and Jimmy Haslam, the largest in its university’s history.

https://t.co/ScIO4tVgX3

[Ryan Bread @FFRybread]

@helio__centrist @NoFilm_Analysis Malik Nabers was WR9 and ADP27 as a rookie

Carnell Tate is presently WR10 and ADP32

If you’re taking Tate in the mid-3rd round of a startup, you’re likely expecting him to be your WR1. If he doesn’t have a WR1 season people will be disappointed at the hindsight opportunity cost

[Ryan Bread @FFRybread]

@NoFilm_Analysis I love the things you’re saying to me right now

[Ryan Bread @FFRybread]

If you bid an Early 3rd and get Sorsby it’s a “sick, we got good value”

If you bid an Early 3rd and don’t get Sorsby it’s an “aw shucks, I guess we’ll have to take Arch/Moore/Carr/Sayin/Mensah/Sellers/Chambliss/Maiava”

(All of which have higher Bakery draft grades than Sorsby)

[Ryan Bread @FFRybread]

This doesn’t make sense

All reports said Arch was in the running for 1.01 if he were to have declared for 2026

And you’re tellin me Sorsby > Arch and that is equal to a Late1/Early2?

The math ain’t mathin

TheBakery has a 1st Round Grade on Arch and 3rd Round Grade on Sorsby

[SleeperNFL @SleeperNFL]

If Brendan Sorsby is forced to enter a supplemental draft, he will be a late 1st or early 2nd round pick, per @TonyPauline

“Presently Sorsby is graded higher than Arch Manning by several area scouts as we head towards the season.”

[Ryan Bread @FFRybread]

Not to mention that any team vying for Sorsby right now are better off not using a future 1st on him when the 2027 QB Class is as impressive as it seems

Teams like ARI/CLE/NYJ using a very early 2nd on a QB to still be bad and be in a position to draft a better QB in the 2027 Top5 is malpractice

Bid an early 3rd at best if you’re gonna be picking Top5 regardless of Sorsby’s impact

[Ryan Bread @FFRybread]

@DevyEusuf This is a Jackson Arnold, Ashton Daniels, Kirby Smart tweet

[Ryan Bread @FFRybread]

@RotoSurgeon I can’t wait for you to post ass on the TL

[Ryan Bread @FFRybread]

It’s a work in progress bc your QB can’t progress through his reads

[SleeperNFL @SleeperNFL]

Dolphins HC Jeff Hafley on the team’s passing offense:

“It’s a work in progress.”

[Ryan Bread @FFRybread]

Isn’t this exactly what they did last year?

MHJ moved around the formation less than Wilson last season…

Also wasn’t how pigeonholed MHJ was to playing exclusively X a critique of Petzing after his rookie season?

[SleeperNFL @SleeperNFL]

Mike LaFleur on Arizona’s WRs:

Marvin Harrison Jr. will play the ‘Davante Adams role’ as the X receiver.

Michael Wilson will play closer to the core in the ‘Puka Nacua role’ as the Z receiver.

(@theo_mackie)

[Ryan Bread @FFRybread]

Kewan Lacy - 2027 Bakery RB3 (RB25 since 2015)
Malachi Toney - 2028 Bakery WR1 (WR11 since 2015)
Dante Moore - 2027 Bakery QB1 (QB21 since 2015)

*as of JUNE

[Adam Schefter @AdamSchefter]

Official EA Sports College Football 27 cover featuring Kewan Lacy, Malachi Toney and Dante Moore.

[Ryan Bread @FFRybread]

@florasauto These are prospect grades…

But yes MHJ and BTJ both absolutely can be elite

[Ryan Bread @FFRybread]

Been tinkering with some basic Landing Spot analysis

Following the AJ Brown trade, Makai Lemon is back to WR1 for 2026 based on Adjusted Bakery Grade

He lands firmly in a group of “he might just go the fck off as a rookie” so that’s pretty cool

Hopefully you took him at 1.04 cuz you’ve already got a value win!

[Ian Rapoport @RapSheet]

🚨 🚨 🚨

At last: The #Eagles are trading star WR AJ Brown to the #Patriots, per The Insiders.

It’s a 2028 first-round draft pick and a 2027 fifth-round pick going to Philly, as Brown reunites with coach Mike Vrabel. One of the NFL’s longest runnings sagas ends with a splash.

[Ryan Bread @FFRybread]

@BowTalksBall Golden was so mid as a prospect in TheBakery and he went to a team that had like 90% of its previous year production return

Royals was even worse as a prospect so having a higher landing spot adjustment still didn’t move him up enough to be in this Top25