griff

swing trader/trend trader

[Luc @investingluc]

95% of getting really rich in the markets is just being boring, making a couple really good decisions per year, and surviving long enough to hit escape velocity.

Everything else is slop or a rounding error.

[griff @FFTBtrading]

@TrendSpider $RKLB

[TrendSpider @TrendSpider]

600,000 strong. We couldn't be more grateful.

Not on TrendSpider yet? This is your in.

To celebrate, 6 accounts are on us. 🎉
Follow, like, repost & drop your favorite ticker to enter.

Contest closes 3/11 at market close, winners announced that evening.

[griff @FFTBtrading]

@Mr_Derivatives “If you don't bet, you can't win, but if you lose all your chips, you can't bet." - Larry Hite

#1 priority as a trader is capital preservation. You can’t trade if you lose all your money!

[griff @FFTBtrading]

@JSpitTrades Agreed. Lots of long lower wick candles on spec names but on weak volume - not very convincing for a sustained rally into EOY…

[Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ @shanaka86]

BREAKING: The $610 Billion AI Ponzi Scheme Just Collapsed

Last night at 4pm EST, something unprecedented happened. Nvidia stock rallied 5% on earnings, then crashed into negative territory within 18 hours. Wall Street algorithms detected what humans couldn’t: the numbers don’t add up.

Here’s what they found.

Nvidia reported $33.4 billion in unpaid bills, up 89% in one year. Customers who bought chips haven’t paid for them yet. The average wait time for payment stretched from 46 days to 53 days. That extra week represents $10.4 billion that may never arrive.

Meanwhile, Nvidia stockpiled $19.8 billion in unsold chips, up 32% in three months. But management claims demand is insane and supply is constrained. Both cannot be true. Either customers aren’t buying or they’re buying without cash.

The cash flow tells the real story. Nvidia generated $14.5 billion in actual cash but reported $19.3 billion in profit. The gap is $4.8 billion. Healthy chip companies like TSMC and AMD convert over 95% of profits to cash. Nvidia converts 75%. That’s distress level.

Here’s where it gets criminal.

Nvidia gave $2 billion to xAI. xAI borrowed $12.5 billion to buy Nvidia chips. Microsoft gave OpenAI $13 billion. OpenAI committed $50 billion to buy Microsoft cloud. Microsoft ordered $100 billion in Nvidia chips for that cloud. Oracle gave OpenAI $300 billion in cloud credits. OpenAI ordered Nvidia chips for Oracle data centers.

The same dollars circle through different companies and get counted as revenue multiple times. Nvidia books sales, but nobody actually pays. The bills age. The inventory piles up. The cash never comes.

AI company CEOs admitted it themselves last week. Airbnb’s CEO called it vibe revenue. OpenAI burns $9.3 billion per year but makes $3.7 billion. That’s a $5.6 billion annual loss. The $157 billion valuation requires $3.1 trillion in future profits that MIT research shows 95% of AI projects will never generate.

Peter Thiel sold $100 million in Nvidia on November 9. SoftBank dumped $5.8 billion on November 11. Michael Burry bought put options betting Nvidia crashes to $140 by March 2026.

Bitcoin, which tracks AI speculation, dropped from $126,000 in October to $89,567 today. That’s a 29% crash. AI startups hold $26.8 billion in Bitcoin as collateral for loans. When Nvidia falls another 40%, those loans default, forcing $23 billion in Bitcoin sales, crashing crypto to $52,000.

The timeline is now certain. February 2026, Nvidia reports fourth quarter and reveals how many bills aged past 60 days. March 2026, credit agencies downgrade. April 2026, the first restatement. The fraud that took 18 months to build unwinds in 90 days.

Fair value for Nvidia: $71 per share. Current price: $186. The math is simple.

This is the fastest moving financial fraud in history because algorithms detected it in real time. Human investors are 90 days behind.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

Read the full data driven deep dive article here - https://t.co/sDEf5Mdrtc

[griff @FFTBtrading]

@unusual_whales How about underground ?

[TrendSpider @TrendSpider]

Just needed a quick dust-off after Friday $SPY

[griff @FFTBtrading]

@Mr_Derivatives Gap up to create liquidity from FOMO’ers then institutions will dump all day for a huge bearish engulfing candle 💯

[griff @FFTBtrading]

@KobeissiLetter And each announcement is🚨*BREAKING NEWS* 😂😂

[True market Leader @TmarketL]

Jesse Livermore

[griff @FFTBtrading]

@thestockwhale It’s a joke brother

[griff @FFTBtrading]

@Investingcom Boobs

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

Retail is buying near RECORD levels:

On Monday, retail traders purchased +$3 BILLION of equities after the drop, the largest purchase since 2015.

Last week, retail traders bought +$8 BILLION of equities amid DeepSeek worries.

Has retail ever been this bullish?

(a thread)

[griff @FFTBtrading]

@unusual_whales 2x is boring 🥱 Give me 5x-10x!!! 🕺🏻🕺🏻

[griff @FFTBtrading]

@CramerTracker And I thought “Nothing can stop Palantir, nothing”.$PLTR now down 10% from that tweet 🤣🤣🥲

[Gentle Man @Gentlenmasc]

Don't listen to anyone, here's why👇

[Nancy Pelosi Stock Tracker ♟ @pelositracker]

BREAKING: Pelosi did it 👑

She officially finishes 2024 up 54% and beat out Inverse Cramer for the top portfolio on Autopilot

Never doubt the queen of ...

[griff @FFTBtrading]

@Prof_heist “Teach a man to fish and you feed him for a lifetime”