Fantasy Football Trout

Probability nerd, building @SolioAnalytics

@trout-post.com on bsky

[Fantasy Football Trout @FF_Trout]

0/14 An Application of Stochastic Programming to FPL: robust planning under fixture uncertainty using Linear Optimisation with Recourse ⤵️

[Fantasy Football Trout @FF_Trout]

@sertalpbilal How do you think I travelled?

[Fantasy Football Trout @FF_Trout]

@Mahoney @sertalpbilal Wow! Congrats Mike 🔥🎉

[JC 🚀 @FPL_Spaceman]

You are kicking back after a long day at work, when you spot there is a Friday deadline. Top 10k is within reach. You turn to your FPL solver which generates a nice varied range of paths for you to choose from based on your own inputs and beliefs.

How do you open?

[Solio Analytics @SolioAnalytics]

🚨 LIVE STREAM 🚨

@Pras_fpl and @FPL_Spaceman will be going live this evening with @FF_Trout and @sertalpbilal to discuss the final two gameweeks and reflect on the FPL season.

Starting around 9pm
👉 https://t.co/CwgRheazwO

[JC 🚀 @FPL_Spaceman]

Hedging is back in!

It can be a fairly valid strategy if looking to reduce outcome variability - especially with defcons dampening the negative correlation between opposing defenders and attackers!

This was a draft from @FF_Trout solving for reduced relative risk, for example:

[Rob T @robtFPL]

Individual fixtures are noisy - but across seasons and leagues, market projections reliably outperform a “last 6 games” average

For #FPL, they're generally a much better starting point than recent form

[Rob T @robtFPL]

Early🧵to highlight some of the more reliable #FPL picks from key BGW34 teams

Playing time & output over the last 12GWs 👇

1) LIV (CRY-H)
- Virgil goal threat & DEFCON
- Salah hard to ignore; Szobo mins + set pieces; Wirtz & Gakpo viable options
- Isak still building fitness?

[FPL D-Unit @FPLD_Unit]

Thanks so much to @FF_Trout from @SolioAnalytics for coming on for 2 hours the time just flew past! Great conversations about risk, fixtures, our teams and everything football related with great back and forth bants to top it all off, what a first live guest for the late mail!

[Fantasy Football Trout @FF_Trout]

@FPLNightmare Thanks Andrew, too kind! ❤️

[FPL D-Unit @FPLD_Unit]

Very excited about this! But tomorrow we have our first live guest on the late mail! I am being joined by @SolioAnalytics own @FF_Trout! This man is on WC and I am on FH! I can't wait to have some good FPL banter with this legend! Approx 6pm UK start!
https://t.co/N0bzThzsRa

[Fantasy Football Trout @FF_Trout]

@theFFCfan @FPL_DEVILS @xFPLRobin @SolioAnalytics @sertalpbilal @FPL_Spaceman @Pras_fpl Hi 👋 The EO shown in the tool is a prediction based on current ownership levels of the Solio Analytics mini-league (which is an engaged, somewhat analytics-leaning sample).

[Sertalp B. Çay @sertalpbilal]

Another interactive visualization from the Solio team for FPL.

This time we have generated all possible scenarios for you to check! (There are 2262 of them)

Surprisingly just focusing on 11 scenarios, you can cover more than 51% of all possible combinations.

[JC 🚀 @FPL_Spaceman]

What will the FA cups games this weekend mean for #FPL?

Instead of a graphic this time, we've made an interative tool for visualising the blank and double gameweek permutations 🗓️

Have a play and let me know what you think!

👉 https://t.co/eDHVTOuRdx

[Rob T @robtFPL]

Solio projected #FPL points and picks | GW31

Minutes updated after press conferences - these are the current top projected players & an example FH team ahead of today's deadline 👇

Projections will auto-update until deadline
👉 https://t.co/UyiKmHApoL

[JC 🚀 @FPL_Spaceman]

Had a couple requests for help with people's teams this week, so thought I'd walk through a demo using @lateriser12's team to talk about how I've been using @SolioAnalytics stochastic optimizer to stay flexible for non-WC32 lines. Hope it's useful!

[JC 🚀 @FPL_Spaceman]

whoops a few small errors here is corrected version (csv was correct, just graphic was wrong)

[Fantasy Football Trout @FF_Trout]

We're LIVE

[The FPL Pubcast @FPLPUBCAST]

Please join us at 6pm on Wednesday for the FPL Pubcast where myself, @NickTriggerlips and @FPLNightmare will be previewing GW30 with a very special guest, the awesome @FF_Trout of @SolioAnalytics! 👇

https://t.co/URgiUHLTTm

[Solio Analytics @SolioAnalytics]

📺Gameweek 30 - Planning the doubles and blanks

@Pras_fpl and @FPL_Spaceman discuss everything we've learned about doubles and blanks from the weekend's FA cup results and quarter final draw.

🔗 https://t.co/NVPNxsbQev

[Solio Analytics @SolioAnalytics]

Solio is proud to partner with @CrowdFPL for the rest of the season.

As a community-driven startup, we’re always looking to support others in the #FPL community.

Our GW projections are now featured on https://t.co/hXdg9MyDE2, giving you extra insight when deciding your duels.

[Fantasy Football Trout @FF_Trout]

@FPLNima @AITinkerers @steipete So sad I couldn't make it down to this one - looks like a great & exciting time!