@CryptoJebb #Financialsovereignty#Finsov means to me the freedom to spend more time with family. Taking control of finances and not letting it control you. Put God First and he will guide you in achieving your God Given purpose for the world.
In a few months profits will temporarily flow out of TradFi (cool off phase after IPOs).
People will want to know where to put their money because everything already went up so much.
And there Bitcoin will be, ready to begin the next four year cycle.
Bitcoin breaks $70,000, marking no gain in 5 years. The perma bulls must "literally be shaking".
Avoid labels, trust the data and ride the cycles. The time will come soon to flip.
Plausible path:
Bitcoin forms a low in June (like it did in June 2018 and June 2022).
BTC rallies in July
SPX correction later in year which allows Bitcoin to finally bottom (most likely October)
Four year cycle wins again
While I think BTC bottoms in Q4 2026, the time to start accumulating BTC is often after the drop into the summer.
I basically just ignore Bitcoin for the first half of midterm years, then look for deals in the second half.
You do not have to time bottoms exactly to make money
One reason technological revolutions can create confusing market environments is that productivity gains often take years to materialize.
Capital spending, speculation, and expectations can move much faster.
Markets tend to price future outcomes long before the economy fully experiences them.
Crude Oil, Gold Duds vs. Inflating US Stocks
Spiking crude oil has coincided with US Treasury 30-year yields rising to the highest in about two decades, but the record-setting US stock market appears to be the primary underpinning for inflation. My graphic highlights the plunging price of Brent crude oil vs. the S&P 500, and in 2026, crude/SPX looks like a bear-market bounce. Is it sustainable? My bias leans to unlikely. It may take an extended decline in equity prices for the ratios of gold and crude to SPX to stop dropping.
The crocodile-jaws pattern of declining gold and crude vs. beta -- juxtaposed with US stock-market cap-to-GDP advancing to about a 100-year high alongside rising T-Bond yields -- may suggest what's driving. Federal Reserve easing in 2025, despite the rapidly rising stock market, may be looked upon as adding fuel to an inflation fire.
Full report on the Bloomberg here: https://t.co/mYF8RPazOE {BI COMD}
#gold #crudeoil #stockmarket @BBGIntelligence
🇺🇸 PRO-BITCOIN KEVIN WARSH WILL BE SWORN IN AS FEDERAL RESERVE CHAIR TODAY AT 11:00 AM ET.
Trump will allegedly personally swear him in at the White House.
A new era of monetary policy begins.
Crypto is watching closely.
Dow Jones new ATH closing price, leading the #SP500 and #Nasdaq. This is another sign of:
1) Stocks will likely go higher
2) Markets are nearing the final peak
#18yearcycle#stockmarket
Those that told you that the Bitcoin bull market would last longer and extend into 2026 want you to know why the bear market will be shorter
But those that told you the bear market was starting seem to be the only ones open to it continuing.
Gold's 2026 Stretch May Be Disconcerting and Toppish
The last time gold volatility surged to a similar premium vs. the S&P 500 was in 2006, just before the Great Recession. What's different this time may be disconcerting and unfavorable for the metal's continued appreciation. My takeaway from gold's 180-day volatility -- now about 2.3x that of the S&P 500 -- is that the stock market faces an inordinate burden to keep going up in order for most risk assets not to drop.
Full report on the Bloomberg here: https://t.co/98vh1Vib4y {BI COMD}
#gold #stockmarket @BBGIntelligence
The S&P printed its infamous 3 days down signal, and if history is anything to go by, the rally is done for at least a month.
That doesn't mean we can't see new highs in the coming days, but typically, price won't go too far...
Where this will get interesting is if see see the signal happen AGAIN soon after...
Tune in here for more: https://t.co/6d0JeVxd1P
The 18-Year Cycle continues to unfold at the peak of the cycle phase:
Interest rates rising (yields)
Homebuilders falling
Stock market breadth declining
Tops are a long process, especially after real estate and stock markets have been up for over 14 and 17 years respectively.