FPL Badger

[FPL Badger @FPLBadgers]

GW1 recap:
- Lacklustre BB (10 pts)
Poor choices:
- Shaw vs Aina vs Ajer vs De Cuyper (chose CS odds)
- Anderson vs Odegaard (chose fixtures)
- Schade vs Ndiaye (chose differential)
- Haaland but cap Fernandes (confused strategy)

Got lucky average score was low. Onto Week 2 🙌

[FPL Badger @FPLBadgers]

@TheFatGoalie What does a team like this finish? On paper a bit worse than Bournemouth Brentford Brighton etc so top half is a good season?

[FPL Badger @FPLBadgers]

@FPL__Lad Shaw vs Ipswich

[FPL Badger @FPLBadgers]

@RubenVilla_FPL @FPLPapa He can't simultaneously be back and have fitness worries.

[FPL Badger @FPLBadgers]

@cyberistia It was obvious before the 1st game of the season. 17th twice in a row = prime relegation candidates. Overpaid massively this summer. Starting XI is only good enough for lower-mid table.

[FPL Badger @FPLBadgers]

@Padoua1 @David_Ornstein @TheAthleticFC Are "final points" after 38 games not the most important thing?

[FPL Badger @FPLBadgers]

@norway_fpl Over thinking kills so many FPL points! Often the obvious answers are the right ones.

[FPL Badger @FPLBadgers]

@devilpresh @BigTeezo @TMJ_171 Tielemans ... Most important player in team that made last 8 of world cup.

Fernandes ... couldn't even make squad of team that went out last 16.

[FPL Badger @FPLBadgers]

@devilpresh @BigTeezo @TMJ_171 He has to not get relegated 3 times in a row first.

[FPL Badger @FPLBadgers]

3. Get lucky.

Ultimately we cannot control what happens on the pitch. Many times the margins are fine.

You need a huge amount of luck to achieve an exceptional rank in one season.

But exceptional ranks across multiple seasons implies exceptional skill.

[FPL Badger @FPLBadgers]

I played with Solio to see what was "optimal". I discovered that a huge range of chip strategies and squads were within a few xpts of each other.

This means you can win or do extremely well with almost any approach.

[FPL Badger @FPLBadgers]

2. Form.

Form is basically the eye test (xGI) combined with output (GI). You need to pick up players during these streaks and even better, captain them.

[FPL Badger @FPLBadgers]

1. The Eye test. Consider Gabriel vs Calafiori or White. Those two looked amazing in the Charity Shield. Gabriel didn't do anything.

The eye test suggested 2 players with lower xpts. And the eye test won against Coventry. Odegaard and Tzolis are further proof.

[FPL Badger @FPLBadgers]

What you need to do is own the right players at the right times.

For example there may be 5 defenders all within 0.2 xpts of each other, but one scores 15 and the other 2.

How do we increase our chances of getting the right outcomes?

[FPL Badger @FPLBadgers]

@SuleimanFPL Is that correct order?

Man Utd: 2 red 3 grey.
Newcastle: 1 red 2 grey 2 green.

Newcastle are below Man Utd but their games are easier.

[FPL Badger @FPLBadgers]

@Mordzs_ - Spurs 17th, 17th to ... 5th
- Liverpool shit squad, awful at LB RB DM RW no depth up front ... 4th
- Chelsea two best players couldn't even make world cup
squad, 10th last sesson ... 2nd
- Man Utd 3rd last season, most points in 2026, good signings, same manager. Shit m8.

[FPL Badger @FPLBadgers]

@FPL_Zlatan Champions: Arsenal
Top 4: Arsenal, Man Utd, Man City, Chelsea
Surprising team: Bournemouth
Biggest disappointment: Villa
Relegated teams: Hull, Ipswich, Coventry
POTY: Haaland
YPOTY: Rayan
Breakthrough player: Madjo
Flop of the season (club, manager or player): Liverpool

[FPL Badger @FPLBadgers]

@olibtyh @PlanetFPLPod I see BB as GK DEF DEF FWD so 3/4 are defensive players.

[FPL Badger @FPLBadgers]

@olibtyh @PlanetFPLPod I also like BB1 with triple Arsenal and double Man Utd defence. That is 5/6 (including GKP) with insane clean sheet odds.