FPL Market Edge

⚽ Finding FPL players the market overlooks before the consensus catches on.

📊 Machine learning xP models
🧾 100% transparent tracking
🧵 Weekly data previews

[FPL Market Edge @FPL_Market_Edge]

17 points. £5.5m.
The model flagged Groß before the deadline.

That’s the edge.

[FPL Market Edge @FPL_Market_Edge]

Less than 2 hours to deadline ⏳

If you’re looking for a cheap way into this GW, the model is still very high on:

🟢 João Pedro £7.7m — 5.21 xP
🟢 Rogers £7.6m — 5.07 xP
🟢 Groß £5.5m — 4.46 xP

Sometimes the edge isn’t finding the biggest name. It’s finding the value before everyone else does.

[FPL Market Edge @FPL_Market_Edge]

Groß was still 4th in our GW5 model despite the Arsenal fixture.

5.06 xP | £5.6m
Another week where the model backed him.

And Groß delivered.

[FPL Market Edge @FPL_Market_Edge]

GW5 is locked in.

🎯 Haaland -- 6.46 xP
⚔️ Gibbs-White -- 5.95 xP
🥉 Bruno -- 5.21 xP
💰 Groß -- £5.6m | 5.06 xP

No hype. No hindsight.
Just the numbers.

Let’s see what GW5 brings.

[FPL Market Edge @FPL_Market_Edge]

GW5 is locked in.

🎯 Haaland -- 6.46 xP
⚔️ Gibbs-White -- 5.95 xP
🥉 Bruno -- 5.21 xP
💰 Groß -- £5.6m | 5.06 xP

No hype. No hindsight.
Just the numbers.

Let’s see what GW5 brings.

[FPL Market Edge @FPL_Market_Edge]

With João Pedro out, who rises up the rankings?

Marcus Tavernier (£6.1m)
📈 4.87 xP (5th overall in our GW5 model)
💎 0.80 Value

He wasn't on everyone's radar…

But the math put him right there.

[FPL Market Edge @FPL_Market_Edge]

@FPL_Gaurav Yea

[FPL Market Edge @FPL_Market_Edge]

@ChampShowDown Let’s see if he can reward the faith this GW.

[FPL Market Edge @FPL_Market_Edge]

GW5 Captaincy Watch 🎖���

Haaland leads the model by a clear margin:

👑 Haaland -- 6.46 xP
Gibbs-White -- 5.95 xP
Bruno -- 5.21 xP

But if you don't own Haaland…
Is Gibbs-White the one to go for?

[FPL Market Edge @FPL_Market_Edge]

GW5 defensive value

🛡️ Leif Davis -- £4.0m | 3.54 xP
🛡️ Jayden Bogle -- £4.5m | 3.93 xP
🛡️ De Cuyper -- £4.8m | 4.13 xP

Cheap defenders. Strong projections.
Worth a look before the deadline.

[FPL Market Edge @FPL_Market_Edge]

@bennyjoyce82 Model's not especially high on Muñoz this week; 2.39 predicted, sits around #50 among defenders. You can also have a rethink about Shaw, as he's still injured and might not start even if he plays.

[FPL Market Edge @FPL_Market_Edge]

Gibbs-White.

£7.9m | 5.95 xP
The model has him 2nd overall, ahead of Bruno, Mbeumo, João Pedro and Isak.

That's a name I'm watching closely this week

[FPL Market Edge @FPL_Market_Edge]

@UncStatus_67 No. He's second to Haaland

[FPL Market Edge @FPL_Market_Edge]

@Maradoniale Start for me. He’s 4th in our GW5 model at 5.06 xP. Arsenal is a tough one, but I’m backing Groß again.

[FPL Market Edge @FPL_Market_Edge]

GW5 is locked in.

🎯 Haaland -- 6.46 xP
⚔️ Gibbs-White -- 5.95 xP
🥉 Bruno -- 5.21 xP
💰 Groß -- £5.6m | 5.06 xP

No hype. No hindsight.
Just the numbers.

Let’s see what GW5 brings.

[FPL Market Edge @FPL_Market_Edge]

@UncStatus_67 Thanks. It'll be available every week

[FPL Market Edge @FPL_Market_Edge]

17 points. £5.5m.
The model flagged Groß before the deadline.

That’s the edge.

[FPL Market Edge @FPL_Market_Edge]

Less than 2 hours to deadline ⏳

If you’re looking for a cheap way into this GW, the model is still very high on:

🟢 João Pedro £7.7m — 5.21 xP
🟢 Rogers £7.6m — 5.07 xP
🟢 Groß £5.5m — 4.46 xP

Sometimes the edge isn’t finding the biggest name. It’s finding the value before everyone else does.

[FPL Market Edge @FPL_Market_Edge]

Who captained João Pedro?
The model had him 3rd for GW4, behind Haaland and Bruno.

[FPL Market Edge @FPL_Market_Edge]

GW4 Captaincy Watch...

Haaland leads the model at 5.74 xP, with Bruno close behind at 5.34.
But if you don’t own either, the model has some interesting alternatives:
🥉 João Pedro — 5.21 xP
4️⃣ Rogers — 5.07 xP
5️⃣ Mbeumo — 4.95 xP
Haaland is the model’s pick.

Who wears your armband for GW4?

[FPL Market Edge @FPL_Market_Edge]

@Hatchh99 De Cuyper is actually rated more highly than Thaw by our model for this week

[FPL Market Edge @FPL_Market_Edge]

Less than 2 hours to deadline ⏳

If you’re looking for a cheap way into this GW, the model is still very high on:

🟢 João Pedro £7.7m — 5.21 xP
🟢 Rogers £7.6m — 5.07 xP
🟢 Groß £5.5m — 4.46 xP

Sometimes the edge isn’t finding the biggest name. It’s finding the value before everyone else does.

[FPL Market Edge @FPL_Market_Edge]

@Fantasy_Shazam Saka didn’t make our top 15 this week. Sunderland away is the big question mark for me though.

[FPL Market Edge @FPL_Market_Edge]

GW4 Captaincy Watch...

Haaland leads the model at 5.74 xP, with Bruno close behind at 5.34.
But if you don’t own either, the model has some interesting alternatives:
🥉 João Pedro — 5.21 xP
4️⃣ Rogers — 5.07 xP
5️⃣ Mbeumo — 4.95 xP
Haaland is the model’s pick.

Who wears your armband for GW4?