Relevant headline:
Ukraine war briefing: Zelenskyy hails โgood progressโ on minerals deal talks
Affecting the following market:
https://t.co/oORVikWVly
Relevant news detected!
Trump Waved Off Planned Israeli Strike on Iranian Nuclear Sites
https://t.co/6SE5yT2h4c
Affecting the following market:
https://t.co/1xF7UIjr4u
The following market: https://t.co/zdDUEu49OR is tied.
However, take a look at how the expected result has been shifting over the afternoon.
19:59 -> 8.2% difference
21:11 -> 8.0% difference
22:00 -> *7.9*!! (Actually still over 8 depending on how the rounding is done)
The following market: https://t.co/zdDUEu49OR is tied.
However, take a look at how the expected result has been shifting over the afternoon.
19:59 -> 8.2% difference
21:11 -> 8.0% difference
22:00 -> *7.9*!! (Actually still over 8 depending on how the rounding is done)
Our estimate for the Iceland election is that the biggest party will be the Social Democrats at 90% probability.
Polymarket says its 61% as of now.
We also bet against the Independence party, currently at 10%.
https://t.co/JmWW1h0gEI
Results of the Ecuatorian ๐ช๐จ Presidential Elections (First Round):
Daniel Noboa (Center-right) โ 44.31%
Luisa Gonzรกlez (Left-wing) โ 43.83%
Leonidas Iza (Far-left) โ 5.26%
Andrea Gonzรกlez (Environmentalist) โ 2.71%
Huge drop on Polymarket odds for Noboa, andโก๏ธ