Fabrice Pothier

CEO @rasmussenglobal; ex policy chief @NATO (2010-2016); co-founder #TCEI

[Fabrice Pothier @FabricePothier]

Moving visit to #Irpin - only reason to shell & air bomb a residential area is to terrorise population

Putin’s dark mix of stalinism and terrorism

Yet touching to see fortitude of Ukrainians- 🇺🇦 flags planted to say they will rebuild; message calling for ‘Make Europe Not War’

[Bojan Pancevski @bopanc]

The German Chancellery found out the exact timing of Russia's invasion of Ukraine not from @CIA or BND but from...myself, according @W_Schmidt_, ex-Minister of the Chancellery, overseer of Germany's intel services & chief aide to @KanzlerScholz. True story. @WSJ #Lanz

[expansioncom @expansioncom]

Nos acompañan @FabricePothier, CEO de @rasmussenglobal, @NATORomeroC, director of Security Policy @NATO, Alan Solomont, presidente de @camarascomercio de España en EEUU y Joaquín Almunia, exvicepresidente y excomisario europeo de Competencia

#ForoInternacionalExpansion

[Rasmussen Global @rasmussenglobal]

Everyone at RG is proud to be recognized today by the Russian Prosecutor General’s office as "Undesirable" for “implementing a full-scale information, propaganda and agitation campaign to mobilize the maximum possible military and financial assistance to the Kyiv regime.” 🇺🇦

[Georg von Harrach @georgvh]

NATO's former policy chief @FabricePothier says Biden long-range missile consent comes too late #ukraine #c4news https://t.co/BJQdirpqAT

[The Debate – France 24 @F24Debate]

🇪🇺"We need to learn the art of escalation in order to restore stability in Europe"
@rasmussenglobal's @FabricePothier on addressing Putin #F24Debate⬇️

[Le Débat – France 24 @DebatF24]

🇺🇦 "Pour que l’#Ukraine reste indépendante, libre et souveraine" son adhésion à l’#OTAN est envisagée

@FabricePothier, ancien Chef de l'Unité d'Analyse de Politique générale à l’OTAN, invité de @StphAntoine ce soir sur @FRANCE24

📲 Vos réactions ⬇️

[Fabrice Pothier @FabricePothier]

Exactly two years ago Vladimir Putin attacked Ukraine and declared war against Europe

We should not forget and we should keep fighting

Slava Ukraini!

[Fabrice Pothier @FabricePothier]

Slava EUkraini! 🇺🇦🇪🇺 https://t.co/cyVOLXbKaS

[Fabrice Pothier @FabricePothier]

@RymMomtaz Because it makes a faction stronger over others. In this case those who (still) believe dialogue can somehow settle the matter

[Fabrice Pothier @FabricePothier]

@jensstoltenberg @ZelenskyyUa Well rhetoric matters but actions more: will you call a meeting of the @Nato Ukraine Council to consult on security developments in the Black Sea.

That’s a credibility test and fresh from #Vilnius Nato should meet it. If not what’s the whole fuss about!

[Fabrice Pothier @FabricePothier]

@ZelenskyyUa @jensstoltenberg @NATO Would be perfectly legitimate for @ZelenskyyUa to invoke Nato Ukraine Council’s consultative mechanism - article 4 - after more than 4 days of 🇷🇺 strikes against Odessa. Will frustrate many @Nato diplomats on vacation but yet again 🇺🇦 reminds them of geopolitical reality!

[Fabrice Pothier @FabricePothier]

Good to see friends @APUkraine Dasha Zarivna & Ihor Shovkva after intense work twds @NATO #VilniusSummit

Some real results but hard work starts now:

/ integrate 🇺🇦 ever more Nato

/ turn security guarantees declaration into concrete commitments (already 17 co-guarantors!)

[Fabrice Pothier @FabricePothier]

Great exchange w @StefanishynaO on @NATO #VilniusSummit & how Nato Ukraine Council can become an engine for 🇺🇦 integration in Nato

All the way to #2024WashingtonSummit

[Fabrice Pothier @FabricePothier]

🇺🇦 MilTech journey continues w @Yegor_au from Brave 1 Ukraine followed by visit of drone training academy

W 🇷🇺 beefing up drone warfare, 🇺🇦 needs to scale up:
- access to Nato critical components inc chips, optics
- more anti-jamming systems
- larger training program

[Fabrice Pothier @FabricePothier]

Some Nato voices have used disingenuous arguments against Ukraine’s @NATO ambitions:

❌ 🇺🇦 membership during war is impossible

✔️Ukraine sought commitment for invitation as soon as war ends

❌ 🇺🇦 needs to say more thank you.

✔️Every speech of @ZelenskyyUa starts w big 🙏

[Fabrice Pothier @FabricePothier]

@CER_IanBond It was a long journey from concept to political reality, and even tougher negotiations to have the key parameters for strong security guarantees.

Agree that more guarantors outside G7, the stronger. That’s the plan

[Fabrice Pothier @FabricePothier]

@camille_grand It all depends on the kind of agenda it will develop - secondary items or laying out terms for membership

[Fabrice Pothier @FabricePothier]

YES WE - ⁦@ZelenskyyUa⁩ ⁦@AndriyYermak⁩ ⁦@AndersFoghR⁩ Dasha Zarivnaya et all - DID IT 👏 👍 https://t.co/AroJS5kYdd

[Fabrice Pothier @FabricePothier]

And finally fact that:

- They will become legal/political binding texts w each guarantors matters

- so does mention that they fit in broader context of UA’s #EU & @NATO aspirations- no substitute but bridge

In short: strong substance BUT lots of work on details .

[Fabrice Pothier @FabricePothier]

#G7 leaders will v soon sign w @ZelenskyyUa a joint declaration on security guarantees. This is modeled on #KyivSecurityCompact I developed w @AndersFoghR @AndriyYermak & great @rasmussenglobal 🇺🇦 team

It matters on several counts:

1/

[Fabrice Pothier @FabricePothier]

On substance - 2 key:

- the 4 critical domains of support - weapons, intel, training & defense industrial base - are there & will provide base for specific bilateral agreements

- Mention of immediate consultations w 🇺🇦 in case of future 🇷🇺 attack is also critical new element