Fajar Cahyono

Finance, Macro Economics & Geopolitics

[Fajar Cahyono @FajarCMacro]

If you are losing big money on trading, listen to me

That's is not the market's fault

That's not because you can't analyze

That's not because they manipulated the market

That's about positioning, size & patience to wait for right setup

Risk NO MORE than 1% capital per trade

[Fajar Cahyono @FajarCMacro]

OIL PRICE RISE 📈

GOLD PRICE RISE 📈

SILVER PRICE RISE 📈

US TREASURY YIELDS RISE 📈

$BTC RISE 📈

$ETH RISE 📈

TODAY IS RISING DAY 📈📈📈

[Fajar Cahyono @FajarCMacro]

$65,400 target for $BTC has been hit under 10 hours of this analysis (from $64,200 pivot point)

Next target is depending on whether $BTC can break and hold above $65,400 or not

#BTC #Crypto #Market

[Fajar Cahyono @FajarCMacro]

@AshCrypto Short term upside target for $BTC is $65,400. Invalidation if price break & hold below $64,000

If price break below $64,000, next stop is $62,500

[Fajar Cahyono @FajarCMacro]

@zerohedge If British Oil & Gas production continue to decline, the impact for ordinary people may come through higher energy bills, rising costs for transport and goods, weaker regional jobs, and less government revenue

Not an immediate crisis—but a growing long-term economic risk

[Fajar Cahyono @FajarCMacro]

@unusual_whales Great news for traders outside USA such as expats who live in the other side of the world

[Fajar Cahyono @FajarCMacro]

@AshCrypto Short term upside target for $BTC is $65,400. Invalidation if price break & hold below $64,000

If price break below $64,000, next stop is $62,500

[Fajar Cahyono @FajarCMacro]

@Polymarket China is projected to produce 100,000+ humanoid robots this year, up from roughly 20,000 last year

Humanoid robot's main function is to use human-like movement and perception to work alongside people or in environments designed for people

[Fajar Cahyono @FajarCMacro]

@KobeissiLetter Margin debt is the market’s hidden accelerant

When leverage rises alongside weak breadth, high valuations, and falling prices, a normal correction can trigger margin calls, forced selling, and a self-reinforcing liquidity spiral

[Fajar Cahyono @FajarCMacro]

@DeItaone That would put $NVDA total Market Cap. at $8.5 Trillion Dollars

$NVDA needs at least $630-840 Billion Dollars of Revenue with $250 Billion Dollars income to justify that valuation

[Fajar Cahyono @FajarCMacro]

@unusual_whales Meanwhile bond yields : 📈📈📈📈

[Fajar Cahyono @FajarCMacro]

@StockMKTNewz That's around $120-150 million of total purchase if we use $240,000-300,000 average $TSLA Semi trucks price

$ENRD has $919 million market cap and this Semi trucks purchase alone is roughly 15% of their total market cap

[Fajar Cahyono @FajarCMacro]

@unusual_whales Oil Prices could be 📈

Inflation could be 📈

Bond Yields could be 📈

[Fajar Cahyono @FajarCMacro]

@DeItaone America may have already spent its geopolitical insurance, The Strategic Petroleum Reserve

If another supply shock hits before it’s refilled, crude volatility and fuel-driven inflation could surge

The SPR now become a vulnerability

[Fajar Cahyono @FajarCMacro]

@KobeissiLetter NIKE stock -78% down is because of a perfect storm : DTC overreach, weak innovation, China implosion, tariff/margin squeeze, and repeated guidance shocks

Once the ultimate quality/growth name, now a 25‑year relative underperformance story

[Fajar Cahyono @FajarCMacro]

@DeItaone For me, $325 is the cleanest call

The reason is :

Close to Street consensus, so it’s credible

Upside still looks attractive at ~20–25%

AWS reacceleration + ad growth + margin leverage can support it

If AWS keeps compounding, $350 becomes the next realistic stretch

[Fajar Cahyono @FajarCMacro]

@unusual_whales Iran-Oman deal is bigger than diplomacy

If this holds, it could cut shipping risk in the Strait of Hormuz, ease freight and insurance costs, and shave some geopolitical premium off oil

[Fajar Cahyono @FajarCMacro]

@DeItaone The stock market’s midterm-election pattern :

Volatility usually rises before the vote—but history has rewarded investors who stayed invested afterward

And, since 1962, the S&P 500 has been higher 12 months after every U.S. midterm election in the historical sample

$SPY

[Fajar Cahyono @FajarCMacro]

@unusual_whales Now how is the economy doing from the standpoint of 99.9% of people?

[Fajar Cahyono @FajarCMacro]

@jimcramer Compute Power

Huawei’s Ascend 950PR is reported at 1.56 PFLOPS FP4, versus Nvidia H20 at about 0.56 PFLOPS FP4

Huawei's Ascend 910B is reported at roughly 256–320 TFLOPS FP16

Huawei's Ascend 910C is reported at about 800 TFLOPS FP16, versus Nvidia H100 at about 989 TFLOPS FP16

[Fajar Cahyono @FajarCMacro]

@NoLimitGains Because of Chinese softer consumption, property-sector deflation, and subdued private investment that reducing expectations for future interest rates and corporate borrowing demand

Combine that with high household savings and weak demand for loans that banks with surplus cash

[Fajar Cahyono @FajarCMacro]

@DeItaone When Japanese funding becomes more expensive or less attractive because of rising yields and inflation expectations, leveraged global positions can unwind, which tends to hit higher-risk assets like growth stocks, emerging-market debt, and crypto