Manu

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

*IRAN TO WITHDRAW FROM TRUCE DEAL IF ATTACKS ON LEBANON CONTINUE

[Don’t Follow Shardi B If You Hate Money @ShardiB2]

Ok, I am going to give you the full $BTC breakdown here with levels, what to watch for, game plan, what to do next IMO, etc.

If you like this, I am doing this with the $QQQ and $SPY now in the Subscription channel so you know what to look out for, including some trade setups if they present themselves.

BTC DAILY –

1. Trend Structure: Completely broken

BTC has shifted from a controlled pullback to a full trend break:

Price has sliced through the 20/50/100/200 EMAs with no reaction, sellers are in control.

Track line is RED

This is the deepest extension under the 20/50 EMAs since the March 2020–style washouts.

Structurally:

Lower highs → lower lows

No swing-low support respected

Compression → breakdown → accelerating momentum

This is a trend-down environment, not a range.

2. RSI: Capitulation-level oversold

RSI is sitting around 21, which is rare for BTC on the daily:

Historically, BTC only gets <25 RSI during washout / V-reversal zones.

But RSI can stay pinned in a downtrend — oversold ≠ buy.

This means downside is extended, but not yet invalidated.

3. Key Horizontal Levels (my yellow lines)

The ones that matter now:

Immediate Region (Current ~83k)

84,028 ← broken

82,983 ← current battle zone

80,473

Below that begins the real air pocket:

Major Support Cluster

78,403

76,724

70,243 ← major high-timeframe level

65,666 ← next must-hold

62,654

If BTC loses 76,700 with momentum, the chart opens a glide path to 70k → 66k quickly.

There is no strong support between 82k → 77k besides fib/micro levels.

4. The Candle Structure: This is aggressive, not controlled

The last four daily candles:

Large bodies

Minimal wicks

Each closing near lows

Accelerating range expansion

This is textbook momentum liquidation

This is similar to:

Dec 2021 unwind

May 2021 forced-deleveraging

March 2023 banking panic (mirror direction)

When this structure appears, it usually requires:

a flush into a major level

OR a sharp V-reversal

But until a base forms, momentum is the trend.

5. Volume Proxy (even though “no data” shows):

The candles themselves tell you volume was heavy:

Long red candles

Successive breakdowns

No meaningful intraday recovery

Even without visible volume bars, the range expansion confirms high transactional volume, almost certainly driven by liquidations.

6. The Pattern Context

This selloff broke:

The high-timeframe uptrend

The multi-month consolidation

The neckline around 108k → 103k

Rising 200-day EMA

This is no longer a bull flag or a pullback.

BTC is now in post-distribution breakdown conditions.
There is a small chance this is an overshoot liquidation → reclaim, but until a daily reclaim happens, that is not the primary case.

7. Bullish Cases (but require confirmation)

Bull case trigger #1:

BTC reclaims 87,000 → that’s the first real hint of a failed breakdown.

Bull case trigger #2:

BTC closes back above 95,701 → this confirms the low was a capitulation bottom.

Bull case trigger #3:

A daily bullish engulfing after a 10–20k intraday flush.

Without one of these:

Trend stays bearish.

8. Bearish Continuation Path

Below 82,983, my chart favors:
Next stops

80,473
78,403

76,724

If 76,700 breaks cleanly → BTC has a vacuum down to:

70,243

65,666

65k is your high-timeframe must-hold.
If that goes → the structure fully resets.

9. What's the best move here?

If bullish:

Wait for confirmation, don't try to predict:

Daily close back above 87k

OR bullish engulfing candle

OR intraday reclaim after a flush to 76–70k
If bearish/tactical:

Ride downside toward 76k → 70k

Tighten stops above 87k

Only switch your bias once BTC reconquers lost structure IMO

10. Summary: TLDR

BTC is in unambiguous trend-down, the worst daily momentum loss of the year

We are entering a capitulation zone, but not a reversal zone yet.

Watch these levels in order:

Resistance to reclaim

87,049

90,049

95,701

98,966

Supports below
82,983 (current)

80,473

78,403

76,724

70,243

65,666

62,654

A reclaim of 87k is the first sign the low is in

A break of 76.7k opens the trapdoor to 70k → 66k

Happy Trading 🍀

[Peter Schiff @PeterSchiff]

Bitcoin finally broke below $100K. But the bigger crash is happening in Ether, which is about to break below $3K. That's almost a 40% decline from its record high set in August. Ether has already lost all of its 2025 gains. Bitcoin will soon surrender all of its 2025 gains too.

[Doctor Profit 🇨🇭 @DrProfitCrypto]

I WAS BEARISH WHEN 99% WERE BULLISH

AND 99% OF X HATED ME FOR THIS

I WAS JUST YOUR MESSENGER!

I HOPE YOU UNDERSTAND

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

TRUMP, ASKED IF HIGH CHINA TARIFFS WILL STAND: NO

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

S&amp;P FUTURES +1%
NASDAQ FUTURES +1.2%
BRENT CRUDE EXTENDS GAIN ABOVE 1% AS TRUMP EASES TONE ON CHINA

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

*VANCE: TRUMP WILLING TO BE REASONABLE NEGOTIATOR WITH CHINA

*VANCE: TRUMP HOPES US DOESN'T NEED TO USE LEVERAGE ON CHINA

*VANCE: WE APPRECIATE FRIENDSHIP TRUMP DEVELOPED WITH CHINA'S XI

[totocaputo @LuisCaputoAR]

Tenés razón Grabois. Hace 20 meses ustedes habían dejado un país parecido a Suiza y la sociedad injustamente votó a @JMilei , a pesar del laburazo que habían hecho.
Además siempre fuiste un tipo educado, respetuoso de la propiedad privada, y con ideas económicas que jamas fracasaron. Yo creo que te mereces ser presidente.

[Mundo en Conflicto 🌎 @MundoEConflicto]

🔴 #URGENTE | Israel bombardea Qatar.

[Manu @FenrirIT]

RT @UHN_Plus: 🇶🇦🇮🇱🇵🇸‼️ | URGENTE — Israel lanza un ataque en Doha contra líderes de Hamás, según reportes iniciales.

[Pineapple PAPL @PAPLpineapple]

Pineapple Financial $PAPL is pleased to announce a $100M private placement to create the world’s first Injective Digital Asset Treasury.

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[Injective 🥷 @injective]

Today, the Injective ecosystem takes a historic step in bringing $INJ to Wall Street for the first time.

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The transaction attracted leading investors across traditional finance and crypto, including FalconX, Monarq, Abraxas, @blockchain, Canary Capital, @krakenfx, the Injective Foundation, and many others.

$100 Million to Start. Infinite More Ahead.

[The Wolf Of All Streets @scottmelker]

NEW: INJECTIVE $INJ LAUNCHES FIRST EVER ONCHAIN NVIDIA $NVDA GPU DERIVATIVE MARKET

[EliZ @eliz883]

wealth is built in desperation and when everyone is REKT

but few understand it! discounts generationals appen rarely! exploit them with intelligence and then remain patient that little by little your fruits will ripen

The faster and more violent it is, the more of a gift it will be! So pray that it is more violent!

[EliZ @eliz883]

thank your friend trump

it makes me happy because I have so many cartridges to shoot for many opportunities and the discipline to fight

but I feel sorry for many new guys here and beginners who are left without a mutant! but it's part of the game! at the beginning everyone loses! so don't get discouraged

[EliZ @eliz883]

i love it! powell will have to go into action soon

MOREEEEE

[EliZ @eliz883]

Im euphoric for next days

[Watcher.Guru @WatcherGuru]

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Over 50 countries have reached out to President Trump to negotiate new trade deals, US National Economic Council Director says.

[EliZ @eliz883]

generational opportunity

but 90% have already burned everything with mental degeneration

the world of investments and trading is for a few

[John @CryptoGodJohn]

Ethereum is truly pathetic