GFS has been very consistency with the idea of newly-formed #Melissa moving into Hispaniola in a few days. Of course consistency doesn't always equal accuracy, and lots of other models have been pretty consistent on other outcomes. Hopefully we'll get some clarity on this soon. One thing to consider: GFS shows the storm becoming vertically aligned pretty quickly, and right now that isn't the case. So if it doesn't align and deepen soon, GFS is probably too quick to bring this north.