Fhantom

Full time gambler, part time winner
Working on @HiveliveHQ

[Fhantom @FhantomBets]

Prediction markets just leaked the entire Spotify Wrapped a day early.

In October, prediction markets leaked the Nobel Peace Prize winner the night before the announcement. This month, the same trick leaked Spotify Wrapped’s top artists.

Just like Nobel site, The Spotify Newsroom blog is run on WordPress. If you know where to look, you can query when they upload new images to the media library. Anyone who studied previous years would know that Spotify uploads the Wrapped graphics there before the blog post going live.

So if you’re watching that feed, you can see tomorrow’s “big reveal” today, and trade on it before any public announcement.

All year, Spotify’s streaming numbers are public, so most of the prediction markets on the event were already trading above 90%, but one ranking was a big surprise.

Drake was on track to finish as the #3 artist globally, ahead of the Weeknd by over 2 billion streams. On the leaked graphic, he suddenly shows up at #4. This is likely tied to Spotify’s recent lawsuit over botted streams. It looks like they filtered out a huge chunk of Drake’s streams.

The market on Drake was trading >95% yesterday morning and then began to dump and this image hit the site and traders discovered it. I got rinsed because I assumed the streaming numbers were static. Turns out Spotify can (and did) rewrite the data.

Spotify wrapped officially drops tomorrow, but if you take a quick online web scraping course, you can figure out the whole list a day early!

[Fhantom @FhantomBets]

Prediction markets are hard..

[PredictionMarketTrader @PredMTrader]

People will say prediction markets are hard when all you need to do is buy Pratt no

[Fhantom @FhantomBets]

@ToonMatthewT1 How many people named William Henry Harrison

[Fhantom @FhantomBets]

@0xMerp Still don’t know what to think. The dispute regulars cleaned up big time here, I stayed mostly out (paid 12k on N to lock in profit of my Yes shares), but feels weird to see the herd load up so much on NO.

[Fhantom @FhantomBets]

@Euanker @Domahhhh @Frosen Me when I lie

[Fhantom @FhantomBets]

@0xMerp @defidave I walked by this spot and looked at their menu a few weeks ago, pretty close to authentic Northern food, just missing 1-2 dishes, no need for salmon, replace with Branzino

[Fhantom @FhantomBets]

@GaetenD @BunchuBets @mikita_crypto @PolymarketTrade @PolymarketSport @Polymarket You and bunchu are uncs. Don't interact with these slopposters, and if you do, just QT and say "don't interact with these slopposters"

[Fhantom @FhantomBets]

@deepvaluebettor @Aella_Girl The comedian at the Harvard commencement speech

[Fhantom @FhantomBets]

@EventWavesIO Something about 'I have never walked into any store or business and walked out with more money.'

[bunchu @BunchuBets]

Jannik Sinner is my peer.

[Fhantom @FhantomBets]

@mattkalish Matt, let me dm you to explain how we run tournaments with @HiveLiveHQ . I’m an OG in the PM space and know how to do this right

[Fhantom @FhantomBets]

@mattkalish @JonahMonty On another topic, I’m late but let me dm you https://t.co/rSTJ569vgl

[Fhantom @FhantomBets]

@mattkalish Matt, I ran a PM tournament in November 2025 where we did exactly this. Someone else replied to this tweet with our link. Have been planning for 2 months and getting ready to run a tracked tournament again in a few weeks, would love to show you what we've built, DM me.

[Fhantom @FhantomBets]

@JonahMonty @mattkalish There is a section of their terms and conditions where you can file a complaint within 15 min of the trade executing and it can be reviewed and reversed (if you’re right you pay 3k to Kalshi as a service fee)

[Fhantom @FhantomBets]

@mattkalish Matt, I ran a PM tournament in November 2025 where we did exactly this. Someone else replied to this tweet with our link. Have been planning for 2 months and getting ready to run a tracked tournament again in a few weeks, would love to show you what we've built, DM me.

[Fhantom @FhantomBets]

@HiveLiveHQ @prophet_notes Just woke up to this, this is now the 3rd time I’ve lost a 95c ME market while I’m sleeping

[Fhantom @FhantomBets]

@JexTrade @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade @PolymarketDevs Can I add "Scammer" to certain people

[Fhantom @FhantomBets]

@Deebs_DeFi @CarOnPolymarket Your first problem is Car being someone you respect.

[InGame @InGameHQ]

Taker-side volume on the platform, a close proxy for handle, is now exceeding $200 million per day, ahead of the top sportsbooks’ handle. Even lower-bound estimates of an equivalent to handle this quarter could match DraftKings and FanDuel.

[Epsilon @EpsilonPM]

Polymarket will remove the affiliate badge of slop posters, but while @CarOnPolymarket performs dozenth pump & dump, he is still affiliated with the platform.

Here is him trying to get people to buy into a market that has already resolved, but due to a bug is still tradeable.

[Hive @HiveLiveHQ]

Oh my god...

Polymarket just HALTED TRADING on the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire market during a heated dispute.

The team is due to announce a clarification in 30 minutes but the markets have all been removed.

This has NEVER happened before on Polymarket.

What's going on?

[Fhantom @FhantomBets]

@mrpredict69 @BlondiePredicts