To anyone here,
Due to work I can't prep for every event, SO I will focus on the main events + at least one Fight Night (around 2 events per month).
I'm a degen gambler, so no worries. We gon make it.
Michal Oleksiejczuk 20-9-0, 1NC
+ Likes to pressure forward no matter how much damage he's taken. Has the cardio to support that;
+ Bro has a chin and can endure a ton of strikes to the legs and body;
+ Stays composed in exchanges and looks for the openings;
+ Has knockdown power.
- If the opponent has good footwork, Michal tends to lean forward, leaving himself off balanced, trying to reach with his strikes;
- Can get pieced up by an experienced striker.
#UFC319#predictions
Prelims
Gerald Meerschaert vs Michal Oleksiejczuk (45/55)
I see Gerald having the better striking but Michal having the more endurance and constant forward pressure, which should eventually turn the fight in his favour. Michal has good takedowns and will probably score a few but not sure it's a good idea to stay on the ground with Gerald.
I'm leaning Michal due to his cardio and constant forward pressure. Also, Gerald is on a losing streak and is easy to get rocked, so Michal might catch him with a big shot.
BETS
Low-risk:
- 25+ strikes for Michal.
Mid-risk:
- More (significant) strikes for Michal.
- Michal ML
High-risk:
- Fight to not go the distance
Gerard Meerschaert 37-19-0
+ Likes to post both feet on the hips and kick the opponent away, so he gets back on the feet;
+ Has mid striking, likes his counters and tries to go for combinations;
+ One of the OGs in the event. He's fought almost all styles, can adjust when needed;
+ Literate grappler, heavy top pressure + GNP, tries to advance positions.
- Can be taken down easily if the opponent is literate in that aspect;
- Doesn't move his head to avoid incoming strikes. Leaves his chin high when disengaging from the opponent;
- The age is catching up to him. Moves slow-ish, tires quickly. From there his chin is super vulnerable;
- Slow starter, often loses round 1 and then tries to come back.
Loopy Godinez, 13-5-0
+ Great boxing and footwork. Loves pressuring, using combinations;
+ Wrestling background, and it shows;
+ Fights patiently and aims accurately.
- Can be countered a ton when fatigued.
#UFC319#predictions
Prelims
Jessica Andrade vs Loopy Godinez (40/60)
Lupita will bring out her boxing and try to outstrike Andrade. She should be able to defend takedowns and use pressure strategically to get the win, most likely a decision.
Bet
Low-risk:
Fight to go the distance
Mid-risk:
- Lupita ML
High-risk:
- 75+ strikes for loopy for the fight
Jessica Andrade, 26-14-0
+ OG and ex champ. Has the experience and the durability;
+ Long-range strikes and combos. Can counter nicely if she'd like to;
- Not as hungry anymore. Kinda less explosive and aggressive than before;
- Strikers with good footwork can counter her all night
Alexander Hernandez, 16-8-0
Strengths:
- Very explosive with good footwork. Can back away and circle. Can counter back, can fight off his back foot;
- Has surprisingly long reach and can shorten the distance + catch opponents from far with striking;
- Very educated takedown defence + getting back up on his feet;
- Very good boxing and timed head movement for the first half of the fight;
- Constantly switches stances and keeps the opponent guessing.
Weaknesses:
- His explosive counters leave him off balanced as he's extending and reaching forward to increase his range;
- Vulnerable to straight strikes.
#UFC319#prelims#analysis and #predictions
Chase Hooper vs Alexander Hernandez (65:35)
I suspect Chase's striking would have improved even further and he would have done his homework on Hernandez. Alex will risk big time if he engages the takedowns as he'll immediately enter Chase's territory.
I see Chase winning one way or another.
BETS
Low-risk:
- Over 1.5 rounds;
- Over 25 strikes for either.
Low-to-Mid risk:
- Chase Hooper ML.
High-risk:
- Fight to go the distance.
Chase Hooper, 16-3-1
Strengths:
- Young and constantly developing;
- His grappling is among the top of the top. Once he takes anyone there, they're in deep waters;
- Has taken minimal damage in the past 14+ months while stacking consecutive wins.
Weaknesses:
- His striking could see some improvements but Im sure he's been working on it;