Nikhil

Writer · Trader · Amateur Historian | I write about markets, history and everything under the sun.
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[Nikhil @FiisibleTrends]

Introducing The Master Trading Sheet

This is a free resource that includes all the basic calculators that every trader and investor must have.

You can create more complex calculators but the foundation will always remain this.

https://t.co/dxclJMk6lQ

What does it have?

1. Portfolio Manager

You can input your stock name based on the guidelines and the sheet will help you track the performance of the individual stock as well as the entire portfolio.

2. Position Size Calculator

All the good traders use a form of position sizing calculator. It tells you what quantity you should buy based on the account risk you can tolerate.

3. Leverage Calculator

Most people have no clue how much leverage they are taking. So, I have created a simple calculator to help them understand how much risk they are taking.

I have deliberately kept it next to the Position Size calculator so you can make an instant decision.

4. MTF Calculator

MTF is the vice of a bull market. Many people think if only they could have invested more they would have made more.

So it's important to know the full story by numbers. Is MTF really good? If yes, in what scenarios? If bad, why is it bad? You take the call.

5. SIP Calculator

Although it's available everywhere I wanted to add it here because what's the point of the Master Trading Sheet if I don't put the SIP calculator in here.

How to utilize this sheet?

I have provided access to everyone. You cannot edit this sheet (obviously). You can create a copy of this sheet in your account and explore it.

Although I have made every effort to make the sheet easy to use, some people can have some doubts and I understand that.

For those, my DMs are always open. Do not hesitate to drop me a DM :)

The only perk of having a low follower count is that I can engage with more people.

I hope you find this useful. I'd love to get your feedback. :)

[Nikhil @FiisibleTrends]

The bear market of the past couple of years has been enlightening.

The previous one was too, but this one lasted longer. It was a grind more than a fall. I have written about such corrections in my newsletters.

There are price-wise corrections. And there are time-wise corrections. Both have to happen. Sometimes they alternate. Sometimes they follow each other.

One cannot tell which is which in advance. But a price-wise correction is straightforward to navigate. You enter at a price and exit at a certain price. If the fall continues, you sit out.

A time-wise correction, however, is almost impossible to deal with. Especially with a discretionary system. Drawdowns run as deep as 50% for discretionary traders. Particularly those who swear by leverage.

The problem with time-wise corrections is that they erode your confidence gradually. The market will breach your levels, reassure you that everything is fine, then reveal it was all a false signal.

Because a time correction looks like a range in hindsight. But when it is unfolding in real time, you never quite believe the range will persist. And how can you gauge how wide the range will ultimately be? So every breakout appears genuine, and you fall for it.

The only way to survive this is by building a system and accepting the results. Without a robust system, you are perpetually at the mercy of the prevailing market regime.

And identifying market regimes is not as simple as those Excel sheet tutorials suggest. The methods are technically sound, but contextually unreliable.

A setup only gives you an entry. It is not the whole system. That takes real work.

Focus on building something robust. You can use any setup with asymmetric rewards. Literally anything. Just do not be a fool and fall for market predictions.

[Nikhil @FiisibleTrends]

One of the biggest revelations you will have as a trader is that the setup does not matter.

You can literally trade almost any setup. Anything that has even a marginal edge over general probability can make money over time.

The only exception — and this is extremely important — is that you must maintain a higher-than-usual risk-to-reward ratio.

This means taking 4R trades or higher, not lower.

If you are a short-term trader, even a 4R setup with a 30% win rate can keep you miles ahead of traders endlessly trying to discover the ultimate setup.

I know you have probably heard this a thousand times, but I cannot overstate the relevance of this insight. The math behind it is beautiful.

And eventually, you begin to realise how random the market really is.

If you are not profitable yet, or have not experienced consistent profitability, you should try this.

[Nikhil @FiisibleTrends]

One of the biggest revelations you will have as a trader is that the setup does not matter.

You can literally trade almost any setup. Anything that has even a marginal edge over general probability can make money over time.

The only exception — and this is extremely important — is that you must maintain a higher-than-usual risk-to-reward ratio.

This means taking 4R trades or higher, not lower.

If you are a short-term trader, even a 4R setup with a 30% win rate can keep you miles ahead of traders endlessly trying to discover the ultimate setup.

I know you have probably heard this a thousand times, but I cannot overstate the relevance of this insight. The math behind it is beautiful.

And eventually, you begin to realise how random the market really is.

If you are not profitable yet, or have not experienced consistent profitability, you should try this.

[Nikhil @FiisibleTrends]

Ancient India had good relations with Greeks. There was knowledge transfer too apart from diplomatic relations.

Indian and Greek’s understanding of mathematics, astronomy, and medicine were vastly superior to anything available at that time. Not to mention philosophy and politics.

The entire Islamic “Golden Age” was basically a translation of these texts.

The sign of a healthy civilisation is that it always has enough to transmit and transfer.

In ancient Indian history, Greeks are not referred to as invaders in the sense that Islamic barbarians were, even though a Greek king sat on the ancient throne of Pataliputra, the seat of the Mauryas.

[Nikhil @FiisibleTrends]

To understand this recurring phenomenon, you have to understand the doctrine of Islam. There are two versions of Islam: religious and political. The religious version is devout and pious. Whenever Islam is scrutinised, its proponents conveniently invoke this religious face.

Then there is political Islam. A strain that actively instructs its followers to kill, rape, plunder, and enslave. A catalogue of barbarism. This was a later addition, engineered by the caliphates to expand territorial rule, to prevent apostasy, and to keep populations in perpetual submission to the faith.

Political Islam was then weaponised in Saudi Arabia through Wahhabism and Salafism. These movements converted jihad from a theological concept into a social obligation. Wahhabism prohibited all independent interpretation of Islamic texts. Followers were required to accept scripture wholesale, without interrogation, without demanding evidence. The word for this blind deference is taqlid.

Every Muslim is expected to adhere to the ummah. That means no state borders, no national identity, and mandatory allegiance to a global Muslim brotherhood.

This version of Islam was then systematically exported across the world, including Pakistan, India, Bangladesh, and Indonesia. In India alone, between 2005 and 2015, an estimated 6,500 crore rupees were spent transforming madrassas: opening new ones, erecting new mosques, and overhauling the curriculum. Saudi Arabia and Qatar collectively spent 9 billion dollars on this project in just one decade.

Every terrorist organisation, literally every fundamentalist outfit in existence, is an offspring of this strain.

Now imagine children absorbing this toxic ideology of political Islam during their most impressionable years through madrassas. Countless impoverished families, instead of enrolling their children in government schools, send them to madrassas. Where they are taught not physics, not mathematics, not any entrepreneurial instinct, but a poisonous distortion of religion.

Then these children are expelled at sixteen and thrown into a world entirely unlike the one they were conditioned to expect. They will not be confused. Because they were taught precisely what to do with that world. Jihad. Despise the existing order until it capitulates to Islam.

And what happens once it does turn Islamic? No one has the faintest idea. That is why Islamic theocratic rule is a farce. But these individuals are wired never to ask that question, because questioning invites punishment.

So nobody asks. And this is what we get. That is why you see the same pathology replicated across the globe.
The erosion of patriotism is not incidental; it is deliberately engineered so that Islam, in its political form, never loses its stranglehold on its followers.

[Tattvam Asi ( तत् त्वं असि!) @Brahamvakya]

Listening to her, I am reminded of the 'Kabila theory' of @ramana_brf Sir. Majority muslims in this country treat India as a some conquered land & themselves as remnants of rulers or guests at best.
'Their' homeland is mythical Arabia or Iran or Turkey, India is just to loot and recapture. "Teil bhi to hamare mulkon se aa raha hai…musssalman molkon se.. "… in the heart of national capital.
She or her abbu would have never set foot outside this nation but loyalty is to that mythical muslim nation..Children of coward convert Hindus who changed their fathers as well..

[Nikhil @FiisibleTrends]

To understand this recurring phenomenon, you have to understand the doctrine of Islam. There are two versions of Islam: religious and political. The religious version is devout and pious. Whenever Islam is scrutinised, its proponents conveniently invoke this religious face.

Then there is political Islam. A strain that actively instructs its followers to kill, rape, plunder, and enslave. A catalogue of barbarism. This was a later addition, engineered by the caliphates to expand territorial rule, to prevent apostasy, and to keep populations in perpetual submission to the faith.

Political Islam was then weaponised in Saudi Arabia through Wahhabism and Salafism. These movements converted jihad from a theological concept into a social obligation. Wahhabism prohibited all independent interpretation of Islamic texts. Followers were required to accept scripture wholesale, without interrogation, without demanding evidence. The word for this blind deference is taqlid.

Every Muslim is expected to adhere to the ummah. That means no state borders, no national identity, and mandatory allegiance to a global Muslim brotherhood.

This version of Islam was then systematically exported across the world, including Pakistan, India, Bangladesh, and Indonesia. In India alone, between 2005 and 2015, an estimated 6,500 crore rupees were spent transforming madrassas: opening new ones, erecting new mosques, and overhauling the curriculum. Saudi Arabia and Qatar collectively spent 9 billion dollars on this project in just one decade.

Every terrorist organisation, literally every fundamentalist outfit in existence, is an offspring of this strain.

Now imagine children absorbing this toxic ideology of political Islam during their most impressionable years through madrassas. Countless impoverished families, instead of enrolling their children in government schools, send them to madrassas. Where they are taught not physics, not mathematics, not any entrepreneurial instinct, but a poisonous distortion of religion.

Then these children are expelled at sixteen and thrown into a world entirely unlike the one they were conditioned to expect. They will not be confused. Because they were taught precisely what to do with that world. Jihad. Despise the existing order until it capitulates to Islam.

And what happens once it does turn Islamic? No one has the faintest idea. That is why Islamic theocratic rule is a farce. But these individuals are wired never to ask that question, because questioning invites punishment.

So nobody asks. And this is what we get. That is why you see the same pathology replicated across the globe.
The erosion of patriotism is not incidental; it is deliberately engineered so that Islam, in its political form, never loses its stranglehold on its followers.

[Nikhil @FiisibleTrends]

A bear market teaches you many things. One of them is survival. If you are broke at the end of a bear market, you are done.

You were never fit for trading.

This realisation is devastating for some. Enlightening for others.

Those who are enlightened will figure out a way. They will do everything to survive.

That means trusting nobody except their own sweat. Except their own hypothesis.

The ones who give up blame the entire world.

They resort to picking sides. Picking theories. They apply all sorts of predictive frameworks.

They try to tame the dragon. But dragons don't get tamed. Because there was nothing to predict in the first place.

So they master all the theories, grow proficient, and then teach those theories to their select circle.

And that circle is filled with those who failed in previous bear markets. They now regard the leader as a prophet.

They believe something sinister is at work and only their prophet can deliver them.

The easiest route is through. Look within. You have all the answers.

The answer to survival isn't more knowledge. It's more courage. It's more mathematics. It's more faith in yourself.

[Nikhil @FiisibleTrends]

A bear market teaches you many things. One of them is survival. If you are broke at the end of a bear market, you are done.

You were never fit for trading.

This realisation is devastating for some. Enlightening for others.

Those who are enlightened will figure out a way. They will do everything to survive.

That means trusting nobody except their own sweat. Except their own hypothesis.

The ones who give up blame the entire world.

They resort to picking sides. Picking theories. They apply all sorts of predictive frameworks.

They try to tame the dragon. But dragons don't get tamed. Because there was nothing to predict in the first place.

So they master all the theories, grow proficient, and then teach those theories to their select circle.

And that circle is filled with those who failed in previous bear markets. They now regard the leader as a prophet.

They believe something sinister is at work and only their prophet can deliver them.

The easiest route is through. Look within. You have all the answers.

The answer to survival isn't more knowledge. It's more courage. It's more mathematics. It's more faith in yourself.

[Nikhil @FiisibleTrends]

The astrologers, the Gann traders, the wave theorists have all vanished from the timeline.

They have suddenly cocooned themselves in closed Telegram groups, peddling their "premium" services through which they claim to predict any kind of market.

The problem with them, and there was always a problem with them, was that they were selling certainty in a place whose very foundation rests on uncertainty.

Stock markets cannot be predicted. They can only be measured through individual appetite.

The long-term investors who survived knew a thing or two about managing uncertainty.

They didn't meddle too much with it and thereby increased the probability of their own survival.

The traders who eventually found success in markets were the ones who embraced the uncertainty and surrendered at the altar of mathematics.

Which is why a nobody like me, a trader who knows nothing but trend, has always managed to be on the right side of the market.

Because I have always believed that I know nothing. I am nothing.

My premise for identifying the trend has always been simple: if it looks like a duck, walks like a duck, quacks like a duck, it is a duck.

[Nikhil @FiisibleTrends]

The astrologers, the Gann traders, the wave theorists have all vanished from the timeline.

They have suddenly cocooned themselves in closed Telegram groups, peddling their "premium" services through which they claim to predict any kind of market.

The problem with them, and there was always a problem with them, was that they were selling certainty in a place whose very foundation rests on uncertainty.

Stock markets cannot be predicted. They can only be measured through individual appetite.

The long-term investors who survived knew a thing or two about managing uncertainty.

They didn't meddle too much with it and thereby increased the probability of their own survival.

The traders who eventually found success in markets were the ones who embraced the uncertainty and surrendered at the altar of mathematics.

Which is why a nobody like me, a trader who knows nothing but trend, has always managed to be on the right side of the market.

Because I have always believed that I know nothing. I am nothing.

My premise for identifying the trend has always been simple: if it looks like a duck, walks like a duck, quacks like a duck, it is a duck.

[Nikhil @FiisibleTrends]

One of the rare phases of the market that makes it bad for both short and long positions.

damned if you traded, damned if you didn’t.

[Nikhil @FiisibleTrends]

Hook them with stories. As they grow up, bring in the darshanas, make them question everything, then answer these questions.

Mix science and religion to answer their queries.

My mother was a religious person, but I was an atheist. I became religious because I read everything on my own: all the stories, scriptures, darshanas.

And now, every time I see people challenging rituals and Hinduism, I make them sit and walk them through the symbolism using modern-day examples.

We think they wouldn't understand anything abstract, but they would; we just have to teach them through something tangible, something they already understand.

[Nikhil @FiisibleTrends]

REWARDED INTO CHAINS

The most dangerous slavery is the kind that pays well. When the incentives are good enough, the pat on the back frequent enough, you stop noticing the shackles. You call it a career. A life.

Most people hate mediocrity in the abstract. They hate it in other people. Few hate it in themselves with enough honesty to name it, and fewer still with enough courage to act on it.

The world is designed this way deliberately. Enough rewards for the slave, and he never develops the appetite for freedom. To break out requires hating your current arrangement so completely that losing everything feels preferable to staying put.

The ones who rule the world are often termed crazy at first.

[Nikhil @FiisibleTrends]

READING ISN'T A HOBBY

Most people call reading a hobby because it makes the avoidance easier to justify. A hobby is something you do when you have time. Reading is something you do instead of wasting that time.

The brain rewires itself when you read seriously. Great fiction develops an emotional range you cannot manufacture any other way.

History gives you access to the full arc of a human life — from the worst conditions to the highest achievements — compressed into days.

You don’t need to cross the Rubicon to become Caesar. But you can read about him and absorb what made him formidable. That is not a hobby. That is how serious people build themselves.

Any activity capable of changing your approach to life should not be called a hobby. It should be called a requirement.

Reading must be a part of you.

[Nikhil @FiisibleTrends]

READING ISN'T A HOBBY

Most people call reading a hobby because it makes the avoidance easier to justify. A hobby is something you do when you have time. Reading is something you do instead of wasting that time.

The brain rewires itself when you read seriously. Great fiction develops an emotional range you cannot manufacture any other way.

History gives you access to the full arc of a human life — from the worst conditions to the highest achievements — compressed into days.

You don’t need to cross the Rubicon to become Caesar. But you can read about him and absorb what made him formidable. That is not a hobby. That is how serious people build themselves.

Any activity capable of changing your approach to life should not be called a hobby. It should be called a requirement.

Reading must be a part of you.

[Nikhil @FiisibleTrends]

FORTY BILLION WORTH OF SELF HELP

A forty-billion-dollar industry exists to make you feel like you're changing. You are not changing. You are purchasing the sensation of change.

Every self-help book collapses to six things: money, habits, discipline, identity, mindset, goals. That's the whole game. The books don't fail because the ideas are wrong. They fail because the reader mistakes absorption for application.

You cannot read your way out of loneliness. You cannot think your way out of burnout. You cannot manifest past a structural constraint. These things demand action. The old, unglamorous kind.

Burn the self-help book. If you feel like a piece of crap, good. Let that feeling act as a catalyst for transformation.

[Nikhil @FiisibleTrends]

BE A REBEL

When men tear down statues, they're not protesting history. They're destroying the evidence of what they'll never be.

That's the real psychology of the equality movement. As long as signs of greatness remain visible, the average person cannot feel secure.

The statue has to go. The genius has to be brought down. The artist has to be punished into silence. Not because they caused harm, but because they exist as proof of what most people refuse to become.

Equality, taken to its logical end, demands that peculiarity be dumbed down to a level where mediocrity feels safe. A world calibrated to that standard cannot produce giants. And on the rare occasion it does, it will chide them, attack them, and eventually make them surrender.

This is not a new dynamic. The greats of history were great precisely because they despised this bargain. They were never satisfied with themselves. They wanted more from themselves, more for their nations.

Caesar didn't want to survive Rome. He wanted Rome to conquer the world with him at the helm.

A mediocre person has no relationship with posterity. Why would he? He never cared about where he came from. Legacy implies past greatness, and he has opted out of that entire conversation.

Which means in the world being built right now, any serious act of creation is an act of rebellion. Write to create beauty. Build something that serves the people who haven't been born yet. Not because it will be celebrated, but because the alternative is joining the mob.

The French Revolution changed history. Nobody remembers the mob.

[Nikhil @FiisibleTrends]

@ra9kesh it’s alright, i write for the love of the craft. everything else is out of my control :)

thank you for reading!

[Nikhil @FiisibleTrends]

FORTY BILLION WORTH OF SELF HELP

A forty-billion-dollar industry exists to make you feel like you're changing. You are not changing. You are purchasing the sensation of change.

Every self-help book collapses to six things: money, habits, discipline, identity, mindset, goals. That's the whole game. The books don't fail because the ideas are wrong. They fail because the reader mistakes absorption for application.

You cannot read your way out of loneliness. You cannot think your way out of burnout. You cannot manifest past a structural constraint. These things demand action. The old, unglamorous kind.

Burn the self-help book. If you feel like a piece of crap, good. Let that feeling act as a catalyst for transformation.

[Nikhil @FiisibleTrends]

BE A REBEL

When men tear down statues, they're not protesting history. They're destroying the evidence of what they'll never be.

That's the real psychology of the equality movement. As long as signs of greatness remain visible, the average person cannot feel secure.

The statue has to go. The genius has to be brought down. The artist has to be punished into silence. Not because they caused harm, but because they exist as proof of what most people refuse to become.

Equality, taken to its logical end, demands that peculiarity be dumbed down to a level where mediocrity feels safe. A world calibrated to that standard cannot produce giants. And on the rare occasion it does, it will chide them, attack them, and eventually make them surrender.

This is not a new dynamic. The greats of history were great precisely because they despised this bargain. They were never satisfied with themselves. They wanted more from themselves, more for their nations.

Caesar didn't want to survive Rome. He wanted Rome to conquer the world with him at the helm.

A mediocre person has no relationship with posterity. Why would he? He never cared about where he came from. Legacy implies past greatness, and he has opted out of that entire conversation.

Which means in the world being built right now, any serious act of creation is an act of rebellion. Write to create beauty. Build something that serves the people who haven't been born yet. Not because it will be celebrated, but because the alternative is joining the mob.

The French Revolution changed history. Nobody remembers the mob.