Assoc Prof of Finance @msstate in Empirical Corporate @MSUbusiness in @mscollegetown via @UofAlabama Fin BBA @CulverhouseUA Stats MS @MandersonUA PhD @HaslamUT
Are we headed toward a recession? Are gas prices falling? Well, "It’s not just high gas prices – inflation is now spreading through the US economy" via @ConversationUS https://t.co/5DvPtwNPc4
"Wins Above Bubble" is a useful new tool in the CFB playoff discussions. Look at how it sorts the current top 11 "most deserving", who are a mishmash of 0- and 1-loss teams with very different conference affiliations:
Tier 1: UGA, obviously
Tier 2: Undefeated UCLA, Indiana and ND + 1-loss UK and BAMA.
Tier 3: Undefeated BYU, Tech, and Miami (!) + 1-loss MissSt and TEX.
HT @ralphDrussoATH@PDawg206@CFBNumbers
"Before you think about investing in the first place, think about what your edge is."
Listen to this conversation between Alex Edmans (@aedmans) and Kevin Coldiron for more practical tips on how to become a better investor. 👇👇
https://t.co/i25m3uXae1
Saudi Arabia is looking at ways to expand its oil pipeline capacity to destinations outside the Persian Gulf to 10 million barrels a day within two to three years https://t.co/z8Bs9IjTyN
🚨 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics goes to Robert E. Hall and Michael Woodford 🚨
"for microfoundations of macroeconomic stabilisation"
Such a good macro prize. So happy to see Robert Hall, not mentioned as much as Woodford in this discourse
1/5
The S&P 500 increasingly looks like two stock markets: AI-related companies and everybody else.
41 AI-related companies we track accounted for 48.68% of the S&P 500's combined market capitalization.
The remaining companies accounted for 51.32%.
"Out of the approxi mately $36 trillion increase in S&P 500 market capitalization since late 2022, about $21 trillion has come from firms in the AI stacks" --IMF
What does a Fed hawk listen for on a factory floor?
At industrial-hardware maker Jergens in Cleveland, Beth Hammack heard that price has fallen to third in importance on customers' lists, behind quality and speed.
MS: Past recessions have historically occurred as the Federal Reserve hikes interest rates above nominal growth. With nominal growth nearly 3% above the policy rate,
the Fed appears to have room to hike before meaningfully impacting growth.
It's been a **record** year for U.S. equity issuance
U.S. companies have raised $431 billion YTD via IPOs, follow-ons, converts, and SPACs, almost double the figure last year--GS
On track to surpass 2021 , during the height of the Covid-19 market mania
New book on Tom Brady:
"A common trait I’ve found among repeat champions is a prominent chip on their shoulder, from slights both real and imagined, often nurtured for decades. When what you seek is not wealth or fame but vindication, you can never get enough."
https://t.co/Kwpmyh0LZw
McElligott: Ten stocks drove 70% of the S&P's 23% rally since March 30, with Nvidia alone responsible for 13% of it, and Micron, Apple and Microsoft another 9% each. The other 490 stocks? 30%. Combined.