kumar Weerarathne

Equity Trader | CSE Market Analyst
Technical Analysis • Market Insights
Stock Setups | CSE
Educational content only.

[kumar Weerarathne @Fin_Market_Hub]

@Irfan1533 @JKSBInvesting @CapitalTrustRe @AshaSecurities Yeah resistance lies around 80 rs.

[kumar Weerarathne @Fin_Market_Hub]

AEL.N | Volume Watch 📊
Trading activity surged over the past two sessions, with volume reaching 3.40M shares on 30 Sep and 2.18M on 01 Oct — both including crossings.
A notable pickup in market activity for Access Engineering PLC. 📈
#CSE #AEL #SriLanka #Stocks #Investing

[kumar Weerarathne @Fin_Market_Hub]

📊 Technical view: Price is testing the 20,843 (0.786 Fibonacci) support.
Key levels to watch: 🔴 20,843 — key support
⚠️ 21,000–21,050 — resistance zone
📈 21,327 / 21,667 / 22,007 — higher resistance levels
🔻 20,500–20,600 — next support if 20,843 breaks
Levels matter. Price action confirms.
#TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket #CSE #SriLanka #Investing

[kumar Weerarathne @Fin_Market_Hub]

Sri Lanka’s 2026 investment climate: GDP growth reached 5% in 2025, but FDI remained at just USD 1.06Bn (~1% of GDP).
Key opportunities exist in manufacturing, ports, tourism, ICT and real estate — while policy stability, regulatory reform and skilled labour remain critical.
Source: U.S. Department of State | Investment Climate Statement 2026 #SriLanka #FDI #Investment #Economy #CSE

[kumar Weerarathne @Fin_Market_Hub]

🇱🇰 CBSL keeps the OPR unchanged at 8.75%.

Growth remains resilient at 4.7%, while inflation stands at 8.0% and is expected to ease toward the 5% target.

#SriLanka #CBSL #MonetaryPolicy #CSE

[kumar Weerarathne @Fin_Market_Hub]

📢 Good news for Sri Lanka’s economy! 🇱🇰
The Central Bank of Sri Lanka has maintained the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) at 8.75%, signalling continued stability in the monetary policy environment.
With the effects of previous tightening measures being assessed, keeping rates steady could provide a more predictable environment for businesses, investors and borrowers.
📊 Stability in rates = greater clarity for the market.
#SriLanka #CBSL #MonetaryPolicy #InterestRates #Economy #CSE

[kumar Weerarathne @Fin_Market_Hub]

What’s your call on the upcoming monetary policy decision?

[kumar Weerarathne @Fin_Market_Hub]

AEL.N Technical View 📊

AEL.N is testing the 78.0–80.4 resistance zone after multiple attempts. A decisive daily close above 80.4 with stronger volume would provide breakout confirmation, while rejection could bring the price back toward key support levels.

#CSE #AEL #SriLankaStocks #TechnicalAnalysis #ColomboStockExchange

[kumar Weerarathne @Fin_Market_Hub]

🚨 Middle East — Latest Developments
Tensions remain elevated as Iran rejects US threats, Washington keeps military options open, and Tehran issues a five-day deadline linked to the Strait of Hormuz.
Meanwhile, Houthi warnings, continued violence in Gaza, and developments in the West Bank add further uncertainty.
#MiddleEast #Iran #Israel #Gaza #Hormuz #Geopolitics

[kumar Weerarathne @Fin_Market_Hub]

🇱🇰 Sri Lanka’s Fitch Rating Journey | 2005–2026

From BB− in 2005 → RD in 2022 → B− with a Stable Outlook in 2026.

The latest upgrade reflects progress following economic stabilization and debt restructuring. However, B− remains below investment grade, highlighting that credit risks remain.

#SriLanka #FitchRatings #Economy #CreditRating #DebtRestructuring

[kumar Weerarathne @Fin_Market_Hub]

Sri Lanka's export sector has surpassed the USD 12 Bn mark during the first eight months of 2026, with total exports reaching USD 12.01 Bn, an increase of 4.26% compared with USD 11.52 Bn recorded during the corresponding period of 2025. - EDB

[kumar Weerarathne @Fin_Market_Hub]

🇱🇰 Sri Lanka–IMF: Key Takeaways | Sept. 23, 2026
Sri Lanka’s economy remains resilient, but the IMF stresses continued policy discipline. Key focus areas include 5% inflation targeting, fiscal revenue, energy pricing, exchange-rate flexibility, reserves, structural reforms and investment.
The next phase: from stabilization to transformation.
#SriLanka #IMF #Economy #Inflation #EconomicReforms

[kumar Weerarathne @Fin_Market_Hub]

ASPI Technical Update 📊
ASPI is testing the key 21,000–20,950 support zone. A hold could open a move toward 21,327, followed by 21,500–21,670. A decisive break below support puts 20,843 in focus.
RSI 36.31 → weak momentum, but not yet oversold.
#CSE #ASPI #SriLanka #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis

[kumar Weerarathne @Fin_Market_Hub]

🛢️ Crude Oil Slides Sharply
WTI fell 4.36% to $91.89, while Brent dropped 3.92% to $99.80.
The decline reflects easing supply-disruption fears, recovering Saudi exports, improving flows through the Strait of Hormuz, expectations of restored pipeline capacity, and renewed hopes for US–Iran diplomacy.
Markets are now shifting from “supply shock” → “actual supply.”
⚠️ Geopolitical developments remain the key risk for a reversal.
#CrudeOil #WTI #Brent #OilPrices #Energy #Markets #Commodities

[kumar Weerarathne @Fin_Market_Hub]

ASPI Update 📊
ASPI closed at 21,023.43, testing the critical 21,000–21,050 support zone.
🔹 Next major support: 20,640
🔹 Deeper support: 20,200–20,300
🔹 RSI(14): 31.33 — approaching oversold territory
🔹 A decisive break below 21,000 could increase downside pressure.
The reaction at 21,000 is now technically important.
#CSE #ASPI #SriLanka #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis

[kumar Weerarathne @Fin_Market_Hub]

📊 ASPI Technical Update
ASPI at 21,133.41 has broken below its rising trendline and the 0.236 Fib (~21,324), weakening the short-term structure.
🔹 Immediate support: 21,060–21,100
🔹 Key downside level: 20,641.74 (0 Fib)
🔹 Resistance: 21,300–21,400
🔹 RSI(14): 35.22 — weak momentum, approaching oversold
A sustained break below 21,060 could expose 20,641.74. A hold above support could trigger a technical rebound, but reclaiming the broken trendline would be important for structural improvement.
#ASPI #CSE #SriLanka #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis