In summary:
A CISD is only valuable when it's backed by a clean key level, protected after the shift, and supported by a clear draw on liquidity. The context behind the CISD determines the quality of the setupโnot the CISD itself.
A CISD alone is not enough to justify a trade.
One of the biggest things I learned from GXT is that the CISD must be protected.
For a CISD to be protected:
โข Price should originate from a clean key level
โข The CISD should form from that key level
โข The key level must remain respected after the shift
If a CISD forms without a clean key level behind it, I consider it unprotected and usually pass on the setup.
I also want to see a clean draw on liquidity. Protected highs and lows often make poor targets and can reduce the probability of continuation.
Another detail is the reaction from the key level. Strong V-shaped reactions show displacement and intent, while deep retracements can weaken the setup.
The quality of a CISD is determined by the context around it, not the CISD itself.
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Every losing trade feels like a setbackโฆ
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