FindleysFinance

The most transparent GARP investor | real-time stock analysis, personal finance, philosophy. $META, $BN, $FOUR, $ADBE, $QLYS, $MSFT, $AMZN. Not financial advice

[FindleysFinance @FindleyFinsance]

This week was a quiet one for me, as I made 0 moves.
$META
was up 6.64% as my biggest gainer.

$ADBE
was down 8.39% as my biggest drag.

Sold $0

Bought $0

Fair value targets and DCF's in the thread below.

[FindleysFinance @FindleyFinsance]

$META
is leveraging their custom AI chips to save more than $8.5 billion in expenses.

These chips reportedly perform better at a lower cost to GPUs.

[FindleysFinance @FindleyFinsance]

$META
wants to stay above $680 so bad!

[FindleysFinance @FindleyFinsance]

$META wants to stay above $680 so bad!

[FindleysFinance @FindleyFinsance]

The unsexy layer in the AI build-out is thermal and power distribution layer. That is
$VRT
’s world.

Has the multiple already consumed every megawatt that will be delivered?

Or is
$VRT
selling for a discount on a price to growth basis?

[FindleysFinance @FindleyFinsance]

If you want to outperform the market, you don't need to overcomplicate it.

Look no further than the two easiest buys on the market today:
$META
and
$AMZN

[FindleysFinance @FindleyFinsance]

How old do you want to be when you retire?

[FindleysFinance @FindleyFinsance]

$META
Connect is September 23rd. What are you hoping to see?

[FindleysFinance @FindleyFinsance]

You do not have to own every winner.

Focus on businesses you understand, where cash flow is predictable and growing while the stock is being punished.

You'll see a trend in my portfolio.

[FindleysFinance @FindleyFinsance]

"All the math you need in the stock market you get in the

fourth grade." - Peter Lynch

[FindleysFinance @FindleyFinsance]

$MSFT is trading near its lowest P/OCF since 2018.

[FindleysFinance @FindleyFinsance]

$ASTS
accounts are posting “let the shipping commence” because BlueBirds 11-13 hit targeted orbit.

Guidance this year was $150–$200 million of revenue against a multi-billion-dollar manufacturing and launch plan.

Valuations still matter. And this one is highly risky.

[FindleysFinance @FindleyFinsance]

$META
is nearing $700 per share after the fed decision to hike rates by 25 BP.

[FindleysFinance @FindleyFinsance]

$1 billion per launch is due to a lack of available launches.

In case you don't understand supply and demand dynamics, this is not a realistic projection.

Cathie Wood's expectations are so ridiculous I have to assume her internal projections are likely
https://t.co/XjRKs0ZKy1

[Cathie Wood @CathieDWood]

Each Starship launch could generate $1 billion in revenue. Elon is aiming for 10,000 flights per year, or $10 trillion in Starship revenues, by 2030. If SpaceX achieves this goal, its $1.75 trillion IPO will be considered, in hindsight, a deep value opportunity!

[FindleysFinance @FindleyFinsance]

$1 billion per launch is due to a lack of available launches.

In case you don't understand supply and demand dynamics, this is not a realistic projection.

Cathie Wood's expectations are so ridiculous I have to assume her internal projections are
https://t.co/bsWLI6od26

[Cathie Wood @CathieDWood]

Each Starship launch could generate $1 billion in revenue. Elon is aiming for 10,000 flights per year, or $10 trillion in Starship revenues, by 2030. If SpaceX achieves this goal, its $1.75 trillion IPO will be considered, in hindsight, a deep value opportunity!

[FindleysFinance @FindleyFinsance]

On September 15th,
$META
released Meta One:

"Today, we’re introducing Meta One: a new subscription service that brings more value to the apps and experiences billions of people already use — with plans for individuals, creators, and businesses."

[FindleysFinance @FindleyFinsance]

Dev Kantesaria's portfolio at Valley Forge Capital Q2 2026 13F

[FindleysFinance @FindleyFinsance]

Dev Kantesaria's portfolio at Valley Forge Capital Q2 2026 13F

[FindleysFinance @FindleyFinsance]

If you had $10 million and had to go all-in on one stock what would it be?

[FindleysFinance @FindleyFinsance]

Zuckerberg has a profoundly different, holistic view of how to integrate AI into your personal life.

And I believe
$META
will be the company to truly deliver this human-AI interoperability.

[FindleysFinance @FindleyFinsance]

The only reason
$NFLX
looks cheap is because of the one time warner payment.

Remove that massive $2.8 billion SPIKE in cash injection and the stock trades at a very rich 35x P/OCF.

Even after falling 40% from ATH, it's still overpriced.