β 82% lose money on Polymarket
β 18% make money on Polymarket
Copying winning traders can be smart.
But why not track which markets the top traders have in common? ππ§
Today is the 6 year anniversary of when I launched Polymarket.
Iβm truly grateful to be able to work on something that means so much to me.
Itβs been awe-inspiring to see the world catch up with this crazy idea called βinformation marketsβ. Yet there still remains a long ways to go
For those curious about my headspace when starting the company, this thread is a nostalgic artifact.
Week 25 listing is live π
prediction markets are getting a lot more agentic this week.
ai wallets, trading bots, agent APIs, smart-money trackers, leverage and parlays infra. the stack is starting to look less like a betting app and more like a full trading layer for events.
some fun projects to check out this week π
@askginadotai: ai wallet and assistant for finding, analyzing, and acting on crypto and prediction market opportunities.
@simmer_markets: prediction market platform where ai agents can discover and trade markets across polymarket and kalshi.
@awenetwork_ai: framework for building autonomous ai agent worlds.
@MidasHandxyz: permissionless prediction market for creating and trading almost any event.
@predictionlabs: polymarket data for agents, bots, builders. full trades, order books, metadata from 2024
@TradePolyBot: telegram bot for trading polymarket, with buy/sell, copy trading, and automations.
@FirePolymarket: smart-money tracker for polymarket trades.
@useamplifi: leverage and margin layer for polymarket positions.
@usedibs: non-custodial polymarket interface with signals and market analytics.
@YosokuSolana: solana-native tool for prediction market parlays.
Miren cΓ³mo los estafan en su cara
bet365: 9x (robo)
polymarket: 11,44x (valor real)
Las casas tradicionales son un matadero que te roba en cada cuota y te limita la cuenta en cuanto ganas dos duros pura basura
Polymarket no tiene intermediarios mediocres ni lΓmites solo liquidez infinita donde el mercado manda
Yo no financio yates de bookies estafadores la barredora opera donde estΓ‘n los que cobran
Salgan del corralito y operen con el conejo malo
https://t.co/BBGa78X3ZL
We're excited to announce Polymarket has facilitated the first ever on-chain, institutional block trade in the prediction market space.
Institutions using Polymarket to hedge GPU compute exposure at scale give a glimpse into both the future & the promise of prediction markets.
π¨ βUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?β - NO β
Avg. Entry: 77.2Β’ -> Now: 81.5Β’
Potential: +23% π
Time left: 8 days β³
Thatβs over 1000% APR π₯
π¨ Will MicroStrategy sell any Bitcoin by May 31? - NO β
Potential: +53% π (967% APR)
Time left: ~20 days β³
Entry: 70.5Β’ -> Now: 65.5Β’ (better odds than avg.)
The market is pricing in fear, but Saylor has never sold BTC. π€·ββοΈ
π¨ HIGH CONVICTION MARKET π¨
πΊπΈ βWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?β β NO β
π +46% potential
π° Now: 68.5Β’ (entry 66.4Β’)
π₯ Fire Score: 70/100