Megaprojects can win votes, but they also spark resistance. We show that Mapuche attacks on highways in Chile hurt the ruling coalition’s electoral chances, while protests have no effect.
🔗 [https://t.co/CYJG1TZk4K]
#Mapuche#Elections#Infrastructure#Chile
We have a new post! There's something for everyone: conditional triple-DiD, triple IV-DiD, covariate-balancing DiD, spatial Synthetic DiD, and updated DiD textbook (de Chaisemartin & D’Haultfœuille v2.0)
(link in the replies)
#RDDers: check it out.
Donut Regression Discontinuity Designs
"While the donut approach is very popular in empirical practice, it is generally carried out in a heuristic fashion without much supporting statistical theory."
Since we're talking about the validity of close elections RDDs today, I thought I'd drop a few recent articles about issues that arise in this space so that folks can have them all in one place.
#1. Hartman (2021) shows that most tests of covariate balance around close election cutoffs fail to rule out large imbalances. Remember to equivalence test when testing for covariate balance!
#2 Marshall (2022) shows that it is far from clear what effects you are estimating with close election RDD estimates of candidate characteristics. There are compound treatments at these cutoffs!
#3 Stommes et al. (2023) shows that RDDs in political science, many of which are close election RDDs, are "underpowered to detect all but large effects." As with all low power tests, we should be wary not only about large standard errors, but also type M/S errors!
#4 de la Cuest and Imai (2016) discuss the limited external validity of close election RDDs. Generalize beyond close elections with care!
More than 40 percent of #postdocs leave academia. Those who landed a coveted faculty position were more likely to have had a highly cited paper, changed their research topic between their #PhD and postdoc, or moved abroad after receiving their doctorate. https://t.co/SkU2JVisuu @PNASNews -> https://t.co/GZKmXombKN #ScienceCareer
"Excited to share our new publication with @paolabordon and @WeaverJulieA: «Rewarding Performance in Disaster Response: Evidence from Local Governments in Latin America». Check it out here: https://t.co/pDI0wunZJK #DisasterResponse#Research"
Nice stuff! Pedro knows I'm competitive, and now he's thrown down the gauntlet. I'll to have to clean up my shared Dropbox (see pinned tweet). For starters, I finally have a new version of my extended TWFE paper -- posted there. It's shorter and hopefully more to the point.
🆕paper out in our Discussion Paper Series by @d3n3bx0r , @ugofratesi , Felipe Livert showing that mayors of Italian municipalities severely affected by earthquakes and not getting financial support are electorally punished in the next election
👇
https://t.co/nLpTIRKtUh
#Chile |
📊⚕️ ¿Cómo los #datos pueden contribuir a mejorar políticas públicas del sistema de salud en 🇨🇱?
✨ ¡Descúbrelo con el Primer Índice de Eficiencia, Acceso y Calidad en Salud, elaborado por @observafiscalcl! ✨
💻 ¡Explora más detalles ACÁ! ➡️ https://t.co/ZbAYi4j2KG
📣 Call for papers 📣
IGC (@IGC_CtW), @WorldBank, @ElliottSchoolGW, @IIEPGW, and @MCCgov will be co-hosting the 8th #Urbanisation and Poverty Reduction conference on 7-8 March, 2024.
Deadline to submit your paper? 17 November, 2023. More details below ⬇️
https://t.co/xln5TXfKZ6
Académico @Flivert desarrolló un estudio para la Cepal: Construcción de viviendas como la salida para enfrentar la recesión después de la pandemia. https://t.co/5GD21J6Z56
Este estudio cuantifica el déficit de vivienda en Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, México, Perú y República Dominicana. Luego determina el efecto de la inversión en vivienda en el empleo y en el crecimiento económico.
https://t.co/WAOgKHAWGI a través de @cepal_onu
🚨 Job alert!🚨
The @bcentralchile is looking for a new Head of the Economic Research Department. A key member of the management team to provide intellectual leadership on research. Apply by August 24th at https://t.co/0lVEH0pJQK.