For-Exx KriptoEn

Technical and Fundamental Analysis of Cryptocurrencies,Stocks and Financial Instruments
Social Media: @ForExxKripto

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

Due to requests from those who couldn't take advantage of the launch discount for personal reasons, the 50% discount will be available one last time starting tomorrow.

It begins tomorrow at 8:00 PM (TSI) and will last 5 days.

Take advantage of this "FINAL 50% DISCOUNT" opportunity.

Course Link: https://t.co/22zyuDIVuq

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

$LUNC is still managing to hold above the support line, despite yesterday's market turmoil, there doesn't seem to be any problem charting...
It needs to test the 8200-8400 level above...
#lunc

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

Today is Fed Day, Chairman Warsh takes the helm. Our comments on bitcoin:native , ripple:native , terra-luna:native , Luna 2.0 and USTC are also in the video.

English dubbing option is available

https://t.co/xG3lpuXLSR

[For-Exx Kripto @ForExxKripto]

Akşam 20.00da %50 İndirim Sona Eriyor. Bu ""SON %50 İNDİRİM"" Fırsatından Faydalanabilirsiniz.

🔗[https://t.co/zg5eA5hIw1]

(Manuel kod: HAZIRAN50)

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

terra-luna:native made its upward reaction as we predicted, but it remained somewhat weak. The anticipation of the #Fed decision may have shortened the magnitude of the reaction, I'm not sure, but there's nothing deteriorating or changing on the chart; it's still in a positive state.
#lunc

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

terra-luna:native has received support from the mini trendline 4 times, buyers are not letting it go down for now, I expect it to consolidate a little more and then the move will start, if the trend breaks, the possibility of 6400 emerges, but there is no reason to think negatively right now. @ForExxKripto
#lunc

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

Warsh's First FOMC Meeting | June 17, 2026

Current Situation

The Fed has held rates at 3.50%–3.75% for three consecutive meetings. May 2026 CPI came in at 4.2% YoY, well above target, while unemployment remains near 4.3%. However, core CPI rose only 0.2% MoM, below expectations, suggesting most inflation pressure is tied to Gulf-related energy shocks.

Scenario Analysis

SCENARIO 1 — Rates Unchanged + Hawkish Tone (~85%)**

Base case. Warsh avoids signaling easing, while the dot plot may push back the timing of future cuts.

🟡 BTC/Crypto → Neutral to mildly bearish, leverage flushed out

🔴 Stocks → Slight decline, "higher for longer" pressure
🔴 #Oil → Downward bias from a stronger dollar
🔴 #Gold → Weakness as real yields stay elevated
🟢 DXY → Higher
SCENARIO 2 — Rates Unchanged + Dovish Surprise (~10%)**

If Warsh opens the door to a September cut, risk assets could rally.

🟢 BTC/Crypto → Strong upside, altcoins outperform
🟢 Stocks → Broad rally led by growth names
🟢 Oil → Higher on weaker dollar and stronger risk appetite
🟢 Gold → Sharp gains as real yields fall
🔴 DXY → Lower
SCENARIO 3 — Surprise Hike / Extremely Hawkish (~5%)**

Low probability but potentially the most disruptive outcome.

🔴 bitcoin:native /Crypto → Sharp selloff, liquidation risk
🔴 Stocks → Significant decline, led by tech
🔴 Oil → Lower on demand concerns
🟡 Gold → Initial drop, then recovery
🟢 DXY → Strong rally

⚠️ The key focus is not the rate decision itself, but the dot plot and Warsh's tone during the press conference.

Decision: ~21:00 (UTC+3)

Press Conference: ~21:30 (UTC+3)
@ForExxKripto

[For-Exx Kripto @ForExxKripto]

https://t.co/KHwywiRm5c

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

📋 KEY DEVELOPMENTS

🔹 Iran's peace agreement was signed yesterday, while the formal treaty is expected this week. A permanent reopening of the Strait of Hormuz could keep pressure on oil prices and support risk assets, including bitcoin:native

🔓 TOKEN UNLOCKS

ethereum:0x66a5cfb2e9c529f14fe6364ad1075df3a649c0a5 (ZKsync) — June 17
• 770M ZK (~$39.4M), equal to 3.67% of circulating supply
• 397.2M to investors, 372.8M to team members
• Selling Pressure: 🔴 High
The unlock exceeds 20% of market cap and coincides with the FOMC decision, creating potential double pressure.

ethereum:0x4d224452801aced8b2f0aebe155379bb5d594381 (ApeCoin) — June 17
• 15.38M APE (~$10.5M), 1.54% of circulating supply
• Selling Pressure: 🟡 Medium

🔭 OUTLOOK

Two major catalysts dominate this week: the expected Iran peace treaty and Warsh's FOMC press conference. If both developments are positive, Bitcoin above $70,000 could quickly become a market discussion again. The large ZK unlock remains the main short-term risk to watch.

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

🔐 CRYPTO REPORT — June 16, 2026

🌐 MARKET OVERVIEW

#Bitcoin briefly reached $ 67,000 before consolidating near $65,700. The Fear & Greed Index improved from 20 to 23. SpaceX gained another 20% on its second trading day, marking back-to-back strong sessions.

₿ BITCOIN

The FOMC meeting began today. The rate decision is due June 17–18, with Fed Chair Warsh's press conference scheduled for June 18. If the Iran peace process continues to pressure oil prices, it could give Warsh room for a more dovish tone. These two catalysts remain the market's primary focus.

Meanwhile, the CFTC is considering blocking CME's proposed 24/7 crude oil contract, which would integrate crypto-style trading hours into traditional commodity markets, highlighting regulatory concerns over market convergence.

🔷 ETHEREUM & ALTCOINS

#Ethereum is leading the recovery among major cryptocurrencies this week.

Congress is also preparing a crypto theft task force following the DOJ's decision to dissolve its dedicated crypto enforcement unit.

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

ripple:native tested 1.29 yesterday and was then pushed back down to 1.21, but I think it will re-enter the 1.28-1.52 range it has been fluctuating in for the past 4 months...
#ripple
@ForExxKripto

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

terra-luna:native has received support from the mini trendline 4 times, buyers are not letting it go down for now, I expect it to consolidate a little more and then the move will start, if the trend breaks, the possibility of 6400 emerges, but there is no reason to think negatively right now. @ForExxKripto
#lunc

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

🔐 CRYPTO REPORT — June 15, 2026

🌐 MARKET OVERVIEW

The U.S. and Iran signed a ceasefire agreement, with a formal peace deal expected this week. Stocks, gold, oil, and crypto rallied together. Bitcoin opened at its highest level since early June, trading near $66,600, while Ethereum gained 2.6%.

₿ BITCOIN

A permanent peace deal and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz could support further upside for crypto.

Last week, Bitcoin dropped from $73,000 to below $60,000 before recovering to around $63,500. Saylor's sale of 32 BTC briefly pressured sentiment but was negligible compared to his 845,000 BTC holdings. Progress in Iran talks and SpaceX's IPO helped fuel the rebound.

RSI stands at 36.34, indicating neutral momentum. Key support levels are $64,385, $63,001, and $62,309.

🔷 ETHEREUM & ALTCOINS

Ethereum's market cap has recovered to $233 billion, still far below Bitcoin's $ 1.33 trillion. SpaceX's MSCI inclusion is also supporting activity in Hyperliquid's SPCX synthetic market.

📋 KEY DEVELOPMENTS

🔹 Polymarket's "Bitcoin price in 2026" market has generated $ 42.8 million in volume, with bullish expectations rising after the ceasefire announcement.

🔹 The June 16–17 FOMC meeting will be Warsh's first as Fed Chair. Lower energy pressure could give the Fed more room for a dovish stance.

🔓 TOKEN UNLOCKS

vana:native — June 16
• 5.19M VANA (~$35.3M)
• 4.33% of supply
• Selling Pressure: Medium

ethereum:0x66a5cfb2e9c529f14fe6364ad1075df3a649c0a5 — June 17
• 770M ZK (~$41.6M)
• 3.67% of max supply
• Investor + team allocation
• Selling Pressure: High
🔭 OUTLOOK

The Iran peace process and FOMC meeting are the week's key catalysts. A formal agreement combined with a dovish Fed tone could push Bitcoin back toward the $70,000 discussion. The large ZK unlock remains a short-term risk.

bitcoin:native

[For-Exx Kripto @ForExxKripto]

Kimseye Bağlı Kalmadan 0'dan 100'e Teknik Ve Temel Analiz kursumuzun %50 indiriminden faydalanmak için son 2 gün...

Bu son %50 indirim fırsatına kaçırmadan göz atın 👇

🔗 [https://t.co/zg5eA5hIw1]

(Manuel kod: HAZIRAN50)

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

$LUNC appears to be preparing for an upward move that could extend to the 8400 level; every minute it stays above 7200 increases the probability of reaching 8400. @ForExxKripto
#lunc

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

Could the Peace Agreement Trigger a Rally in Cryptocurrencies, Especially Bitcoin? Analysis of terra-luna:native , bitcoin:native , ripple:native , USTC, and Luna 2.0 is in the video.

English dubbing option is available

https://t.co/VCud0UavII

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

June 15–20, 2026 | Weekly Risk Calendar

🎯 Main Theme

Markets have been waiting for this week. Warsh is holding his first Fed meeting as Chair after May CPI jumped to 4.2% and May NFP reached 172K, nearly double expectations. Rates are expected to remain unchanged, but markets are focused on the dot plot and how far Warsh will push his strategy of uncertainty. The BoJ and BoE will also announce decisions, putting three major central banks into the same 48-hour window.

📅 Economic Calendar (UTC+3)

Wednesday – June 17

🇯🇵 05:00–06:00 — BoJ Rate Decision

No change is expected after rates were left at 0.75% in May. The Hormuz energy shock has increased Japan's import costs and pressured the yen. Ueda's comments could influence global risk sentiment through JPY and carry-trade positioning.

🇺🇸 21:00 — FOMC Rate Decision + SEP + Dot Plot

🇺🇸 21:30 — Fed Chair Warsh Press Conference
The week's key event.

→ How many hikes does the 2026 dot plot signal?

→ Will inflation forecasts rise while growth forecasts fall?
→ How different will Warsh's communication style be from Powell's?
Thursday – June 18

🇬🇧 14:00 — BoE Rate Decision + MPC Minutes

No rate change is expected. The vote split and tone of the minutes could shape July expectations. GBP moves may have indirect effects on crypto markets.

⚡ Crypto & Market Risks

• Warsh (21:30): If the dot plot signals two hikes, the dollar and Treasury yields could rise, increasing pressure on crypto. If guidance remains vague, sharp two-way volatility is possible.

• BoJ: A hawkish surprise during low-liquidity hours could strengthen the yen, disrupt carry trades, and trigger downside wicks in BTC and ETH.

• FOMC + BoE: Similar messages may reinforce moves in the dollar and risk assets. Conflicting guidance could create a difficult, highly volatile trading environment.

bitcoin:native ripple:native

[For-Exx Kripto @ForExxKripto]

İkinci ve son %50 indirim fırsatı.

5 günlük %50 indirim — 12-17 Haziran arası geçerli.

Linke tıklayarak %50 indirim alabilirsiniz.

🔗 [https://t.co/zg5eA5hIw1]

(Manuel kod: HAZIRAN50)

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

terra-luna:native looks close to closing above the 7200 level. If it does, the 8400 target zone comes into play.

I won't be taking a long position here. Out of roughly 50–60 #LUNC trades I've shared over the years, only two have hit stop-loss, and both were longs. Most of you have witnessed that track record for years already.

So, as a totem for all of you, I'll stay away from this one.

If an Iran–U.S. agreement is reached, this tailwind alone could even push LUNC toward dropping an entire zero.

And if, on Wednesday, a Fed official starts talking about rate cuts...

Markets could shift into rally mode for a while.

Keep a close eye on the news flow.
@ForExxKripto

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

🔐 CRYPTO REPORT — June 12, 2026

🌐 MARKET OVERVIEW

bitcoin:native rose 3.4% from yesterday’s open, while Eth gained 3.2%. Total crypto market cap recovered to 2.25T. The Fear & Greed Index remains at 12 for a third consecutive day, showing persistent extreme fear. Today’s main catalysts were Iran’s peace proposal and the Nasdaq debut of Spacex.

₿ BITCOIN

Iran submitted a draft peace agreement to the U.S. Trump said a European location and date will be selected for a signing ceremony. Unlike previous “peace is near” headlines, negotiations now include a concrete draft agreement.

Bitcoin continues trading just above its realized price, while ETF demand remains weak. The rebound is improving sentiment but still lacks strong institutional confirmation.

🔷 ALTCOINS

SpaceX ( $SPCX ) started trading on Nasdaq today. The IPO was priced at $135, opened at $150, and reached $168.75 intraday. The company briefly hit a $2.21T valuation, making it the second-largest public company behind Amazon. The $75B raise became the largest IPO in history.

Monero (monero:native ) jumped to $438 after ZachXBT linked a $120M laundering operation to recent activity and Tether froze $72M in USDT. Increased privacy demand supported the rally.

📋 HEADLINES

🔹 Bitcoin Core 31.0 contains a flaw that may expose IP addresses through the -privatebroadcast feature. A fix is coming in version 31.1.

🔹 NFTfi will shut down on August 31 after processing $737M in loans, highlighting the continued decline of NFT lending.

🔹 Avalanche Treasury Co. (AVAT) listed on Nasdaq and holds 15M Avax

🔓 TOKEN UNLOCKS

ONDO, SUI, LIT and other linear unlocks: ~$16M. Sell Pressure: 🟢 Low.

🔭 OUTLOOK

A peace draft from Iran, SpaceX’s record IPO, and Bitcoin’s rebound arrived on the same day. If the agreement progresses, lower oil prices could ease inflation pressure and give the Fed more flexibility. The June 17 FOMC meeting is the next key catalyst.