It is fun playing electoral calculus @DPJHodges but bottom line such outcomes as a Lib-Lab-Nat pact or Tory Reform cohabitation wd be disaster for already fragile country possibly leading to its demise. That said whatever happens things so bad profound political reckoning coming
Just watching Presidents Cup. Pale imitation of Ryder Cup and it is missing you far more than you should miss it. Hopefully, you will take yr rightful place in next year's US Ryder Cup team....so we can give you Yanks another good beating!
@JJSpaun
@DPJHodges@LordAshcroft So, if the vote shares on the Right collapse due to a pre-election pact who exactly do these voters vote for? They are not going to stay at home given the state of the country by then. Wishful thinking?
@DPJHodges Yes, but it is a mark of echo chambers that those who dwell therein are comvinced they are stronger than they are making the invasion of reality at an election devastating. Strategy thus also needs to mobilise the base by making them face reality before not after an election.
@DPJHodges My point yesterday re racism has been made by responses you received. There is racism as well as an enormous policy failure. Such rapid large scale immigration will only make racism far worse. What is your plan to manage immigration & rebuild respect irrespective of skin colour?
@DPJHodges The only definition of Englishness/Britishness for me is loyalty to the country. My wider point is that 'racism' has become a turn off word for lots of people who might bw comvinced if u pointed out Reform leaders who use such language are historically illiterate
@DPJHodges You are best when you analyse rather than prosyletyze. I know you are a commentator but your vehement dislike of Reform comes across as spite. They have enough wrong with them for you to hang them with their own petard. These days citing racism tends to undermine yr argument.
@DPJHodges It is mark of contempt which ALL hold political caste. Voters face choice between bad, sad, mad and the cad. Noone in politics tells truth, noone expects truth & noone can believe in such an elite. Elections now simply about pursuit self-interest & who pretends best to offer it
@DPJHodges Further factor in play: Burnham's majority is too big to govern effectively. A smaller majority would discipline unruly backbenchers and get rid of many of the 2024 no hopers. Electoral calculus now gives him that. Analysis thus suggests he wd be mad NOT to call early election
@DPJHodges It is not an analysis I like but it is compelling. Your great strength. The centre right needs to stop plotting against each other and start planning together to beat Crash and Burnham. Sadly, egos bigger than planets will come before the state of the nation.
@ShippersUnbound Crash and Burnham's world view stops only goes as far as the Labour Left. He has no idea of the threat Britain faces. In Putin's mind we are very essence of West he hates. Add HM Treasury economists who think we can only recognise as much threat as they think we can afford.
I am afraid your statement on 3%/2030 smacks of more strategic illiteracy. You do not decide how much threat you can afford. The threats are the threats as laid out in #SDR2025 which your government commissioned. Defence planners prioritizes & then costs responses
@wesstreeting
Madame, as soon as the pressure on your security and fire services has eased I will try and come to visit your beautiful region in solidarity and to help you recover.
@n_delattre