Frontier Research SL

Economic Research for the boardroom
Trusted, independent macro advisory partner.

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Frontier Research appoints economist Thilina Panduwawala as Executive Director, effective 01st January 2027. He led our research through Sri Lanka’s default and debt restructuring, and most recently at the Parliament’s Committee on Public Finance. #SriLanka #Macro

[Frontier Research SL @FrontierResSL]

Brent crude futures plunged nearly 9% overnight, falling below USD 100/bbl, with prices down around 20% so far this week.

With the US midterm election developments and possible effects on the Iran conflict, where do you think Brent crude prices will settle by the end of 2026?

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SL's exports grew by 17% YoY in September 2026, largely driven by a 22% increase in merchandise exports, which surpassed USD 1.38 Bn during the month.

While the US still remains as SL’s largest export market, which country do you think is the 2nd largest market so far in 2026?

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SL's Current Account for the year stands at a mild deficit of USD 290 Mn by end-August with four more months to go in the year. As the country continues on its recovery pathway amidst heavy global volatility,where will SL's Current account be by end-2027?

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Global debt has passed USD 365 trillion, rising by over USD 10 trillion in 1H 2026,source:Institute of International Finance (IIF). Emerging market economies (EMEs) accounted for around USD 6.5 trillion of this increase. Which EME would've contributed the most to the debt surge?

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What do you think Sri Lanka's gross official reserves will be by the end of this year?

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We’re hiring!

Frontier Research is looking for a Head of Operations & Systems to shape the systems behind our business and help grow our News & Intelligence offering.

📍 Colombo | Full-time
Think you’re a fit? Send your CV to [email protected].

[Frontier Research SL @FrontierResSL]

Three years have gone by since the passing of our founder, Amal. The values Amal instilled continue to shape everything we do at Frontier.

We honour his memory today and welcome you to do the same by sharing a message or memory with us.

[Frontier Research SL @FrontierResSL]

For more information, contact us at [email protected].

[Frontier Research SL @FrontierResSL]

Mid-year check-in: How has the Sri Lankan economy performed?

Our Research Analyst, Theeksha Gunasinghe, assesses the shocks Sri Lanka has faced since the 2022 economic crisis and examines the structural shifts that have reshaped the domestic economy.

[Frontier Research SL @FrontierResSL]

He also explores what these changes mean for the country's economic outlook moving forward.

For a deeper analysis, read our June edition of the Sri Lanka Economic Monthly report, titled ‘Welcome to the New Sri Lanka’, available on Athena, our online research platform.

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For more information, read our report titled ‘In Focus: Consumer Demand Dynamics for 2026 and 2027’, available on Athena, our online research platform.

[Frontier Research SL @FrontierResSL]

How has Sri Lanka's consumer story evolved?

Our team examines the structural shifts shaping Sri Lanka's consumer landscape, alongside the trends that preceded them, to understand the factors driving this upgrade.

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Total workers' remittances during the first quarter of 2026 amounted close to USD 2.3 billion according to latest data by the CBSL.

Which country do you think brought in the highest amount of remittances?

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Given the volatile global environment currently, where do you think the Gross Official Reserves number will be by end 2026?

[Frontier Research SL @FrontierResSL]

With rates being hiked up by 100bps, where do you think credit growth (YoY) will be by end 2026?

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Read the full South Asian Macro Watch March 2026 report on our online research platform, Athena, for more information!

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Has South Asia managed to withstand the pressures of the recent Middle East conflict?

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Himaru Yatipansalawa, Research Analyst, and Paveera Deheragoda, Junior Research Analyst, examine how the region fared in March 2026, assessing both its momentum and the risks South Asia may continue to face in light of the ongoing conflict.

[Frontier Research SL @FrontierResSL]

SL posted a current account surplus for the third consecutive year in 2025. However, the evolving Gulf conflict introduces some level of uncertainty towards sustaining this number.

Taking this into context , where do you see Sri Lanka’s current account settling by end-2026?