Elastics raised $2M pre-seed for AI agents for prediction markets.
Led by @frst_vc, with angels from @ElevenLabs, @xbtogroup, @redstone_defi and @a16z.
Building AI-native operating system for prediction markets where you trade with words, and agents automate your trading.
Today we’re shipping Laguna M.1 and Laguna XS.2 – our first public models. We’re also shipping our agent harness and a preview product experience.
Both models were trained from scratch on our own stack: data pipelines, training infrastructure, and agent RL.
Un entrepreneur Président de la République 🇫🇷 ? 65% des français pensent que ce serait une bonne chose !
C’est l’un des résultats choc de notre nouveau sondage, réalisé en partenariat avec Harris Interactive.
Dans le détail, 6 noms ont été testés (Bernard Arnault, Vincent Bolloré, Michel-Edouard Leclerc, Xavier Niel, Stanislas Niox-Chateau et François-Henri Pinault), avec la question “Pourriez-vous voter pour chacun des entrepreneurs suivants au 1er tour de la prochaine élection présidentielle ?”
Le duel médiatique des derniers jours se retrouve dans les résultats :
🏬 Michel-Edouard Leclerc arrive premier avec 40% de oui ("certainement" + "probablement")
👜 Bernard Arnault arrive deuxième avec 33%
🥼 Tandis que Stanislas Niox-Chateau ravit de peu la 3e place à Xavier Niel avec 29% contre 28% !
Des chiffres vertigineux quand on pense que le seuil pour passer au 2e tour est compris entre 20% et 25% d’après les derniers sondages.
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Méthodologie : Enquête réalisée en ligne du 31 janvier au 4 février 2025 sur un échantillon de 1 077 personnes représentatif de la population française âgée de 18 ans et plus, avec la méthode des quotas et redressement appliqués aux variables suivantes : sexe, âge, catégorie socioprofessionnelle et région de l’interviewé(e).
/ We are hiring /
Each year, our team of three partners invests in the first days of the 10 best entrepreneurs minted by the French ecosystem, driven by the ambition to create global giants.
After 10 years of relentlessly seeking them out, we know exactly what we want to see in them: Ambition, Vision, Execution (more in reply). This allows us to commit €2-5m in just two one-hour meetings, often even before the company is officially registered.
This extreme focus eliminates the need for a large team. We only require a junior profile (1-3 years of experience) whom we hope to see grow into an industry star. This is reflected in real responsibilities and a share of carried interest from day one.
We are now recruiting to find this person. If you know them and tell them about this opportunity, you will be doing them—and us—a great service.
P.S. The next chapter of our story is European—buckle up!
Is Elon Musk popular in Europe?
We are publishing today the January ELONSCORE (share of positive opinions) for France, Germany, the UK, Italy, and Sweden, in partnership with @harrisint_fr.
Detailed results by population subcategories are viewable and downloadable on our (@frst_vc) website (link in next comment).
Many notable findings, among them:
-France: 36% (+8 vs. December) / 51% with people under 35 yo
-Italy: 51% / 57% with people under 35 yo
-Germany: 33% / 50% with people under 35 yo
-UK: 36% / 47% with people under 35 yo
-Sweden: 36% / 46% with people under 35 yo
-Material differences between men and women in every country
-Broadly speaking, homogeneous results across all income categories
For reference, other studies calculated a US ELONSCORE of 37% (PBS) and a Trump score of 21% in France (IPSOS).
Make Europe Great Again! One bottleneck at a time.
Today, we’re thrilled to announce a transformative partnership with AWS that establishes poolside as a first-party AWS offering. This means poolside's product and models are now available to be contracted directly from AWS — a significant milestone in our trajectory.
We hesitated before going live with this post, because it contains most of what we know about our craft.
But it made it too good not to share!
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Ambition, Vision, Execution
Our investment thesis
https://t.co/jYSrFftcbI
In this decade AI will surpass human capabilities in software development and we will make tremendous progress towards the broader mission of AGI. 🧵
https://t.co/KCRE9HnQlO
Pour @PEntremont, CEO et cofondateur de @frst_vc, 2 choses comptent au moment de faire des choix : l’impact qu’auront nos décisions dans dix ans et rester sincère avec soi-même. Pour + de conseils en investissement seed 👉 https://t.co/kSg7VaiQRa
Who are the TRUE pre-seed investors of Europe?
Not those that do pre-seed from time to time but who do a majority of their deals in this stage.
Some that comes to mind:
@seedcamp 🇬🇧
@picuscap 🇩🇪
@PreSeedVentures 🇩🇰
@icebreakervc 🇫🇮
@frst_vc 🇫🇷
Which others?