I have dealt with a lot of theft and fraud in my life. It comes with the job of being a ship captain.
The problem is never the theft. It’s the work the theft creates.
Someone once stole a $500 radio out of our lifeboat. Five hundred dollars is a rounding error on a rig burning a million a day. Everyone had a pretty good idea who took it, but he almost certainly dropped it over the side, so there was no evidence, and with no evidence there was no reprimand.
That $500 radio, a safety critical item, cost us hundreds of man hours. Paperwork. An investigation. New HR anti-theft training for every soul on board. Remedial steps to make sure it never happened again. Then a helicopter to fly the replacement out.
That is the real cost of fraud in any system. For every dollar stolen, hundreds go to the agencies and nonprofits that exist to “fix” the problem. The theft is the seed. The compliance apparatus is the tree.
The only real fix is to fire the people everyone already knows are stealing. HR will never allow it, because the entire anti-radio-theft ecosystem that grew up around the loss would collapse overnight. The ecosystem needs the thief more than the thief needs the radio.
And theft is spectacularly inefficient on its own terms. Even if he got that radio ashore, it was worth maybe two hundred used on ebay. We spent tens of thousands to replace three hundred dollars of value that no longer existed anywhere in the world. It would have been WAY cheaper to hand him the radio and a receipt.
That is the part nobody in the fraud-prevention business wants said out loud: the loss is almost never what breaks you. What breaks you is everything the institution builds to prove it responded.
The saddest truth is it would be far cheaper to just send every Somali home with a million dollars each. They would be happier. We would be happier. Everyone would be better off except the NGOs
This Shiloh Hendrix verdict is complete fucking bullshit and a disgrace to the Constitution.
It is not a crime to use mean words. That is protected speech under the First Amendment. Full stop.
The original charge about her saying the N-word to a child was thrown out, she was not convicted of that.
Instead, a corrupt Minnesota jury and liberal Judge convicted her for telling off a Somali piece of shit who was antagonizing her with his cellphone, harassing her, following her to her car and deliberately baiting her into saying something he could film and weaponize.
He stalked and provoked. She responded with words. And now she’s the criminal?
Nope, fuck you.
This is a massive injustice. This is Anti-White racism. It cannot be allowed to stand.
.@LeaderJohnThune, I hereby object to any effort to put the Senate into recess in August—at least until such time as the Senate has passed the SAVE America Act—and hereby request a roll call vote.
Do not assume you have my consent.
You do not.
The @WNBA says that the @sophaller finger point can't be licensed by brands because it is "derogatory."
I will make it from @xx_xyathletics for Sophie without licensing it, so she makes all the money. I'll make it on her behalf.
She should make all the money off her own meme.
¡Micrófono en el suelo! Elon Musk aplasta a la reportera que lo tacha de “extrema derecha” con una respuesta tan brutal que dejó el estudio en silencio: “En realidad… solo somos personas normales. Aquí están los principios: • Fronteras seguras • Ciudades seguras • Gasto sensato. ¿Cuáles de esos tres suenan ‘extrema derecha’? ¡Ninguno!”. Y le clava la estocada final: “Quiero reprenderte a ti y a todos los medios por esta caracterización absurda, falsa, engañosa y sin sentido de la extrema derecha. ¡Mantengan esta parte grabada!”.
Y no se detuvo ahí… “Literalmente podrías retroceder 10 o 15 años y estas políticas eran completamente normales. El truco más divertido es tomar un discurso de Obama o de Hillary, leérselo a alguien de la izquierda lunática y preguntarle: ‘¿Qué te parece este discurso de Trump?’. Y te responden: ‘¡Es la peor persona de la historia!’. Y tú les sueltas: ‘En realidad… era Obama. O Hillary!’”. Lo dejó sin palabras.
MIC DROP!🎤
Elon: “The fact, as you pointed out, is that a quarter billion people follow me. I think a lot more people actually like me than don’t, and I think a lot more people hate you and the media more than you realize.”
INBOX: A source tells me that this car, which features an "8647" sticker on the back, is parked in an employee-only parking garage at the Arizona Attorney General's office.
"8647" is a symbol used to call for the ass*ssination of President Trump.
Kris Mayes, a Democrat, leads the Arizona AG office.
Any comment @arizonaago?
Stand your ground. If you cede anything to them, they will continue taking and stealing until there is nothing left of you.
We’ve seen this happen too many times to nice women and girls who initially speak honestly about this issue but then open themselves up to being devoured.
The U.S. soldier who violated Article 88 of the UCMJ by making derogatory comments about the President while in uniform has been identified as First Lieutenant Patrick Kyser, who has earned a substantial pension after 14 years of service.
Let’s make sure he doesn’t get it.
Just found out I have yet another Democrat neighbor (hence their political yard signs). They are from Massachusetts, one of the bluest states in the country, of course they are.
I am so sick and tired of you liberal Yankee retards moving to our SUPER RED areas & voting for the same bullsht that made you FLEE your high tax, dirty, crime ridden home town.
We are red for a reason here. If I wanted to be Massachusetts or or Maryland or New York, I would fking move there.
But of course, your home town goes to sht, you can’t afford to live there anymore, so you move down here on the gulf coast where it’s relatively inexpensive to live, it’s CLEAN, & super low crime, and yet, you STILL vote the same way.
Words cannot describe how much we deep south Southerners fking DESPISE you.
President Trump has asked all Americans to call Sen. John Thune's office and ask - RESPECTFULLY - that he gets the SAVE America Act passed. The "respectfully" part was a little hard for me, but I did it.
Now it’s your turn: (202) 224-2321
If only there was a way to stop this type of “software error” that allowed non citizens to vote in our elections.
I hope Senators @CoryBooker and @SenatorAndyKim will join us in voting to pass the SAVE America Act to ensure that only eligible American voters can participate in New Jersey elections, and all elections across the United States.
Hi Senator Hickenlooper.
You have opinions. But I have evidence. All science is numbers; let's look at them.
The link between climate change (in an anthropogenic sense) and droughts is actually not so crystal clear.
Globally, there has been no statistically significant change in the amount of land area experiencing meteorological drought since the early 1980s, when reliable monitoring began (p-value = 0.195). Trends in exceptional drought are even less significant (p = 0.263)
🔗https://t.co/9dNRQEItaH
Chapter 11 of IPCC AR6 WG1 affirms this, stating in Section 6.4.5,
💬 “𝑇ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑒 𝑖𝑠 𝒍𝒐𝒘 𝒄𝒐𝒏𝒇𝒊𝒅𝒆𝒏𝒄𝒆 𝑡ℎ𝑎𝑡 ℎ𝑢𝑚𝑎𝑛 𝑖𝑛𝑓𝑙𝑢𝑒𝑛𝑐𝑒 ℎ𝑎𝑠 𝑎𝑓𝑓𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑡𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑑𝑠 𝑖𝑛 𝒎𝒆𝒕𝒆𝒐𝒓𝒐𝒍𝒐𝒈𝒊𝒄𝒂𝒍 𝒅𝒓𝒐𝒖𝒈𝒉𝒕𝒔 𝑖𝑛 𝑚𝑜𝑠𝑡 𝑟𝑒𝑔𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑠. . . 𝑇ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑒 𝑖𝑠 𝒎𝒆𝒅𝒊𝒖𝒎 𝒄𝒐𝒏𝒇𝒊𝒅𝒆𝒏𝒄𝒆 𝑡ℎ𝑎𝑡 ℎ𝑢𝑚𝑎𝑛-𝑖𝑛𝑑𝑢𝑐𝑒𝑑 𝑐𝑙𝑖𝑚𝑎𝑡𝑒 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 ℎ𝑎𝑠 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑏𝑢𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑡𝑜 𝒊𝒏𝒄𝒓𝒆𝒂𝒔𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝒕𝒓𝒆𝒏𝒅𝒔 𝑖𝑛 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑜𝑟 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑛𝑠𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑜𝑓 𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝒂𝒈𝒓𝒊𝒄𝒖𝒍𝒕𝒖𝒓𝒂𝒍 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝒆𝒄𝒐𝒍𝒐𝒈𝒊𝒄𝒂𝒍 𝒅𝒓𝒐𝒖𝒈𝒉𝒕𝒔, 𝑙𝑒𝑎𝑑𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑡𝑜 𝑎𝑛 𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑠𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑎𝑓𝑓𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑎𝑟𝑒𝑎. 𝐻𝑢𝑚𝑎𝑛-𝑖𝑛𝑑𝑢𝑒𝑑 𝑐𝑙𝑖𝑚𝑎𝑡𝑒 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 ℎ𝑎𝑠 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑏𝑢𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑡𝑜 𝑔𝑙𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑙-𝑠𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑒 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑙𝑜𝑤 𝑓𝑙𝑜𝑤, 𝑏𝑢𝑡 𝒉𝒖𝒎𝒂𝒏 𝒘𝒂𝒕𝒆𝒓 𝒎𝒂𝒏𝒂𝒈𝒆𝒎𝒆𝒏𝒕 𝒂𝒏𝒅 𝒍𝒂𝒏𝒅-𝒖𝒔𝒆 𝒄𝒉𝒂𝒏𝒈𝒆𝒔 𝒂𝒓𝒆 𝒂𝒍𝒔𝒐 𝒊𝒎𝒑𝒐𝒓𝒕𝒂𝒏𝒕 𝒅𝒓𝒊𝒗𝒆𝒓𝒔.”
🔗https://t.co/eBo6M72r2l
Vicente-Serrano et al. (2022) investigated changes in various drought types, concluding similarly that,
💬 “𝑨 𝒈𝒍𝒐𝒃𝒂𝒍 𝒊𝒏𝒄𝒓𝒆𝒂𝒔𝒆 𝒊𝒏 𝒕𝒉𝒆 𝒔𝒆𝒗𝒆𝒓𝒊𝒕𝒚 𝒐𝒇 𝒎𝒆𝒕𝒆𝒐𝒓𝒐𝒍𝒐𝒈𝒊𝒄𝒂𝒍 𝒅𝒓𝒐𝒖𝒈𝒉𝒕 𝒊𝒔 𝒏𝒐𝒕 𝒔𝒖𝒑𝒑𝒐𝒓𝒕𝒆𝒅 𝑏𝑦 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑎𝑛𝑎𝑙𝑦𝑠𝑖𝑠 𝑜𝑓 𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑖𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑑𝑒𝑓𝑖𝑐𝑖𝑡𝑠, 𝑎𝑠 𝑜𝑛𝑙𝑦 𝑎 𝑓𝑒𝑤 𝑟𝑒𝑔𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑠 𝑜𝑓 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑤𝑜𝑟𝑙𝑑 𝑠ℎ𝑜𝑤 𝑎𝑛 𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑠𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑠𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑜𝑓 𝑚𝑒𝑡𝑒𝑜𝑟𝑜𝑙𝑜𝑔𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑑𝑟𝑜𝑢𝑔ℎ𝑡𝑠.”
What's more, the authors found that the observed regional increases in hydrological droughts were largely related to other man-made influences such as land use change, not a from greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.
💬 “𝑰𝒏𝒄𝒓𝒆𝒂𝒔𝒆𝒔 𝑖𝑛 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑓𝑟𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑒𝑛𝑐𝑦 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑠𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑜𝑓 𝒉𝒚𝒅𝒓𝒐𝒍𝒐𝒈𝒊𝒄𝒂𝒍 𝒅𝒓𝒐𝒖𝒈𝒉𝒕𝒔 𝑐𝑎𝑛 𝑏𝑒 𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑐𝑒𝑑 𝑖𝑛 𝑝𝑎𝑟𝑡 𝑡𝑜 ℎ𝑢𝑚𝑎𝑛 𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑒𝑠 𝑠𝑢𝑐ℎ 𝑎𝑠 𝒍𝒂𝒏𝒅 𝒖𝒔𝒆 𝒄𝒉𝒂𝒏𝒈𝒆 𝒂𝒏𝒅 𝒂𝒈𝒓𝒊𝒄𝒖𝒍𝒕𝒖𝒓𝒂𝒍 𝒊𝒏𝒕𝒆𝒏𝒔𝒊𝒇𝒊𝒄𝒂𝒕𝒊𝒐𝒏 (𝑒.𝑔., 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑀𝑒𝑑𝑖𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑟𝑎𝑛𝑒𝑎𝑛 𝑎𝑟𝑒𝑎, 𝑁𝑜𝑟𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑎𝑠𝑡 𝐵𝑟𝑎𝑧𝑖𝑙).”
🔗https://t.co/v3KzYc1tp4
In the U.S., there has been no increase in either the amount of abnormally dry land area or magnitude of droughts since at least 1895. The worst droughts on record occurred during the 1930s and 1950s.
🔗https://t.co/NEp0TaQ9oh
As for the western U.S., while much of the region has indeed been in drought for the last 25 years, it is not at all unprecedented in geological scope, though it is in terms of its socioeconomic impacts simply because of the tens of millions of people who live there and rely on the water. That said, meteorologically speaking, the region has experienced many droughts eclipsing the current, the most recent of which lasted ~400 years from 900–1300 AD during the Medieval Warm Period (Cook et al., 2004).
🔗https://t.co/cDYishn7Rh
Morgan & Pomerleau (2012) further support the idea of a Medieval Megadrought with a study on Cliff Lake in the Sierra Nevada. They concluded that waters in Cliff Lake were ~5 meters lower than present levels for a period of ~50 years more than 600 years ago. They were able to determine this by radiocarbon dating the wood and noting where the stump is submerged.
🔗https://t.co/YpRV5e2JOu
While drought increasing in certain regions (e.g., the Western U.S.) would potentially be consistent with anthropogenic global warming, it's also consistent with natural global warming or some combination of both. The fact is that GHGs had nothing to do with the Medieval Megadrought, so it becomes quite challenging attributing the ongoing [and less severe drought] to GHG forcing.
We have 12 days before they declare that Mitch McConnell is dead and it’s too late to hold a special election. Is anybody gonna say anything?
Isn’t there like some kind of investigative journalist out there who can figure this out?