Newsletter on swing trading dropping later today. If you want some wisdom on the easiest way to make money with the stock market may be worth a read
https://t.co/QR7DGlmtab
$ABCL caught a starter position near low of day today, will use today’s low as risk, might add if this one consolidates before next rip higher, high beta mover
There is always another opportunity. It’s ok to play for a short term bounce, I do it all the time.
But as soon as you start buying just because you don’t want to be left behind your emotions are already in control.
Some thoughts on Gold & Silver
With the dollar setting up for a potential type 2 breakout here, I would resist temptation to bottom feed for gold here, at least in size.
Now gold is down circa 30% for the highs so buying in your pension is absolutely fine here.
But you will often hear the macro guys state that currencies are like commercial ocean liners in the way they move. This is broadly evident in recent decades.
Couple that with idiom that commodities make spike tops, broad based bottoms (and equities vice versa fwiw), and you have a potential thesis. Now I’ve done the donkey work to put some evidence to this theory so I’m going to hold off the leverage at least for now-you should do the same.
Gold could make a double bottom here and continue the strong uptrend on the higher timeframes. But I won’t be adding to my long term holds just yet 💷
June 1948:
HMT Empire Windrush arrives in England with 802 Caribbeans aboard
July 1948:
The post-war socialist government grants them citizenship (British Nationality Act 1948)
August 1948:
J.R.R. Tolkien writes ‘The Scouring of the Shire’, the penultimate chapter of the Lord of the Rings.
After the war, hobbits return to the Shire only to find that socialism and ‘ruffians from foreign parts’ have destroyed their high-trust, homogenous society.
Under Merry and Pippin’s leadership they rise up, bring down the socialist regime and deport anyone that isn’t a hobbit…
Total Remigration.
Peter Jackson cut it from the films.
Anthropic is panicking over the release of Kimi K3. In fact, the entire U.S. AI frontier lab ecosystem is panicking right now.
When investors figure out that U.S. frontier labs have no viable long-term revenue model from paying retail customers (because China's models are both better and cheaper), the AI investment bubble will crash.
In my humble opinion…
There are weeks to make money, and there are weeks to play defense.
Just scrolling through my feed, I’ve seen a bunch of posts from people whose accounts are down 30-40% this week.
It shows you how humbling the market can be. More importantly, it shows what happens when you don’t have risk management or an exit strategy.
Losing money sucks. But what sucks even more is knowing how long it’ll take to get your equity curve back to its highs.
Avoid large drawdowns at all costs. It doesn’t matter how strong your thesis is on a company. I’ve seen stocks make new highs and then not see those highs again for 2-3 years.
Stay loyal to your equity curve before you stay loyal to any company.