Michael Ganslmeier

I search for correlation and causation.
Assist. Prof in Data Science at UCL
Ex-Fellow at LSE | PhD from Oxford

[Michael Ganslmeier @GanslmeierM]

#ResearchIntegrity #PNAS #OpenScience #Reproducibility #DataFabrication #AcademicTwitter #PoliticalScience #SocialScience #RobustnessChecks #ModelUncertainty

[Michael Ganslmeier @GanslmeierM]

🚨 New paper out in PNAS @PNASNews 🚨

Following recent high-profile research fraud scandals, we asked:

👉 How stable are findings—even when researchers follow the rules?

With Tim Vlandas (Oxford), we analyzed 3.6B regression coefficients.

Surprising results ahead. 🧵⬇️

(1/6)

[Michael Ganslmeier @GanslmeierM]

(6/6)

🧠Bottom line:
Fraud makes headlines. But our study shows even honest research can flip depending on design.

Robustness isn’t about one decision — it’s about the entire modeling universe.

📄Paper: https://t.co/wsjzFO2e9V
🧪Replication: https://t.co/Jhlr1RploT

[Michael Ganslmeier @GanslmeierM]

10/
📄Read the full article: https://t.co/fUcmSR9jgn

Would love to hear from others working on campaigns, voter behavior, or political psychology!

#PoliticalScience #Elections #CampaignPromises

[Michael Ganslmeier @GanslmeierM]

🧵 Did Trump’s wall actually win him votes — or was it just political theater?

What if a campaign promise alone could sway voters — even before it’s delivered?
👇

[Michael Ganslmeier @GanslmeierM]

9/
So yes — economic promises can win votes.
But the effect is fleeting.
They change behavior, not identity.

[IMF @IMFNews]

Some governments faced massive public protests as they tried to implement policies to meet the 2015 Paris climate agreement. New IMF staff research identifies ways to help manage the political economy of climate change policies. Read how in #IMFBlog https://t.co/JeMDIVK0ru

[Oxford DSPI @DSPI_Oxford]

Are policies designed to avert climate change politically costly?

Davide Furceri, @GanslmeierM, Jonathan D. Ostry find that policy design matters | @cepr_org

https://t.co/jnUIFJuS0j

@IMFNews