Gas Alpha

#PWCDD #HDD #CDD forecasts, storage projections, basis analytics, renewables.
#NatGas Intelligence

[Gas Alpha @GasAlphaHQ]

July 4–13 | Consensus: 141.0 GWDDs

07-02 00z → 07-03 00z
GFS▲ 3.5
IFS▼ 5.4
GEFS▲ 0.6
AIFS▼ 0.9

https://t.co/HJVJPqtOMh
#NatGas

[Gas Alpha @GasAlphaHQ]

July 4–13 | Consensus: 174.9 PWCDDs

07-02 00z → 07-03 00z
GFS▲ 7.1
GEFS▲ 2.1
IFS▼ 3.8
AIFS▼ 1.2

https://t.co/HJVJPqtOMh
#NatGas

[Gas Alpha @GasAlphaHQ]

July 3–12 | Consensus: 173.9 PWCDDs

07-01 00z → 07-02 00z
GFS▼ 2.2
GEFS▼ 0.5
IFS▲ 3.4
AIFS▲ 0.2

https://t.co/HJVJPqtOMh

#NatGas

[Gas Alpha @GasAlphaHQ]

July 3–12 | Consensus: 141.5 GWDDs

07-01 00z → 07-02 00z
GFS▼ 1.7
IFS▲ 2.8
GEFS▼ 2.5
AIFS▼ 1.3

https://t.co/HJVJPqtOMh

#NatGas

[Gas Alpha @GasAlphaHQ]

July 2–11 | Consensus: 173.7 PWCDDs

06-30 00z → 07-01 00z
GFS▼ 2.1
GEFS▼ 1.6
IFS▼ 2.8
AIFS▼ 2.9

https://t.co/HJVJPqtOMh

#NatGas

[Gas Alpha @GasAlphaHQ]

July 2–11 | Consensus: 142.2 GWDDs

06-30 00z → 07-01 00z
GFS▼ 5.2
IFS▼ 4.5
GEFS▼ 2.6
AIFS▼ 2.0

https://t.co/HJVJPqtOMh

#NatGas

[Gas Alpha @GasAlphaHQ]

GFS 00z keeps heating up.

Both GWDD and PWCDD forecast trends well above the 5-year avg.

https://t.co/pqaekBzRly #natgas #pwcdd #gwdd

[Gas Alpha @GasAlphaHQ]

#NatGas

06-25 00z → 06-26 00z
GFS▲ 9.0
IFS▲ 3.1
GEFS▲ 5.8
AIFS▲ 7.4

https://t.co/HJVJPqtOMh

[Gas Alpha @GasAlphaHQ]

🚨 Real-time #renewables dashboard for gas/power traders

Wind + solar can swing gas burns, load balance, and intraday price risk… so I built a live grid view by ISO.

https://t.co/FQjk9JZIuI
#natgas #trading #power

[Gas Alpha @GasAlphaHQ]

GFS 00z keeps heating up.

Both now well above the 5-year avg.

Summer gas signal = heat where it matters for power burn.

https://t.co/pqaekBzRly #natgas #pwcdd #gwdd

[Gas Alpha @GasAlphaHQ]

PWCDD for 06-25 00z → 06-26 00z
GFS +9.4
GEFS +7.1
IFS +2.1
AIFS +6.9
Consensus: 171.4 PWCDDs (Jun 27–Jul 6)
https://t.co/HJVJPqtOMh #natgas #pwcdd #cdd #trading

[Gas Alpha @GasAlphaHQ]

That’s why I’ve been posting PWCDD more lately.

In summer, the cooling load in the power stack can matter more than the raw national degree-day number.

The market does not just care that it’s hot.

It cares where the heat is hitting.

https://t.co/HJVJPqtOMh #natgas #pwcdd #cdd

[Gas Alpha @GasAlphaHQ]

1/

The headline weather number is not always the number that moves summer nat gas.

The better question:

Is the heat showing up where it actually drives gas-fired power burn?

That’s what the PWCDD–GWDD spread captures 👇

[Gas Alpha @GasAlphaHQ]

Simple version:

GWDD tells you broad gas weather demand.

PWCDD tells you summer power-burn pressure.

When PWCDD is running well above GWDD, the weather signal is more bullish for power burn than the headline gas-weighted number alone might suggest.