GeoPulse

Analyzing the world so you can understand it | Independent research lab | Toward peaceful solutions

[GeoPulse @GeoPulseLab]

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[GeoPulse @GeoPulseLab]

Another exposure: remittances. If the war disrupts jobs for Filipino workers in the Middle East, households could lose income just as costs rise.

Read more: https://t.co/kPqAap2opN

[GeoPulse @GeoPulseLab]

Philippine inflation reached 7.2% in September.
Diesel prices rose again in October.

The Philippines isn't fighting any wars but Filipino families are paying the price anyway.
🧵

[GeoPulse @GeoPulseLab]

The IMF projects growth of just 3.4% for 2026 and sees further downside risks if fighting continues. The central bank has raised its benchmark rate to 5% to contain inflation, which also makes borrowing more expensive.

[GeoPulse @GeoPulseLab]

Since the 2021 coup, Moscow and Beijing have both defended non-interference and opposed an arms embargo. China keeps far more leverage through geography, trade and ties to armed groups.

Read more: https://t.co/pyt1FuNJKs

[GeoPulse @GeoPulseLab]

Russia armed Myanmar’s military for decades.

Now a Moscow-based company has been hired to build the system that processes Myanmar’s imports and exports.

It’s designed to connect to the ASEAN trade network 🧵

[GeoPulse @GeoPulseLab]

The UN says aerial attacks remain the leading cause of civilian deaths in Myanmar, and has warned the military is using drones that are harder to detect, giving civilians less time to take shelter.

[GeoPulse @GeoPulseLab]

Cyanide Crisis Pushes Suriname to Overhaul Environmental Oversight

https://t.co/RgLOE8JCPP

[GeoPulse @GeoPulseLab]

Months before dead fish appeared in a Suriname river, regulators measured cyanide at a gold operation at 63x the reference limit.

Follow-up inspection? No record it happened.

Source below👇

[GeoPulse @GeoPulseLab]

Will policy change? On Iran and Hamas, both men share goals. Differences are in method: Eisenkot backs Trump’s Gaza plan and wants closer coordination with Washington on Iran.

https://t.co/OhCHtKynLn

[GeoPulse @GeoPulseLab]

Israel’s election ended in deadlock.

Netanyahu’s bloc: 53 seats.
Eisenkot’s: 48.
Arab-led parties: 19.
Majority is 61.

Here’s what happens next 🧵

[GeoPulse @GeoPulseLab]

Process: President Herzog picks a candidate to form a coalition. They get 28 days, extendable by 14. Until then, Netanyahu stays caretaker PM with significant national security powers.

[GeoPulse @GeoPulseLab]

Researcher Jefferson Ng of ISEAS calls Prabowo’s style “command politics”: mobilizing the military and allies to implement decisions while limiting the mechanisms for catching mistakes.

Source: https://t.co/IFNBvfc0J4

[GeoPulse @GeoPulseLab]

Indonesia’s president Prabowo Subianto: approval rating 81.2% in November 2025. 44.5% in October 2026.

That’s a 36.7-point drop in 11 months, per pollster SMRC.

7 of 8 parties in parliament back him. The streets are another story. 🧵

[GeoPulse @GeoPulseLab]

On Oct 28, around 14,000 police plus military personnel were deployed in Jakarta. Blockades stopped students reaching the Presidential Palace. Tear gas and water cannons were used, and 19 people were arrested.