Geopolitics Lab

Geopolitics Lab (G-Lab) is a consultancy specializing in delivering strategic insights to governments, security services, NGOs, and the business sector.

[Geopolitics Lab @Geopoliticslabo]

💰 US lifts Iran oil sanctions for nuclear inspectors — core issues untouched

🚪 Europe passes its harshest-ever migration law, hosts the Taliban

🚂 Turkey + Saudi revive the Hejaz Railway, bypassing the sea

⚡ Microsoft buys a nuclear reactor to feed its servers

Hard power is back.

[Geopolitics Lab @Geopoliticslabo]

https://t.co/bmaTHlJ3K3

[Geopolitics Lab @Geopoliticslabo]

https://t.co/bmaTHlJ3K3

[Geopolitics Lab @Geopoliticslabo]

2/

Strip the ceremony away and the trade is honest both ways:

⚓ Israel gets forward defence near the missiles aimed at its Red Sea shipping.

🤝 Somaliland gets what 35 years of quiet competence couldn't win — existence in the eyes of the law.

[Geopolitics Lab @Geopoliticslabo]

1/
New in @sajewishreport, co-authored by Alon Sackstein and Dr @RYellinek .

Israel just granted Somaliland the recognition no other UN member state would. The question is why — at war, stretched — it chose this moment. 🧵

[Geopolitics Lab @Geopoliticslabo]

4/

♟️ A year of war proved Israel can break an enemy.

The rarer skill is building quietly, on ground you secure yourself, before the need becomes an emergency.

👇 Full piece:

https://t.co/iFVKmSKHI2

[Geopolitics Lab @Geopoliticslabo]

3/

🐉 But the real audience is Beijing.

Somaliland recognises Taiwan. China won't build the port at Berbera while Hargeisa holds Taipei's hand.

One harbour on the Gulf of Aden = a working model of the question hanging over the Pacific.

[Geopolitics Lab @Geopoliticslabo]

https://t.co/qKPzZc5qhF

[Geopolitics Lab @Geopoliticslabo]

🌍 Israel just gave Somaliland the recognition no other UN member state would.
It's strategy. ♟️
⚓ Forward defence on the Red Sea
🐉 A signal to Beijing near Taiwan's mirror image
New piece, w/ @Alon_Analysis and Dr @RYellinek of @Geopoliticslabo.

[sajewishreport @sajewishreport]

🌟 Download our latest issue, free & online now! 🌟
Filled with news, opinions & insights you don’t want to miss, including…

🇨🇦 SA expat witnesses Montreal shooting
🇿🇦 DA Gauteng veteran Bloom tipped for GNU post
🌍 Israel-Somaliland - part of a geopolitical chess game

[Geopolitics Lab @Geopoliticslabo]

https://t.co/w4tmBaK988

[Geopolitics Lab @Geopoliticslabo]

What links them isn't a common enemy. It's what we call strategic metabolism — the speed and fidelity with which a state turns its reading of a threat into action.

These three convert perception into policy faster than comparable states. That's the real tell.

[Geopolitics Lab @Geopoliticslabo]

🌍 Three wars. Three corners of the world. Almost no one treats them as one system.
Israel–Iran. Russia–Ukraine. Taiwan.

🧭 "The Responsible Powers" — new in @TimesofIsrael co-authored by @Alon_Analysis and Dr. @RYellinek why Israel, Germany & South Korea belong in the same conversation. 🧵

https://t.co/vJrnNcfFjY

[Geopolitics Lab @Geopoliticslabo]

https://t.co/dTCGgc1dPY

[Geopolitics Lab @Geopoliticslabo]

https://t.co/xLp4Uc33pX

[Geopolitics Lab @Geopoliticslabo]

6/

A fractured Europe. Russia garrisoning 115,000 troops on NATO's border. The Gulf bankrolling its own attacker.

"Peace" is just a timeout to rearm.

Full breakdown — Issue 116 of Global Developments Worth Watching 👇

https://t.co/d55Y8ROHHw

[Geopolitics Lab @Geopoliticslabo]

1/

The new world order isn't built on values.

It's built on protection money.

This week's signals on where the world is actually heading 🧵

[Geopolitics Lab @Geopoliticslabo]

5/

🚀 Meanwhile, the rush into the "new gold" — space and AI — is about to crown the first trillionaire, as SpaceX goes public at $1.77T.

Capital is voting. It's not voting for stability.

[Geopolitics Lab @Geopoliticslabo]

4/ The strategic question this week:

When illusions are this load-bearing — what happens to everything built on top of them?

Full issue: https://t.co/CO876uixMI

[Geopolitics Lab @Geopoliticslabo]

https://t.co/fkHN0eEHht

[Geopolitics Lab @Geopoliticslabo]

THE WEEK THE ILLUSIONS SHATTERED

Agreements that exist on paper only. Alliances that die in boardrooms. Stability burning in the streets.

Global Developments Worth Watching, Issue 115 — the thread. 🧵