StopUrNonsense

If you make a claim, cite your sources. The “dO yOUr OwN rESeARcH” bullshit is not accepted here.

[StopUrNonsense @GetAFreakinGrip]

@AjmooreMoore Did you REALLY think that I didn’t understand “Undetermined” doesn’t happen in real life?!?!

Is that what you actually thought?!?

JFC.
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[StopUrNonsense @GetAFreakinGrip]

@AjmooreMoore The issue is Braynard’s math is bad, and he’s too smart to make such a silly mistake.

I think he did it on purpose. But even if it’s an innocent mistake, it’s still wrong.

He’s bearing false witness. Tell him that.

[StopUrNonsense @GetAFreakinGrip]

@ThePolitiKat Cue up “Staples 1996 Back to School” video
https://t.co/GT5qwehKdy

[StopUrNonsense @GetAFreakinGrip]

@AjmooreMoore I don’t care what you claim. I’m not interested in your “independent approach”. I’m not looking for any “insight”.

I’m claiming Braynard did the math wrong. Period.

Do. The. Math.

[StopUrNonsense @GetAFreakinGrip]

@AjmooreMoore He figured he would calculate a “Percentage Invalid” in each sample, then apply that percentage to the entire population of each group.

Not an unreasonable approach.

But he got the math wrong.

Do. The. Math. Yourself.

[StopUrNonsense @GetAFreakinGrip]

@AjmooreMoore He was criticized for not following up on his findings. For not confirming the status of any of those 20K+ voters.

The Georgia Report was his attempt at fixing that. He reasoned he could take a sample of each group, and try to confirm voters in the samples from each Tranche.

[StopUrNonsense @GetAFreakinGrip]

@AjmooreMoore You’re obfuscating and making excuses for Braynard.

There are THREE groups.

Do the math yourself

[StopUrNonsense @GetAFreakinGrip]

@AjmooreMoore “We counted that as Undetermined”

“Among the 227 matches in our sample that we could determine”

“We did have a few undetermined”

“Undetermined” is a category. Now do the math yourself.

[StopUrNonsense @GetAFreakinGrip]

@AjmooreMoore We’ve already determined there are THREE groups involved here. Braynard ADMITS he couldn’t make a determination on every case he reviewed.

He admits it in his reports, and he admitted it in a DM to a supporter.
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[StopUrNonsense @GetAFreakinGrip]

@AjmooreMoore Hell, it takes less than 5 minutes. You can use these worksheets if you want. That’ll bring it down to 3 minutes.

This is simple, simple stuff and Data Analyst Matt Braynard got it wrong.

[StopUrNonsense @GetAFreakinGrip]

@AjmooreMoore Omg. This is beyond ridiculous at this point.

Albert, do the math yourself. It takes less than 10 minutes. Grab a pencil and a piece of paper and do the math.

Tell me what you come up with. Show your work.

Do it for either Tranche. The math is bad in both.

[StopUrNonsense @GetAFreakinGrip]

@AjmooreMoore With respect Albert, I don’t care about how you WOULD go about this. We are talking about how Matt Braynard DID go about it.

We’re not talking about your perspective, or how you would’ve done this or that.

The point is what Braynard DID. And what he DID is use bad math.

[StopUrNonsense @GetAFreakinGrip]

@AjmooreMoore @MattBraynard In a DM to one of his supporters, Braynard confirms that there were voters he couldn’t make a determination on.

“Undetermined” is definitely a category. Matt said so.

The problem is that he doesn’t tell us HOW MANY were undetermined.
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[StopUrNonsense @GetAFreakinGrip]

@AjmooreMoore @MattBraynard Dude. Braynard ADMITS he couldn’t determine the status of every voter. It’s in the report:

“We counted that as Undetermined”

“Among the 242 matches in our sample THAT WE COULD DETERMINE”

So how many COULDN’T he determine? Braynard doesn’t reveal that number in TGR.
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