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Bitcoin below $80K. What happened next?
Hotter-than-expected US inflation sent Bitcoin briefly below US$80,000 on 15 October. It recovered to around US$82,600 by Sunday, but more than US$929m in leveraged positions were liquidated in 24 hours.
What changed the mood? This edition of Offchain unpacks the inflation shock, the Fedโs response and a potential index shake-up for companies holding Bitcoin.
Crypto prices remain volatile, and leverage can magnify losses.
Read the full breakdown.
https://t.co/jNbHt7TVMe
This content is for information purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinJar Europe Limited is authorised as a Crypto-Asset Service Provider under the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCAR) by the Central Bank of Ireland.
Bitcoin slips towards $80K as the Fed turns hawkish
"Uptober" has hit its first speed bump. Fed minutes showed most officials think another rate hike is likely before the end of the year, and the 10-year Treasury yield hit its highest level since 2002. Bitcoin fell to a low of $80,329 on 8 October, and more than $1.1bn in leveraged positions were wiped out in 24 hours.
Plus: how tampered hardware wallets sold through a third-party reseller led to estimated losses of more than $93m.
If rates stay higher for longer, prices could stay under pressure, and leverage can magnify losses as quickly as gains. Here's what moved the market and what to watch next.
https://t.co/pMDtQRawb2
This content is for information purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinJar Europe Limited is authorised as a Crypto-Asset Service Provider under the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCAR) by the Central Bank of Ireland.
Is "Uptober" back on the cards?
September's gloom is lifting. Weaker US jobs and inflation data have cooled fears of another Fed rate hike, the SEC has proposed a new crypto custody rule, and Citi has raised its 12-month Bitcoin target to $113,000. But a rally is far from guaranteed. September's US inflation figures land on 14 October and could shift the mood quickly. Bank forecasts have also swung widely this year. Here's what to watch this month.
https://t.co/m8ESTVhNsn
This content is for information purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinJar Europe Limited is authorised as a Crypto-Asset Service Provider under the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCAR) by the Central Bank of Ireland.
Buying the dip means purchasing crypto after a price drop, hoping to lower your average cost before it recovers.
Timing the exact bottom is close to impossible, and a falling price doesn't always mean a bargain. Sometimes it means something's actually wrong.
The full story on dip buying, averaging down, and dollar-cost averaging:
https://t.co/R5P53sSsc0
This content is for information purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinJar Europe Limited is authorised as a Crypto-Asset Service Provider under the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCAR) by the Central Bank of Ireland.
Zero trading fees on CoinJar for US customers!
Buy, sell, and convert crypto on the CoinJar app or website using prices derived directly from the CoinJar Exchange order book. No markup games, no hidden fee stacked on top of a bad rate. What you see is what you get.
Read how it works:
https://t.co/AMzmN79CUC
This content is for information purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinJar Europe Limited is authorised as a Crypto-Asset Service Provider under the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCAR) by the Central Bank of Ireland.
Why September Matters for Crypto
August was a good month for crypto. September could shake things up, with four major central banks all making rate decisions within three weeks of each other.
September 10: European Central Bank
The ECB has been cutting or holding rates all year, but that could change. Inflation in the eurozone is creeping up (2.9% in July, driven by energy costs from the Middle East conflict), and markets now think a rate hike is more likely than not.
Why it matters: this would be the first major central bank to turn tighter this year, and tighter policy usually pulls money out of risk assets like crypto. A hold would likely be the better outcome for crypto.
September 15โ16: US Federal Reserve
The big one. This is Kevin Warsh's third meeting as Fed Chair, and the first where he's giving less guidance than usual, so what he says matters more than what he's said before. Rates have been steady all year, and it's close to a coin toss between another hold and a hike.
Why it matters: the Fed has the biggest influence on global money flows, so this is the decision crypto watches closest. A hold with calm language could be good for crypto. A hike, or any hint of more hikes coming, probably isn't.
September 17: Bank of England
UK rates are already high, and inflation ticked up to 2.9% in July. The bank is expected to hold steady, but the vote was close last time and could get closer.
Why it matters: the UK doesn't move global markets the way the US does, but if the Bank of England leans hawkish too, it adds to the sense that central banks everywhere are turning tighter at once, and that mood drags on crypto.
September 29: Reserve Bank of Australia
After three hikes earlier in the year, the RBA has now held steady twice. It doesn't expect inflation back to target until late 2027, and headline inflation is still running at 3.6%.
Why it matters: a hold is expected, so it's really about tone. If the RBA hints more hikes could be coming, that's bad for local risk appetite. Softer language could be a mild positive.
The bigger picture
Four rate decisions, inflation still above target in most of the world, oil near US$94 a barrel, and a Fed chair who's deliberately telling markets less than usual. Add a quarterly crypto derivatives expiry on 25 September, and September is shaping up to be a volatile month rather than a clear-direction one.
This content is for information purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinJar Europe Limited is authorised as a Crypto-Asset Service Provider under the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCAR) by the Central Bank of Ireland.
What is Staking?
Staking lets you lock up certain cryptocurrencies to help secure the blockchain network they run on, and earn rewards for doing it. Think of it like a savings account, except instead of a bank, you're helping a blockchain network verify transactions.
It's not without risk. Lock-up periods, slashing, and price swings can all eat into returns, and "guaranteed" high yields are usually a red flag.
Learn how staking actually works.
https://t.co/ouEzEKrVpE
This content is for information purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinJar Europe Limited is authorised as a Crypto-Asset Service Provider under the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCAR) by the Central Bank of Ireland.
Bull market. Bear market. Same asset, completely different mood.
A bull market means rising prices and growing confidence. A bear market means falling prices and more caution. Neither seems to last forever, and both come with real risk.
Some investors see a bear market as a buying opportunity while others use downturns to average into positions steadily rather than trying to time the bottom.
Others sit it out entirely. There's no single right answer, only the one that fits your own risk appetite.
Learn the basics:
https://t.co/l7iuyyE686
This content is for information purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinJar Europe Limited is authorised as a Crypto-Asset Service Provider under the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCAR) by the Central Bank of Ireland.
CoinJar Exchange is now on TradingView!
Connect your account and place live orders on CoinJar Exchange's order book directly from TradingView's charts. Analyse and execute in the same window, no more switching platforms.
CoinJar is the first Australian-headquartered spot crypto exchange to offer a TradingView trading integration.
What you can do:
- Place market and limit orders on CoinJar Exchange's live order book
- Trade from the chart on Supercharts
- Track open positions, working orders and order history in the Trading Panel
- Monitor your balance in real time
You're trading on CoinJar Exchange's actual order book, with globally sourced liquidity and a matching engine built for active trading, not a synthetic price feed.
Fees start from 0% to 0.1% maker/taker and scale down as your 30-day volume grows. There's no cost to connect, just a free TradingView account needed.
For security, the integration cannot withdraw funds from your CoinJar Exchange account. Your existing CoinJar login and security settings still apply.
Available now to verified customers in Australia and the UK using a browser.
Learn how to connect: https://t.co/h562Zf0p8Z
This content is for information purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinJar Europe Limited is authorised as a Crypto-Asset Service Provider under the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCAR) by the Central Bank of Ireland.
Why August Matters for Crypto
No Fed, ECB or Bank of England meeting all month, but four events could still move the market.
Aug 10-11: Australia's Reserve Bank Meets
Australia's central bank meets to decide interest rates. Rates are at 4.35% after three rises this year. Most economists expect a hold, though a minority are tipping another rise. If the Bank signals it's done raising rates, that's usually taken well by risk assets like crypto. If it hints at another rise, expect a bit of a wobble.
Aug 12: US Inflation Data
This is the big one. US prices rose 3.5% over the past year, down from 4.2% the month before. Inflation is cooling, but it's still well above the Fed's 2% target. Right now markets see almost no chance of a rate cut this year. Futures are actually leaning slightly toward another rise by December. A faster cooldown would shift that conversation, and rate expectations have historically been one of the bigger macro drivers for Bitcoin. When cash in the bank pays less, investors tend to look further afield for returns. No guarantees though.
Aug 19: UK Inflation Data
UK prices rose 2.6% over the past year, edging closer to the Bank of England's 2% target. The Bank held rates at 3.75% in July, and markets are split on whether September brings another rise. A softer number here takes some of that pressure off, which has historically coincided with a better backdrop for crypto and other risk assets.
Aug 27-29: Jackson Hole Symposium
Central bankers from around the world meet in Wyoming. This year's theme is financial innovation and what it means for payments and policy, so it's more relevant to crypto than usual. With no Fed or ECB meeting this month, it's also where policymakers tend to give their clearest hints about what's coming next. Any comment on future rate moves can shift markets fast, crypto included.
It's a quieter month for scheduled central bank meetings, but between Australia, the US, the UK and Jackson Hole, there's still plenty that could move the market.
This content is for information purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinJar Europe Limited is authorised as a Crypto-Asset Service Provider under the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCAR) by the Central Bank of Ireland.
Corporate treasuries are starting to look a lot less conservative. A recent Deloitte survey found that 23% of CFOs expect their treasury departments to use crypto for investments or payments within the next two years, and that number jumps to nearly 40% at companies earning over $10 billion a year.
Stablecoins for faster cross-border payments, DeFi for treasury yield, even crypto payments to vendors: the use cases are getting practical, not just experimental.
Learn more about how corporate finance is embracing crypto.
https://t.co/OTGNWvSO7p
This content is for information purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinJar Europe Limited is authorised as a Crypto-Asset Service Provider under the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCAR) by the Central Bank of Ireland.
Ever wonder how the biggest crypto investors, known as whales, move massive amounts of Bitcoin and Ethereum without causing wild price swings? They often use over-the-counter (OTC) desks. These private marketplaces allow large trades to happen discreetly, away from public exchanges. This may dampen sudden volatility in the broader market.
Learn more about how the crypto world handles big money behind the scenes.
https://t.co/1NaxUUCbJ6
This content is for information purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinJar Europe Limited is authorised as a Crypto-Asset Service Provider under the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCAR) by the Central Bank of Ireland.
Dollars, pounds, and euros are regional tools. They stop working the moment you cross a border.
Bitcoin doesn't.
Built natively for the internet, Bitcoin is a single, borderless network. One Bitcoin is worth one Bitcoin everywhere on Earth. As the world becomes entirely digital, there could come a day where the Bitcoin symbol is as familiar as $, ยฃ, and โฌ. So perhaps it is time to find out how to type the Bitcoin symbol โฟ:
https://t.co/ytMrDRUPDU
This content is for information purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinJar Europe Limited is authorised as a Crypto-Asset Service Provider under the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCAR) by the Central Bank of Ireland.
Millennials are set to inherit trillions from older generations. But many may choose to sell traditional assets like real estate and buy Bitcoin instead.
As trillions transfer across generations, digital assets appeal for their liquidity and borderless nature, while property might be seen as expensive to maintain and not portable.
The full story on changing attitudes to inheritance:
https://t.co/poeGgM4r7N
This content is for information purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinJar Europe Limited is authorised as a Crypto-Asset Service Provider under the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCAR) by the Central Bank of Ireland.
Why are banks suddenly so keen on crypto custody?
From rejection to building the infrastructure. The full story on how traditional finance is adapting:
https://t.co/9ppRHWhWAz
This content is for information purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinJar Europe Limited is authorised as a Crypto-Asset Service Provider under the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCAR) by the Central Bank of Ireland.
Own a slice of a skyscraper for $50?
Real world asset tokenisation is turning physical assets like property, art and gold into digital tokens anyone can buy, sell or trade.
Fractional ownership.
Learn how it works: https://t.co/Hnt9pCKUWh
This content is for information purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinJar Europe Limited is authorised as a Crypto-Asset Service Provider under the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCAR) by the Central Bank of Ireland.
Why June Matters for Crypto
May was one of the busiest macro months in recent memory. June picks up right where it left off.
June 11: ECB Rate Decision
The European Central Bank finally steps back into the frame. After holding in April and skipping May entirely, the ECB meets on June 11 with markets pricing in a real chance of a hike. Eurozone inflation has been running hotter than expected, partly driven by energy costs tied to the Middle East conflict. A hike from the ECB would reinforce a global tightening narrative, historically a headwind for crypto. If they hold, relief could be short-lived if their forward guidance signals more to come.
June 16: RBA Rate Decision
After three consecutive hikes in 2026, the RBA has signalled it now has room to pause and monitor how the economy absorbs the tightening so far. The cash rate sits at 4.35%, the highest in years. A hold would give households some breathing room and could provide a modest lift to risk sentiment. But with inflation still above target and the Middle East conflict continuing to push fuel prices higher, the door to further hikes hasn't closed. Markets will be watching closely for any shift in language from the Board.
June 16-17: Fed Meeting: Warsh's First as Chair
This is the big one. Kevin Warsh chairs his first FOMC meeting after being confirmed by the Senate on May 13 in the most divisive vote in Fed history. Warsh has called for "regime change" at the Fed and has publicly argued rates can be lower over time. But, he's inheriting an environment of sticky inflation and rising energy costs.
Markets are pricing near-certainty that rates hold at 3.50-3.75%. Every word of his post-meeting press conference will be parsed for signals on what the new era of Fed leadership actually means in practice.
Any surprise could ripple across crypto fast.
The Bigger Picture: Three major central bank decisions in one month, all against a backdrop of elevated inflation, Middle East uncertainty, and a brand-new Fed chair finding his footing. June has the ingredients for significant volatility.
This content is for information purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinJar Europe Limited is authorised as a Crypto-Asset Service Provider under the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCAR) by the Central Bank of Ireland.
Sell in May and go away. This week's Onchain newsletter has a lot to say about that.
The US Clarity Act cleared a Senate panel. Crypto finally gets its regulatory framework, packaged with KYC, AML, and surveillance requirements.
Thorchain lost over $10M to an exploit. A patch was written. It failed in testing. The vulnerability stayed live.
The Ethereum Foundation lost two more researchers. All three protocol leads have already left this year.
And this is the last Onchain from Naomi. Thank you, Naomi. It has been a pleasure.
https://t.co/wmGw41H1ls
Who actually invented Bitcoin? There seem to be some new contenders.
Over 15 years since Bitcoin changed the world, and we still have no idea who actually created it. Satoshi Nakamoto walked away from the internet in 2010 and has never been heard from since. The Bitcoin whitepaper, the genesis block, the entire foundation of modern crypto, all the work of a ghost. We take a look at the leading suspects and the clues that have kept the world guessing..
https://t.co/Hm4flZGOf3
Crypto's new move: skip the exploit, hire a lawyer.
This week a dodgy law firm tried to hand frozen Lazarus Group funds to its own clients, Justin Sun sued the Trump crypto project and got a defamation countersuit in return, and crypto officially became the most muted topic on X, beating out politics.
When going to a wedding, maybe do not mention working in crypto.
Full breakdown here:
https://t.co/4P1rMi74EG