based

based-not financial advice Edu & Live Trading, #SPX #ES_F #SPY #QQQ #NQ_F

[based @Glyble]

X Sentiment Score (XSS) Analysis for Futures Market Open on October 5, 2025

XSS Score: -0.04 (Slightly bearish overall, reflecting cautious optimism tempered by overbought concerns and potential pullbacks).

To derive a comprehensive sentiment assessment for the upcoming futures market open, I conducted an extensive review of recent activity on X (formerly Twitter) from prominent futures trading analysts and engaged participants in the financial community, often referred to as "fintwit." This analysis focused on posts from October 5, 2025, capturing expectations for the S&P 500 E-mini (ES) and Nasdaq 100 E-mini (NQ) futures, with an emphasis on price targets, stop-loss levels, support and resistance zones, and implied market flows. The goal was to quantify sentiment into an X Sentiment Score (XSS), which aggregates bullish, bearish, and neutral views from high-engagement sources, and then integrate this with the provided Gamma Exposure (GEX) profiles for enhanced confluence in potential trading setups.
Methodology for XSS Derivation

Source Identification: Key analysts were identified through targeted searches for established futures traders, including those with verified expertise in technical analysis, Elliott Wave forecasting, and order flow. Notable contributors included @trdnvestor (pure price action specialist), @smashelito (market profile and order flow expert), @ElliottForecast (Elliott Wave analyst), @Hyperticks (prop firm insights), @askstrykr (quantitative signals), @PowerTradeHQ (options and sentiment), and @TraderAlex95 (dealer ranges). These accounts were selected based on their track records, engagement metrics (e.g., likes >5, replies), and relevance to ES/NQ futures.
Data Collection: Approximately 30 recent posts were retrieved, filtered for recency (from October 5, 2025) and relevance to market outlook, price levels, and flows. Semantic and keyword searches emphasized terms like "ES," "NQ," "price target," "support," "resistance," and "flows," yielding a dataset of technical breakdowns, weekly plans, and sentiment checks.
Scoring and Ranking: Each post was classified using a sentiment lexicon:Bullish (+1): Indicators of upward momentum, such as "rally," "uptrend," "buyers in control," or explicit upside targets.
Bearish (-1): Signals of downside risk, such as "pullback," "weakness," "reject," or lower targets.
Neutral (0): Balanced views, recaps, or range-bound expectations without directional bias.
The XSS is a weighted average: (Sum of scores) / (Total posts), ranging from +1 (fully bullish) to -1 (fully bearish). Percentages were calculated for distribution.

Results: From 23 classified posts:Bullish: 21.74% (e.g., @PowerTradeHQ on "heavy upside chasing," @ElliottForecast expecting NQ rally).
Bearish: 26.09% (e.g., @trdnvestor warning of "more red days" if lows fail, @smashelito on potential failed breakout).
Neutral: 52.17% (e.g., @Hyperticks weekly recaps, @TraderAlex95 dealer ranges).
XSS Score: -0.04 (Slightly bearish overall, reflecting cautious optimism tempered by overbought concerns and potential pullbacks).

This score indicates a mildly pessimistic consensus among fintwit experts, with a plurality of neutral views suggesting range-bound or corrective action rather than strong directional conviction. High-engagement posts (e.g., @smashelito with 114 likes) ranked higher in influence, emphasizing buyer control but vulnerability at recent highs.

[tic toc tic @TicTocTick]

Having big dick is both blessing and a curse.

[Anthropic @AnthropicAI]

Claude Fable 5 will be available again globally tomorrow.

After a series of productive conversations with the US government, we're redeploying the model with a new set of classifiers to target and block more cybersecurity tasks. In the near term, some routine tasks like coding and debugging will fall back to Opus 4.8. We’ll continue to refine these classifiers over the coming weeks to reduce false positives and better distinguish genuine misuse from legitimate requests.

We’ve also begun drafting a consensus framework—with Amazon, Microsoft, Google, and other Glasswing partners—for assessing the severity of AI jailbreaks and how AI developers should respond to them. We invite other industry partners and model providers to join us in this effort.

Finally, we’re scaling up our collaboration with the US government on model testing and safeguards. This will include pre-release access to models and safeguards for evaluation, information sharing on jailbreaks and misuse, and dedicated resources for joint research.

Thank you to our users for your patience, and to our partners across the government, industry, and the research community who worked alongside us to make Fable 5 available again.

Read our full blog: https://t.co/VHyum831ri

[cow @cowincrisis]

delete this.

[TaraBull @TaraBull]

Spotted off of Anna Maria Island, Florida

[based @Glyble]

Trump third term!!!

I called it so many times I might have manifested it… 🤷‍♂️

#TTT #TrumpThirdTerm #Trump

[Open Source Intel @Osint613]

President Trump: "Maybe we should run again. Should we do it one more time?"

CROWD: Yeah!!

TRUMP: "I'd like to do that!"

[based @Glyble]

Aren’t there tolls for the Panama Canal though…?

[Open Source Intel @Osint613]

Italian PM Meloni:

If we allowed Iran to charge a toll in the Strait of Hormuz, we would be entering a world where every strategic trade route becomes a weapon.

That is something we simply cannot contemplate.

[OSINTtechnical @Osinttechnical]

One reason the US is considering acquiring Greenland is to secure access to seafood that could potentially bring back unlimited shrimp at Red Lobster. - US official to the New Yorker

[based @Glyble]

@CitronResearch If you would have said buy $SPY calls you could have pumped and sold. I think the moral here is stick to index funds.

[The White House @WhiteHouse]

Today, we remember a legend.

On this day in history, Harambe would have celebrated another birthday. An icon that became part of internet history, American culture, and an entire generation’s timeline.

Tomorrow marks 10 years since we lost him. Ten years since the moment the world stopped scrolling and collectively mourned something bigger than a meme.

He became a symbol of loyalty, strength, chaos, unity, and the strange beauty of the internet bringing millions of people together for one cause: never forgetting Harambe.

Everyone remembers where they were when they heard the news. And somehow, a decade later, his legacy still lives on.

Gone, but never forgotten.
Rest easy to a true patriot. 🕊️🇺🇸

May 27, 1999 — May 28, 2016
Forever in our hearts.

[based @Glyble]

@LadeBackk Miami always bringing out the worst in people I swear

[based @Glyble]

@DeItaone @grok what does this mean

[based @Glyble]

@clintoptions Glad to hear it. God is great brother

[G Trades @Garretts542]

Dang imagine if you locked in for 7 days vs busting that account rushing & oversizing it.

You're costing yourself more time by rushing. Just relax & enjoy the journey bro

[Open Source Intel @Osint613]

Gas prices are up and people are losing their minds.

Iran doesn’t have a long range nuclear capable missile yet. They can within 5 years.

They don’t even need to launch it. They just need to have it, and they completely control us.

You’ve seen what a regime like this does with a shipping lane. Think about what they do with a missile that can reach New York.

Pay the extra $1.70. Gladly.

[tic toc tic @TicTocTick]

Markets are the most democratic institution I know. If you get fucked, markets provides 3 options, all totally free and available to all—

1. Unfuck yourself.

2. Fuck yourself more.

3. Quit.

[based @Glyble]

@L2WTrades @grok backtest this on ES and NQ for the last two weeks and see how accurate it is

[based @Glyble]

@Osint613 Church = new USAID…?

[Open Source Intel @Osint613]

Adm. Brad Cooper in an Apache over the Strait of Hormuz.

The CENTCOM commander toured two Navy ships in the Persian Gulf ahead of the U.S. military's Project Freedom launch.

[based @Glyble]

@satymahajan @wojofooo Saty have you updated to windows 11 and has it changed or improved your ToS experience? Or the same

[based @Glyble]

@LadeBackk 💯