Had AI run a statistical analysis on Pratt coming in 3rd based on the ballot drops.
See below:
The trajectory established in the first three batches showed the gap closing at 0.18 points per 1% of ballots counted.
The late batches closed the gap at 0.54 points per 1% counted.
The late batches were moving 3 times faster than the early batches established.
If the trajectory from the first three batches had simply continued, Pratt would still have been leading by +2.93 points at 83% counted. He was actually trailing by -0.40 points. The late batches moved 3.33 points further toward Raman than the established trajectory predicted.
The z-scores on that deviation are -7.81 and -11.29 for the last two batches. The probability of both late batches deviating that far from the established trajectory by chance is effectively zero.
The t-statistic for the acceleration between early and late batch rates is -6.225. With two degrees of freedom, anything above 4.303 is significant at the 5% level. This is well past that.
The plain English answer: The early batches established a clear, consistent trajectory. The late batches didn’t continue that trajectory they moved three times faster in the same direction. That acceleration is not explained by the trajectory that preceded it. The probability that it happened by chance is statistically indistinguishable from zero.
In no way have you even addressed the issue. The skew of late ballots towards Raman and away from Pratt and Bass presents as statistically improbable, no matter how much you try to distract from that fact. Late votes were not only democrats, but also democrats voting for Raman at far far higher rates than pre election. Occam’s razor would suggest that something isn’t right.
@CoryBooker Cry harder Spartacus, Welkers behavior was beyond the pale and no sane person would sit for that. Americans are glad we have a president willing to push back on the propaganda hacks in the msm
@hwinkler4real@ManxFreeState Gee Fonzie, did you stop to think that classifying Mormonism as Christianity deprived Mormons of their rights? This is an expansion of their rights, it allows for separate Mormon chaplains to be recognized by the armed services.
It’s the law only in 4 blue states and one purple. 45 states of the union have looked at that practice and realized it undermines the integrity of and confidence in elections. It’s exceedingly rare outside the US as well. California brought this on themselves by running a crooked looking system, by their own choice.
@striketeamlead@ZeekArkham Newsome just signed a law making outside audits illegal, why would he do that if not to hide election tampering. It looks crooked as hell. California has done nothing to convince the nation to trust them.
That’s not the issue, the issue is the extraordinarily amount of time the ballots are accepted, and lack of transparency. Newsome just signed a law making outside audits illegal. California is one of the few jurisdictions anywhere in the world that allows ballots to arrive after Election Day and doesn’t actually require a voters signature. When you run elections as poorly as California does, you have no legitimate defense against accusations of impropriety.
You have no idea what Bari Weiss’s background is. She is a far more accomplished journalist and editor than Scott Pelley. Despite Weiss’s left leaning politics, she has earned respect across the board for objective reporting and rejection of propaganda. Pelley, in the other hand, has been biased and agenda driven his entire career. He is nothing but a self promoting fabulist with little real accomplishments and zero self awareness
@kenbensinger So Democrats will never vote across party lines? Only the most bubble protected progressives don’t realize how crooked this looks to everyone outside LA. People outside LA know what elections are supposed to look like, you fools think this charade looks normal