This guy built an asynchronous complete-set bot and made +$111,945 on Polymarket with a 50% win rate
I analyzed its trades and found that its main strategy is based on gradually accumulating both sides of the same market
In 88.76% of markets, it bought both Up and Down
It looks something like this:
> First, the bot accumulates one side
> After the underlying asset moves, it starts buying the opposite outcome
> Then it switches between both sides several times as the market reprices
> This way, it tries to build a position where Up + Down < $1
The average cost of these complete sets is 98.69c, which gives an edge of about 1.31c
But this is not pure arbitrage. Part of its inventory remains directional, with the side determined by its model’s signal
Its Polymarket nickname: norm1e69
The main edge of this trading bot comes from switching between both outcomes to build complete sets below $1, while keeping the unpaired inventory as a directional residual
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