Most options education teaches buying. Probability of profit ~15%. Theta and volatility are against you.
I sell. POP ~80-90%. Theta and volatility collapse pays me.
2025: $270k+ verified options income (1099 public). ~$1.25M account net liq. That income let me escape the grind of a law firm.
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I’m so tired of these YouTube Tesla influencers. It was obvious that a merger was not imminent and them drumming up hype was exhausting. It was all for clicks and views.
@TeslaBoomerMama@lqdchkn Wait now… I criticized Tesla influencers for doing this for clicks. You pushed back. Then this guy says my criticism is good for your clicks so you should be happy, and you agree calling them wise words.
@TeslaBoomerMama Fair enough. I was not intending to be nasty to you, but it was a little nasty. I apologize. As a showing of goodwill, would it be helpful if I deleted the post?
@davidvuk Uhh yes there is. He said: “I don’t think we should necessarily assume that—some people out there assume that a SpaceX and Tesla merger is a certainty, and I think that would be overstating it.”
@TeslaBoomerMama@TeslaBoomerMama I respect everything you’ve done for the Tesla retail community. Thanks for representing us on many important issues.
I just have a problem with this specific issue and the casual retail investor hanging their investments on the promise of a merger.
$TSLA's earnings this week have me in a bind. I haven't been making my usual covered call income on $TSLA all year because the hype around Cybercab and a potential merger making a 100 point upside move more likely.
If you've been around $TSLA for a while you know that the stock likes to move up quickly based on hype. Sept 2025 $TSLA ran up 33% on hype that Elon bought $1B in shares. Or how about liberation day, when Trump was elected and $TSLA rallied 69% in 6 weeks.
Now we have earnings in 2 days. The expected move over the next 4 days is $24 in magnitude (in either direction). We could be at $385 or $335 by the end of the week depending on inventor sentiment.
This could be the pivotal earnings call for $TSLA, where they talk about how quickly Cybercab is expanding and make grand statements extrapolating that expansion rate to the rest of the United States, and the earnings that implies down the road. That's what's really stopping me from selling covered calls.
There's also a tiny chance that the Tesla board announces a merger with $SPCX, which I think is completely hyped BS. It's a shiny object $TSLA podcasters can pontificate on endlessly to drum up views and clicks. A merger doesn't make any sense to me for so many reasons, including (1) both companies has have P/E ratios, (2) These are not companies in the same industry horizontally or vertically integrating for efficiencies, and (3) a merger would immediately cause additionally scrutiny, e.g., monopoly scrutiny, on both companies from left-leaning politicians like Elizabeth Warren. Elon does not need more political heat. Also, Elon just posted that he would be donating $SPCX shares to kids next year.
Wednesday morning will be the best time to sell covered calls because of the earnings play aspect of it. Volatility will crush. $TSLA investors are known to sell the news, so a sell off feels imminent.
The smart thing to do is to sell covered calls.
A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush.
But I also haven't been patiently holding $TSLA shares for 5 years without a return just for covered call income.