The news about import duties on gold and silver going up to 15% came late last night. The interesting thing: neither open interest, prices, nor volume in Gold and Silver showed any unusual moves in the hours leading up to the announcement.
If this had happened in the United States, I’m fairly sure some of the people close to the decision-making process would have found a way to trade it, either through regulated futures markets, other derivative contracts, or prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi.
We’ve seen versions of this with crude. And during the Iran conflict, too, there were all these reports and allegations about people around the government trading through futures, contracts, and prediction markets before or around important announcements.
It’s kind of insane how casually people in power seem to monetize privileged information. At some point, this stops looking like “market participation” and starts looking like blatant insider trading with better branding.
Just another reason why Indian markets, despite all their flaws, are far more tightly controlled in these grey zones than many Western markets.
Billionaire Michael Milken joked “if a US company replaces the US-born CEO with a CEO born in India, I buy the stock”
But he reveals he hasn’t backtested the idea.
So we did.
In the last 15yrs, that would’ve 50x’d your money: 7.5x more $$ and >2x IRR vs S&P500: 30% vs 14%!
𝗧𝗼𝗽 𝗕𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗸𝗼𝘂𝘁 𝗔𝗻𝗱 𝗕𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗸𝗼𝘂𝘁 𝗦𝗼𝗼𝗻 𝗦𝘁𝗼𝗰𝗸𝘀 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗡𝗲𝘅𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸 ⬇️
𝗦𝗔𝗜𝗟 : 16-Years Cup & Handle Pattern BO Soon
𝗖𝗨𝗠𝗠𝗜𝗡𝗦𝗜𝗡𝗗 : Tight Range BO Soon
𝗦𝗖𝗜 : 3T VCP Pattern Breakout
𝗖𝗨𝗣𝗜𝗗 : Tight Range + Pivot Point Breakout
𝗕𝗛𝗔𝗥𝗔𝗧𝗪𝗜𝗥𝗘 : Bouncing Back From Support level
𝗔𝗡𝗚𝗘𝗟𝗢𝗡𝗘: Trendline Breakout with Volume Buildup
𝗦𝗜𝗘𝗠𝗘𝗡𝗦 : Darvas Box Pattern
𝗖𝗛𝗘𝗡𝗡𝗣𝗘𝗧𝗥𝗢 : Cup & Handle Pattern BO Soon
𝗣𝗥𝗜𝗩𝗜𝗦𝗖𝗟: Ascending Triangle Pattern BO
𝗝𝗜𝗡𝗗𝗔𝗟𝗦𝗧𝗘𝗟 : Bounced back from it’s Retest Zone
𝗦𝗨𝗭𝗟𝗢𝗡 : Bouncing back from 15-Years Resistance level
Nifty will be at 32k sooner rather than later.
Nifty 30k Dec CE is trading at 100
Market is literally offering you 20x
This should be the easiest money of your life. You don’t need patience right now, you need position.
Saying India is the largest derivatives market is like saying a kirana store is bigger than a luxury mall because it prints more bills.
India and the US derivatives markets look similar, but the reality is very different. India trades a huge number of derivative contracts because contract sizes are small and retail participation is very high. Activity looks massive, but the actual money involved per trade is limited.
The US trades fewer contracts, but each one carries much higher value because institutions dominate the market. So even with lower volumes, the total value and risk are far bigger in the US.
Lots of small tickets versus fewer big ones. India leads in volume, the US leads in value and value is what really matters.
Budget is actually pretty decent if you read the main document & analyse sector/scheme wise spends
They are able to do this much while maintaining & reducing the fiscal deficit
+ giving GST/personal income tax cuts
STT will hurt exchanges
Govt treats F&O just like sin goods
Themes are clear: push on manufacturing, MSME and employment
Below is breakdown of scheme/theme wise spend trends
Deeply concerned by reports of the targeting of the residence of the President of the Russian Federation. Ongoing diplomatic efforts offer the most viable path toward ending hostilities and achieving peace. We urge all concerned to remain focused on these efforts and to avoid any actions that could undermine them.
@KremlinRussia_E
(1)
One of our brightest minds @DonDurrett shared his top 11 list from his visit at the Beaver Creek Conference.
3 of my fav holdings made the list, and here is what @DonDurrett had to say about them:
1: $TUD.v - Tudor Gold
Highlight comment from Don:
"This was a brilliant move by the board and my biggest surprise at Beaver Creek this week. They could have chosen to continue drilling and wait for an offer to be acquired, but would that have satisfied shareholders? Perhaps, but not nearly as satisfying as being the owner of a 200K/Year producer in Canada, with another 17M oz’s in the ground!"
2: $HSTR.v - Heliostar Metals
Highlight comment from Don:
"I met Charles last year at Beaver Creek and was so impressed with their story that I made Heliostar the #1 pick. They could have been the winner again. While it was about a 3-bagger over the past 12 months, they are still very cheap."
3: $JAG.to - Jaguar Mining
Highlight comment from Don:
"It prints as an 18-bagger if they reach 50K/Year, which I expect them to achieve."
I attached charts to each one aswell on this post, (See thread)
Personal comment:
TUD seems to be a victim to some insider selling right now, they have to cover a big tax bill... Walter Storm, the founder of Tudor Gold, passed away in June 2022.
Helmut (Helmer) Finger is acting as trustee/representative of the trust tied to Walter Storm’s estate. He is selling shares in TUD at open market right now, putting short term pressure on the stock as they need to raise cash for tax purposes.
You know what this means right? Opportunity to maybe be able to get cheaper shares in a no-brainer stock. I will pay close attention to any further weakness here and scoop up more shares if price gets sexy. (-7.29% yesterday)
Cheers
Deeply appreciate and fully reciprocate President Trump's sentiments and positive assessment of our ties.
India and the US have a very positive and forward-looking Comprehensive and Global Strategic Partnership.
@realDonaldTrump@POTUS
There are only 2 fabs in the world that can currently make “2nm” chips which are TSMC and Samsung. No other country (Not even China’s SMIC) is able to do so. Those who do not understand the semiconductor industry should refrain from commenting
@RahulGandhi Uncontrolled F&O trading has grown 45x in 5 years means people’s disposable income has risen dramatically.
This goes against your propaganda tropes that India has been struggling economically under PM Modi.
Don’t weigh in on topics that you have no idea about.
A readymade screener which can help you spot 100/200% moves in a stock 🌟
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#Trading#Investing
How to catch Blockbuster stocks
I caught IREDA , IRFC , MSTC and Hudco using same technique
1. Filter out stocks moving 70% or more in less than 2 months
2. Volume on updays > Volume on downdays
3. Wait for Base formation ( VCP , flat base etc)
4. Look for trending sectors to get an additional advantage
( PSU banks , Solar Stocks , etc are trending now )
#Ireda
5. Enter with max 7-8% Stoploss
6. Stock should have stayed above 21 ema most of the time
7. Bull market with perfect stock selection can make entire years money in few months
8. Most stocks posted good earning , which boosted the price up further more
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