glgcp

founder of @anagami_ai | investing into event-driven strategies, and natural resources on AIM+TSX #POW | Never forget 1177 BC

[glgcp @Gulag_CP]

#CPI #inflation comes in at 6.4% vs 6.2% est

Historically (since 2019) after 10-20bps miss, $QQQ was lower 83% of the time, on avg -0.7% down by day 1 and 2 after the release

I have a bearish outlook, and long some puts

[glgcp @Gulag_CP]

@RocksOver What’s revenue and capex dynamics?

[glgcp @Gulag_CP]

@capitalflows @DeItaone I’m very surprised not more places in Argentina take crypto as payment

[glgcp @Gulag_CP]

@DeItaone I exchanged at 560 2 weeks ago! 🫠

[glgcp @Gulag_CP]

@junkbondinvest Big difference is today most debt is fixed rate, back in 07 a lot more floating rate mortgage debt

[glgcp @Gulag_CP]

@elonmusk @ConCaracal @EndWokeness 👏👏 for speaking out against this

[glgcp @Gulag_CP]

@CalgaryLeveen @LionheartInves1 I was thinking more the gap will close because equity should converge with debt at these levels

Probably end up with a haircutted exchange for these 2025 notes and maturity will get pushed out

I don’t see them getting repaid in full, on a quick look

[glgcp @Gulag_CP]

@Bryce_Nortje Great write up

[glgcp @Gulag_CP]

@CalgaryLeveen @LionheartInves1 Like this

[glgcp @Gulag_CP]

@LionheartInves1 $PLAB Photronics

Net cash position, makes photo masks (a component in chip production)

Trades at 4x EBITDA - because growth rate not best in class plus significant exposure to production and demand in China

Revenue growth of 10-20%, recently accelerated

I think 4x is cheap

[glgcp @Gulag_CP]

@rafcobos @LionheartInves1 I’m a big fan of $NRP too

Not sure how the dip in coal prices will affects the stock tho

[glgcp @Gulag_CP]

@CL_fTrader Interesting

This varies a lot by location, US is v different from the rest of the world

Like in many other countries, there’s a slowdown for sure

[glgcp @Gulag_CP]

@RocksOver Very interesting

Am also studying $AMRK

[glgcp @Gulag_CP]

@Comedyorwat What’s your thesis based on?

[glgcp @Gulag_CP]

@StraniusC @MarhelmData Could be pressured to ramp up capex or some sort of additional taxes or reduce product pricing on domestic market

I’m not too familiar with how state shapes policy on these matters in latam

[glgcp @Gulag_CP]

@agnostoxxx A *reasonable* valuation comparing to some other large cap techs

[glgcp @Gulag_CP]

@VincentAuGondor @business Uhm, no…

[glgcp @Gulag_CP]

@TsxCapitalist @FTAlphaville That tweet really didn’t age well 😬😬

[glgcp @Gulag_CP]

Some ppl talking about $CS “going under”

Utter bs imo - 1) these deposits aren’t going anywhere (kantonalbanks?! 🤡) 2) obv if any panic came to be CB wld backstop, 3) it’s ~$700bn of deposits - 3x of midsized US regional bank

I expect mean reversion to red after “rescue of CS”

[glgcp @Gulag_CP]

@calvinfroedge I think depends on educational level ultimately

In Switzerland democracy works well

Recent problems are in societies where voter skill level has deteriorated and ppl for for idiotic policies

[glgcp @Gulag_CP]

@calvinfroedge To me Switzerland is probably the best system

Direct democracy with ability to call a referendum on anything

Educated electorate so no idiotic populist policies