🌏 AI compute power is booming, but #BigTech control locks out much of the #Pacific. From #PNG highlands to reef islands, limited power & connectivity block local AI use in vital sectors like disaster response & fisheries. Investing in edge infra and data sovereignty is key. #PacificDev #SPF
I know no one wants to hear bullish ideas and everyone is scared and wants to fling poo at each other... but the Road to Valhalla is getting very close.
If global liquidity is the single most dominant macro factor then we MUST focus on that.
REMEMBER - THE ONLY GAME IN TOWN IS ROLLING $10TRN IN DEBT. EVERYTHING ELSE IS A SIDESHOW. THIS IS THE GAME OF THE NEXT 12 MONTHS.
Currently the gov shutdown has forced a sharp tightening of liquidity as the TGA builds up with no where to spend it.
This is not offset by the ability to drain the Reverse Repo (it is drained). And QT drains it further.
This is hitting markets and in particular crypto which is the most liquidity driven. TradiFi asset managers have had one of their worst years of performance vs benchmark and are now having to chase markets and that is allowing tech to be more stable than crypto. 401K flows help too. If this liquidity drain keeps going longer, stocks will get hit hard too.
However...
As soon as the gov shutdown ends, the Treasury begins spending $250bn to $350bn in a couple of months. QT ends and the balance sheet technically expands.
The Dollar will likely begin to weaken again as liquidity begins to flow. Tariff negiotiations will have largely been completed, removing uncertainty
Ongoing bill issuance increases, adding more liquidity via bank balance sheets and money market funds (and stable coins).
Ongoing rate cuts (we will have economic weakness from the shutdown that will add to the evidence that rates need to come lower but no, there is no recession)..
SLR changes free up more of the banks balance sheets allowing for credit expansion.
The CLARITY ACT will get passed, giving the crypto regs so deserately needed for large scale adoption by banks, asset managers and businesses overall.
The Big Beautiful Bill then kicks in to goose the economy into the midterms. The entire system is now being geared toward a strong economy and strong market in 2026 for these elections.
China will continue to expand its balance sheet. Japan will work to strenghten the Yen, and also fiscally stimulate.
The ISM will rise as rates fall and tarrif uncertainty drops away.
You just need to get through the Window of Pain and The Liquidity Flood lies ahead.
Always remember the Dont Fuck This Up rules...and wait out the volatility. Drawdowns like this are common place in bull markets and their job is to test your faith.
BTFD if you can.
td:dr - When this number goes up, all number go up.
The $META investment thesis is more simple than it looks.
Just this year Zuck:
- Spent Billions on Coders
- Dropped the Ray Ban Displays (half-baked)
- Launched a hated AI video scroller (vibes)
The market doesn't know what to make of it.
But we do 👀
What if your country's wealth was in your hands? 🤔
...(or your digital wallet)
#YuTingim
Imagine if citizens held digital tokens representing their share of national resources — like "National Wealth Tokens".
✅ Earn passive income through dividends from sovereign wealth fund (SWF) profits.
✅ Gain a direct financial stake in national prosperity.
✅ Inspire government accountability, as citizens now own a visible slice of the pie.
A blockchain-powered SWF ensures public wealth stays in public hands — empowering citizens and transforming governance in resource-rich nations. 🌍💰 #Blockchain #DigitalSovereignty #WealthForAll
🚨 The US is now adding #Bitcoin to its strategic reserve.
💭 Should South Pacific nations follow suit?
Strategic reserves are designed to safeguard nations against crises. Traditionally filled with oil, gold, or essential commodities, the inclusion of Bitcoin reflects its evolving role as a vital asset. Here's why Bitcoin aligns with the five key pillars of a strategic reserve:
1️⃣ Economic Stability: Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million coins makes it resistant to inflation. While fiat currencies can be endlessly printed, Bitcoin’s scarcity protects its value, potentially making it a powerful hedge against economic instability.
2️⃣ National Security: Unlike traditional reserves that can be frozen or seized during geopolitical tensions, Bitcoin exists beyond centralised control. By adding Bitcoin to its reserves, the US gains access to an asset that can't be easily restricted by foreign powers.
3️⃣ Disaster Preparedness: In times of crisis, access to liquid and secure assets is vital. Bitcoin’s digital nature allows for fast, borderless transactions, giving governments flexibility to mobilise funds quickly when responding to emergencies.
4️⃣ Energy Security: Bitcoin mining can stabilise energy grids by consuming excess power during low demand periods and shutting off during peak times. By aligning reserves with Bitcoin, energy infrastructure could benefit from this balancing effect.
5️⃣ Market Influence: As Bitcoin gains recognition as a global asset class, nations that accumulate it gain financial leverage. Early adopters could secure a stronger position in future economic systems shaped by digital assets.
For smaller economies, Bitcoin could offer a path to financial resilience. By holding an asset that’s decentralised, deflationary, and accessible across borders, South Pacific nations may enhance their economic security and sovereignty.
🌍 Is it time for the region to rethink its reserve strategy and embrace #Bitcoin #DigitalSovereignty #CryptoEconomy #FutureOfFinance
#YuTingim
💰 The Illusion of Equal Work 💰
Fiat currency is a government decree—an obligation that citizens must earn, transact, and pay taxes using a state-issued currency. An Australian earns in AUD, a Papua New Guinean in PGK, a Singaporean in SGD, and an American in USD.
1⃣
8 hours of labor in one country ≠ 8 hours in another. Nominal wages are just numbers—what truly matters is purchasing power. Your paycheck’s value is determined by countries economic conditions. 🌍💸
2⃣
Countries with weaker currencies often face a debt trap, borrowing in stronger ones like the USD. This means while you work hard at home, your nation is burdened by obligations in a currency that holds more power globally. 💳⚖️
3⃣
This isn’t just abstract economics—it’s about global inequality. Same effort, different rewards. Two people doing similar work may experience vastly different standards of living simply because of where they live. 🔄🌐
4⃣
The question remains: Shouldn’t the value of labor be measured by true human effort rather than arbitrary exchange rates? 🤔
Today, K1.00 PNG kina is only worth almost $0.25 USD.... 4 x less.
It’s time to rethink economic fairness, where policies ensure that the worth of one’s time isn’t diminished by global currency dynamics.
Countries need to strengthen their currencies, can they do this holding Bitcoin?
#EconomicJustice #GlobalInequality #Bitcoin #Fiat
🇵🇬 Papua New Guinea’s Sustainable Development Program (PNGSDP) is a shining example of turning extractive industry profits into sustainable growth! 💰🏡 Established in 2001, PNGSDP invests in projects that uplift communities, ensuring that resource wealth benefits all Papua New Guineans.
Institutions like PNGSDP are crucial for transforming natural resource revenues into lasting prosperity. By focusing on sustainable development, they ensure that the wealth from our land fuels progress and well-being for generations to come.
#Yutingim
#SovereignWealthFund #SustainableDevelopment #PNG #CommunityEmpowerment
🇵🇬🇦🇺Hosting 15 Papua New Guinean MPs for an Executive Leadership Retreat is a commendable initiative! 🌟 Reflecting on the multifaceted challenges they face - such as economic inequality, environmental concerns, and social issues - is crucial. Emphasising good governance, transparency, and accountability is key to fostering public trust and driving sustainable development. By upholding these principles, leaders can pave the way for a brighter future. The key question is will these retreats actually make a difference?! 🙏
The recent closure of the Laiagam-Porgera road, resulting from landowners digging a trench to block access, highlights escalating tensions in the region. This action was reportedly in response to the deaths of two individuals near the Porgera Mine, events not covered by the existing peace agreement with the Sakar clan.
Such incidents underscore the pressing need for comprehensive engagement from all stakeholders in Papua New Guinea’s extractive industries. While corporate operators bear significant responsibility, entities like the Mineral Resources Development Company (MRDC) also play pivotal roles. These organisations manage substantial revenues from the sector, with MRDC overseeing landowner funds.
Their involvement is crucial in addressing community grievances, ensuring transparent benefit distribution, and fostering sustainable development. Collaborative efforts among these institutions can lead to more effective conflict resolution and equitable resource management, ultimately contributing to the nation’s stability and prosperity.
For a visual overview of the situation, you can watch the Post Courier’s coverage of the Laiagam road closure:
https://t.co/HpocdlhxeO
Should Papua New Guinea and other South Pacific nations start buying #Bitcoin like El Salvador and other countries? Could it be a game-changer for financial inclusion, remittances, and sovereignty? Vote below! #Crypto#SouthPacific#BitcoinAdoption
🐸☕️Not saying the 🇵🇬 PNG central bank will....... but a 'Digital Kina' still carries a high risk of corruption and the potential for misuse remains significant.
Here's how..
▫️Centralised Control = Potential for Manipulation
Hyperledger Iroha (the underlying blockchain) is permissioned, meaning only approved entities (e.g., the central bank and designated financial institutions) control the ledger.
Unlike a decentralised blockchain (e.g., Bitcoin or Ethereum), governments or central banks can modify, freeze, or censor transactions if they wanted to.
If corrupt officials control the ledger, they can alter records, create fake transactions, or erase evidence of fraud.
🔎 Risk Example: A corrupt government could erase an audit trail of embezzled funds or create false transactions to justify missing money.
▫️ Transaction Censorship & Selective Freezing
Because Hyperledger Iroha allows for transaction validation by a centralised authority, it can be used to selectively block or censor transactions.
Dissenters, opposition politicians, or investigative journalists could have their funds frozen or revoked.
The government could also prevent NGOs or political opponents from receiving donations.
🚫 Risk Example: A government official accused of corruption could freeze a whistleblower’s CBDC wallet to prevent them from accessing funds.
▫️Lack of Public Scrutiny & Transparency
Permissioned blockchains do not allow public verification, unlike Bitcoin or Ethereum, where anyone can audit transactions.
This means only the central bank and approved entities can verify transactions, creating a black box where manipulation can occur without public oversight.
While internal audits may exist, corrupt officials could override them or manipulate reports.
📊 Risk Example: The central bank could secretly print more CBDC (inflationary policy) without public knowledge, causing economic instability.
▫️Insider Corruption & Collusion
A small group of approved validators (banks, financial institutions, or government agencies) control transaction processing.
If these entities collude, they could approve fraudulent transactions, divert funds, or manipulate financial data.
This problem is worse than traditional fiat, where at least multiple financial institutions compete and prevent unilateral control.
💼 Risk Example: A corrupt central bank official partners with local banks to divert CBDC funds to shell companies, hiding the transactions from the public.
▫️Surveillance & Political Abuse
CBDCs on permissioned chains allow for total transaction surveillance, which can be misused for political targeting or oppression.
Governments can track and control spending in real time, preventing individuals from buying goods/services deemed undesirable.
Unlike Bitcoin, where transactions can be private, a CBDC on Hyperledger Iroha can record and restrict purchases.
🛑 Risk Example: In an authoritarian regime, citizens who protest could have their CBDC wallets deactivated, leaving them unable to buy food or travel.
▫️No Immutable Protection Against Fraud
Bitcoin & Ethereum have immutable ledgers, meaning transactions cannot be altered or reversed.
Hyperledger Iroha allows central authorities to reverse transactions, which is useful for fraud prevention but also enables corruption.
If corrupt insiders exploit this feature, they could reverse payments to steal funds.
🔄 Risk Example: A fraudulent official could divert government payments to their own account and later reverse transactions to cover their tracks.
#YuTingim
We must have clear legislation and strong civil institutions that allow the public to keep the central bank and government accountable
We hope blockchain technology, and its decentralised principles prevail.
#CBDC #AntiCorruption #PapuaNewGuinea #Blockchain #Hyperledger #FinancialManagement
🚨 CBDC Alert! 🚨
Earlier this year, Bank of Papua New Guinea announced major progress towards launching the 🇵🇬 Digital Kina—a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC).
But let’s pause for a second... 🤔 Are we just turning fiat currencies—already flawed by design—into mere lines of code?
#YuTingim 💭
Physical kina required minting, producing actual coins & notes. A Digital Kina, however, would just be code—making it effortlessly easy to expand the money supply.
⚠️ More money supply = inflation = devaluation.
🔹What is the Fiat Standard?
The Fiat Standard refers to a monetary system where a country's currency is not backed by a physical commodity (like gold or silver) but instead derives its value from government decree (or "fiat"). The central bank controls the supply of money, and its value is based on public trust, economic policy, and market forces rather than a fixed asset.
🔹Which Countries Use the Fiat Standard?
▫️Almost all modern economies use a fiat currency system, where central banks (like the US Federal Reserve, the Reserve Bank of Australia, or the Bank of Papua New Guinea) control money supply through monetary policy.
▫️Examples: The US dollar (USD), Australian dollar (AUD), Papua New Guinean kina (PGK), Japanese yen (JPY), and British pound (GBP) are all fiat currencies.
🔹Key Characteristics of Fiat Money
▫️No intrinsic value: Unlike gold or silver-backed currency, fiat money has value only because people accept it in exchange for goods and services.
▫️Inflation risk: Since governments can print more money, excessive printing can lead to inflation or hyperinflation.
▫️Centralised control: Central banks control interest rates, money supply, and inflation through policy decisions.
🔹The Alternative: Hard Money or Commodity-Backed Systems
▫️Before the 1971 Nixon Shock ( US President Richard Nixon), many countries operated on the gold standard, meaning their currency was redeemable for a fixed amount of gold.
▫️Bitcoin is a new form of hard money or a digital alternative to fiat. No one can simply mint/print Bitcoin, it must be mined using large computational power.
⁉️ So, if fiat was already a debt trap, will a Digital Kina be any different? Or will it simply digitise financial control?
#CBDC #DigitalKina #FiatVsCrypto
🇵🇬The Papua New Guinea Sovereign Wealth Fund (SWF) is managed by a 7-member Board: 6 appointed by a high-level committee & the Treasury Minister.
🤔Should the public be able to see how their SWF is being managed?
‼️Absolutely‼️
🚨 The PNG Sovereign Wealth Fund (SWF) plays a crucial role in managing the nation's wealth. But could its transparency and accountability be enhanced?
🔗Enter blockchain technology
This is how a blockchain could transform the SWF.
🔍 Why Blockchain? At its core, blockchain is a distributed ledger that records transactions transparently, immutably, and securely across a network. This means once data is recorded, it cannot be altered or hidden without consensus. #Transparency #Trust
📚 Transparency: A blockchain-based SWF would allow the public to verify how funds are allocated and managed in real-time. Every transaction would be recorded on an open ledger, ensuring trustless accountability—no single party can manipulate the records. #OpenData
🔒 Security: Blockchains use cryptography to secure data, protecting the SWF from fraud or unauthorized access. This ensures that only valid transactions are added to the ledger, enhancing the integrity of the fund's management. #SecureFinance
🤝 Decentralisation: Instead of relying on a single institution, a blockchain distributes control across multiple nodes (or stakeholders). This reduces the risk of corruption and centralizes power, fostering a more democratic governance structure. #DecentralisedGovernance
⚡️ Efficiency: Blockchain can streamline operations by automating processes through smart contracts. For example, fund disbursements can be executed automatically when certain conditions are met, reducing bureaucratic delays and human error. #Efficiency #Innovation
🌍 Global Standards: Using blockchain aligns PNG's SWF with global best practices in financial transparency. This could attract more foreign investment, as it demonstrates a commitment to accountability and innovation. #Investment #FutureProof
#YuTingim
🌐There now exists a technology that can reverse the eroded public trust of financial management in PNG.
Blockchain offers something new - wanpla nupla tingiting - a system where transparency is not a promise but a mathematical certainty—where power is decentralised, records are immutable, and accountability is enforced not by fragile institutions but by code itself.
#PapuaNewGuinea #SovereignWealthFund #blockchian
Moral decay begins to erode social discourse and like a virus, leads to societal decay.
How do we combat this?
Revive the traditional values of community, identity and humility.
Social media can easily heighten our egos... #Checkyourself
🌿🚫 The Frieda River Copper-Gold Project commits to no riverine waste disposal, safeguarding the Sepik River ecosystem. By constructing a 191m-high dam, the project ensures #responsible waste management and hydroelectric power generation. To amplify #sustainable benefits, channeling a portion of the project’s revenue into Papua New Guinea’s Sovereign Wealth Fund is essential, securing long-term prosperity for future generations. #SustainableMining #EcoFriendly #FutureInvestment #YuTingim #SWF
🚨 Remember, elected officials like Prime Ministers and Ministers are servants of the people in a democracy.
#YuTingim
- How well has your government served you?
- Are you able to save money and work towards financial security?
- Do you have access to basic services like:
🏥Hospitals
🏫Schools,
🚌Transport
🤔Are you convinced that your government is efficient and operates with integrity?
👥SOMEONE in the chain of government interferes with resource allocation. Causing communities and citizens to go un-serviced and endure hardship.
👀 This happens because of human greed, dishonesty, and self-interest. Mismanagement is inevitable with human control over finances.
🛑 But what if we removed human error?
💡 Enter #Blockchain.
📜 Smart Contracts automate fund allocation.
🔍 Transactions are transparent and auditable.
🔒 Immutable ledgers prevent tampering.
🌍 Resources go directly where needed, eliminating middlemen and corruption.
It's time for technology that guarantees accountability over outdated trust systems.
The future is code, not corruption.
#YuTingim #DOGE #Blockchian #Transparency #Decentralization #CorruptionFreeFuture