My trade card if anyone wants it:
If HTF is up → only hunt longs.
If HTF is down → only hunt shorts.
If HTF is sideways → fade edges, do not chase.
If LTF fights HTF → scalp only or skip.
CHECK OTHER MARKETS
If DXY is ripping → do not force crypto longs.
If NQ/SPX are dumping → no hero longs.
If gold is screaming risk-off → cut size or wait.
If BTC.D is ripping → alts second, BTC first.
SMAs (20 / 50 / 200)
If stacked up and rising → buy dips, do not fade.
If stacked down and falling → sell rallies, do not fade.
If flat/tangled → treat as range, use VP.
If price is stretched from 20/50 → do not chase.
CHECK VOLUME PROFILE: (Indicator is Fixed Range Volume Profile)
If at VAL/HVN/POC in a range → look long.
If at VAH/HVN/POC in a range → look short.
If mid-range with no node → no trade.
If VP + SMA line up → A-grade level.
CHECK INTERNALS:
If funding/OI are crowded with you → dangerous, size down.
If spot/CVD fights you → skip.
If volume is dead → skip.
If RSI is already spent against the fade → skip.
CHECK STRUCTURE: (EWT/ TREND LINES/ PATTERNS in that order)
If impulsive with trend → continuation only.
If corrective → wait for pullback to finish.
If no clean invalidation → no trade.
If no liquidity reason to be here → weak, usually skip.
TAKE THE TRADE IF:
Regime, SMAs, and other markets agree.
Price is at a real VP level, not mid-chop.
Internals are not screaming against you.
You have a structural stop.
R:R from that stop is acceptable.
A trigger prints: reject wick, absorption, SMT, displacement, failed break.
ABANDON / DO NOT TAKE IF:
HTF trend is against the idea.
DXY/NQ are violently against you.
SMAs are stacked against the trade.
You are mid-range with no level.
Funding/OI/spot are crowded against you.
Volume dies into the level.
The “level” is only a trendline you forced.
No trigger prints.
Stop would be arbitrary.
R:R is garbage.
You already hit daily loss limit.
You are revenge trading, late, or sizing from hope.
ONCE IN THE TRADE, KILL IT IF:
HTF structure breaks against you.
Price accepts beyond the VP node instead of rejecting it.
Internals flip hard against you (spot dump/bid, OI unwind, CVD flip).
Other markets break your thesis (DXY/NQ reversal against the trade).
Your invalidation prints. No “give it room.”
Thesis is gone even if P/L is not. Flatten.
@yeschefcrypto@GlitchCapital@noroktrade
Zooming WAY out here on $CRV. Clearing my charts. Fresh TA.
Now, I see two scenarios:
1) We hold bullish structure and either .283 holds or our lower levels hold and we reverse and continue towards the upper trend line of our macro downtrend (to then enter price discovery)/ Levels on chart.
2) We make a new low, confirm the bottom and resume on time to the traditional bitcoin:native 4 year cycle model that has BTC bottoming in October.
Image 1: Our macro POC (entire price history point of control (highest transacted level on the chart) is .2871. This is a strong area of support. Hold and reverse
Image 2: New low/ spring and continue
Image 3: Low time frame/ What I am looking for in the short term.
@WatcherGuru Could it be because a real estate/ business owner/ entreprenuer is the president? And policiticians are just big dumb idiots good at acrueing power (so, not traders?).. Idiocracy.
Still accurate. ethereum:0xd533a949740bb3306d119cc777fa900ba034cd52
I want to see a strong reversal today (unlikely if rate hikes) OR .28 taken. This would like up with the btc pairing and a reversal level there.
@Tradermayne Man, right? 'looks in mirror, sees skinny homeless man with pot belly',,, Its wild how hard it is to make gains and then how quickly they evaporate.
BREAKING NOW THAT CLARITY HAS FAILED
-No retail protection from crypto exchanges shutting down
-Yield on stablecoins allowed
-Federal officers can partake in crypto, including the president
-Law engorcement cant do their job
It's literally crime season, and we will print
And this is the get f*cked version that still hits the bitcoin:native 4 year cycle perfectly and makes a higher low. White line is the lower trend line of the entire bull move up from 2017. bitcoin:native
By the way: if the vote today fails, then the bills most likely dies. However that doesn't mean that crypto is fucked.
Without CLARITY, the SEC and CFTC (which are currently pro crypto) will continue to regulate crypto.
It's just that the bill would have been more comprehensive and would have set certain things in stone, while the next chairs of the SEC & CFTC could undo a lot of the work that the current pro crypto chairs are doing.
My call ( probably eat this )..
Clarity act cloture passes.
$BTC gets its 5th of 1. ( 87-100k)
$CRV taps .52
Alts like $HBAR catch up/ complete macro W1 moves.
FED interest rates tomorrow ( meaning this could happen fast) or midterm election FUD gives us our macro W2 )