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1U = 1% Bankroll
3/10/2022: CZR Boost
Maryland Win & Over 139.5 Points @ +350
Risk: 1U
Lines moving in favor of the boost, calculated this morning basically right at fair, now, sitting at +5.71%. Playing it as I think it could get reduced
Like it from a basketball standpoint personally
3/10/2022: CZR Boost
Iowa State Win & O125.5 Total Points
Risk: 1U
Depending on book and calculation, getting anywhere from 3% to 10% or more. I personally prefer to use Pinnacle, so tracking at +9.16%.
Playing the EV not the bet, I don't really like underlying bet.
3/10/2022: DK Boost
8+ Total goals scored in Avalanche v Hurricanes @ +265
Risk: 2U
Still kind of early, but getting +7.11% to pinnacle on the line.
Hockey side of things, Canes playing their backup goalie in the pipes, and Avs coming off loss to the Devils
3/5/2022 Recap:
0-4 (0%)
-5U (-$31.24)
-100% Daily ROI
This wasn't a very good day. Sorry I haven't been posting, work and life have been busy. Back at it starting today. Tracking is fully up to date, wanted to get that completed before posting any new plays
3/4/2022: CZR Boost (for 3/5/2022)
Jorge Masvidal Win by KO/TKO/DQ vs Colby Covington @ +575
Risk: 1U
This one is pretty out of line pricing wise, getting about +20% EV, but I don't bet a ton of MMA to know the variability of those lines. Think it gets reduced close to +450
3/5/2022: CZR Boost
Bruins, Canucks, and Sharks All Win @ +1100
Risk: 2U
Currently getting +6.84% EV to pinnacle. Still early and lines could move but going to go ahead and jump on the value. Might get reduced to +1000 sooner rather than later
3/5/2022: CZR Boost
Mo Salah First Goal Scorer v West Ham @ +300
Risk: 1U
Not entirely sure how to calculate fair odds on something like this, but other books are pricing between +260 and +280 creating the value. Mo is also top goal scorer and takes PKs for the heavy favorite.
3/4/2022: CZR Boost (for 3/5/2022)
Jorge Masvidal Win by KO/TKO/DQ vs Colby Covington @ +575
Risk: 1U
This one is pretty out of line pricing wise, getting about +20% EV, but I don't bet a ton of MMA to know the variability of those lines. Think it gets reduced close to +450
3/5/2022: CZR Boost
Bruins, Canucks, and Sharks All Win @ +1100
Risk: 2U
Currently getting +6.84% EV to pinnacle. Still early and lines could move but going to go ahead and jump on the value. Might get reduced to +1000 sooner rather than later
3/5/2022: CZR Boost
Mo Salah First Goal Scorer v West Ham @ +300
Risk: 1U
Not entirely sure how to calculate fair odds on something like this, but other books are pricing between +260 and +280 creating the value. Mo is also top goal scorer and takes PKs for the heavy favorite.
3/4/2022: CZR Boost
Pistons, Hawks, and Pelicans all Win @ +100
Risk: 3U
This will probably get reduced shortly, I was waiting for pinnacle lines to come out and it is sitting on +14% EV right now.
Domestic books were pricing this around +750 pre-pinnacle lines.
3/4/2022: MGM Lions Boost:
Giannis 35+ Points and Bucks to Win @ +400
Risk: 2U
Getting about +6% EV, but did have to do calculation to figure out takeback for Giannis points. Will recalculate once FD alt lines are out.
3/4/2022: MGM Premade Parlay
Bucks, Pelicans, and Timberwolves all to Win @ +425
Risk: 1U
Getting about .74% when the bet was placed, so essentially priced right at fair odds
This one I think you could probably wait to see how lines settle, don't think it will get reduced
3/4/2022: CZR Boost
Pistons, Hawks, and Pelicans all Win @ +100
Risk: 3U
This will probably get reduced shortly, I was waiting for pinnacle lines to come out and it is sitting on +14% EV right now.
Domestic books were pricing this around +750 pre-pinnacle lines.