@fireworkstrades Think things likely slow down. Going to be REAL hard to make new highs with rates high and consensus now expecting them to stay high. Sideways action. Im expecting a lot of chop next few weeks. But I do think near term lows are in, so I’ll hold through.
Starting an RTY position. 2005. The main trade is a break of 2020. Stop below 1990. On break of 2020 early next week I will 4x the position size.
Willing to leverage up a bit more as this is a smaller risk, smaller reward, short term trade.
Updated plan: stop out below recent lows. Add (up to 2 more tranches) on dips after I see a close over the 50 day. In the mean time I’ve got 75% notional from RTY futs and 75% in individual stocks. So that’s enough equity exposure for now.
@fireworkstrades Today you have the balls. I’m afraid my buying would be FOMO. So I’m going to stick with the tranches I have. I’m up like 4% today already.
@fireworkstrades RTY really popped 20 pts since that tweet? Thats insane. I’m scared to pull the trigger. Think I’m just riding the three tranches. And this is an emotional decision which means it’s likely wrong and RTY keeps going.
It is a well known law of the trading universe that your biggest losing days are clustered with your biggest winners. I understand the logic of why; it’s still annoying.
(Very red today; coming off of two of my best weeks ever).
Bought another tranche $NQ 17544.
$MSFT and $GOOGL earnings tomorrow. Also CPI. very bullish near term price action. Going under the premise that every dip gets bought.
For a second it looked like we were goin to do what I thought impossible ahead of $MSFT and $GOOGL tonight: close green.
This selloff seals the impossibility today.
I really want to add now. But I have to remind myself that most people don’t trade futures. So their panic comes at the open.
We are also right at my average buy price.
My premise is still every dip gets bought aggressively. But today and tomorrow will definitely test that.
@fireworkstrades Easier to do when my performance figures are so good the last few years and so far year to date.
The S&P could drop 50% from here with my having 125% exposure and I’d still be outperforming YTD. So I’ve got room to work. And I’ve always found pressing advantage works best.