๐จ BREAKING: THE WORST HARDWARE WALLET HACK IN BITCOIN HISTORY!!!
$38M drained from 500 cold wallets in 25 minutes. The attacker never touched a single device.
If you are a Coldcard Mk3 owner, move your coins today.
Quick version of what happened:
594 BTC drained from ~500 air-gapped wallets in 25 minutes. These wallets never touched the internet. Turns out another 488 BTC was stolen earlier the same way and nobody noticed. Over 1,000 BTC gone.
And the attacker never hacked a single device.
A firmware bug from 2021 made the Mk3 skip its randomness chip when creating seeds. So your "random" 24 words were basically generated from the device clock and how fast you pressed buttons.
One developer literally predicted his own seed phrase by counting his button presses during setup.
Think about that. Life savings protected by button timing.
The attacker figured this out, precomputed the keys, then sat on them for 5 years waiting for the wallets to fill up. Then took everything in one shot.
And the uncomfortable part:
This code was open source the whole time. Public repo, "thousands of eyes," don't trust verify, all of it. The bug sat there for 5 years and nobody looked.
If your seed came out of a black box you never checked, you don't really own your Bitcoin. You're holding it until someone smarter takes it.
(If you used a passphrase or dice rolls you're fine. Mk4, Mk5, Q, Ledger, Trezor also fine. And watch out for fake "support" accounts in your DMs right now, they're circling.)
This is the reason why we are outperforming the markets together. Save this, and you'll be rich during bull markets, and you'll survive during bear markets.
- At market bottoms, financials and tech lead.
- At the top, energy and staples take over.
- In bear markets, healthcare and utilities outperform.
My cycle repeats every time.
Knowing where you are in my cycle tells you exactly where to be overweight.
Save this. Study it. Use it.
๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐น๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ธ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ ๐ ๐ข๐๐ป๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฑ. ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ข๐ป๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ฒ-๐๐บ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ด๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐๐ ๐ช๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ต ๐ฎ ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ผ๐๐ ๐๐ผ๐ผ๐ธ
I owned BlackBerry years ago, back when the keyboard and BBM made it the dominant smartphone
Then the iPhone happened
$BB fell for 10 years
So when BB showed up on my screeners again, up 63% over the past year and being discussed alongside NVIDIA and physical AI, I looked closely. It is not the same company. The smartphone business is gone. What is left is a software company and the re rating is built on something real
Here is the case and the one thing you need to understand before buying it
๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐บ๐ฝ๐ฎ๐ป๐ ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐น๐ฒ๐ณ๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐ฎ ๐๐ผ๐ณ๐๐๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ฏ๐๐๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ๐๐
After the December 2024 Cylance divestiture (sold to Arctic Wolf), BlackBerry is a software only company with three segments
โซ๏ธ ๐ค๐ก๐ซ: an embedded operating system and hypervisor for safety critical systems. It runs inside cars and increasingly robots, medical devices, and industrial machines. This is the asset that matters
โซ๏ธ ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐บ๐บ๐๐ป๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐: encrypted messaging, critical event management (AtHoc) and endpoint management sold to governments and regulated enterprises
โซ๏ธ ๐๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด: a small, high margin patent business
In year ended February 2026 revenue grew 3% for the full year and 10% in Q4, with the strongest GAAP profitability in nearly four years and positive operating cash flow. The decade of transition is over
๐ค๐ก๐ซ ๐ถ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ต๐ผ๐น๐ฒ ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐๐ถ๐, ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฝ๐ผ๐ถ๐ป๐
The most important thing to understand about BlackBerry today: QNX is the entire investment case. Strip everything else away and you are making one bet on one division. Accept that and you understand the risk because QNX is what drives this stock. Nothing else moves the needle
The good news is that QNX is a strong business
โซ๏ธ Record Q4 revenue of $78.7M, up 20% year over year
โซ๏ธ An estimated 38% share of the automotive operating system market the safety critical layer that runs braking, steering, and chassis systems
โซ๏ธ A royalty backlog of $950M, revenue effectively pre booked as design wins move into production
โซ๏ธ Customers including Mercedes-Benz, BMW, Volvo, and Leap Motor, where QNX is the foundational OS for the D19 EV SUV that entered mass production in April 2026
In April 2026, QNX expanded its NVIDIA partnership, integrating QNX OS for Safety 8.0 with NVIDIA's IGX Thor platform. This is the key part. The deal extends QNX beyond cars into robotics, medical systems, and industrial automation. The same safety certified foundation now targets autonomous mobile robots, humanoids, and surgical robotics. The stock rose 13% on the day
That is the ๐ฝ๐ต๐๐๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐น ๐๐ angle. As AI moves from data centers into machines that operate in the real world, those machines need a real time operating system that will not fail. QNX is one of the few options with the safety certifications to do that job. It is not a chip play or an LLM play. It is the layer where AI meets the physical world
๐จ๐ป๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ค๐ก๐ซ ๐ถ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐, ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐๐ผ๐ ๐๐ป๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ธ
Secure Communications grew ARR just 5% year over year, and endpoint management is mature. Licensing is small. None of these will carry the company. When you buy BlackBerry, you are buying QNX with a few stable but slow growing segments attached. The backlog converts as vehicles get built, which ties QNX to the auto cycle. And Google's Android Automotive is winning the infotainment layer even as QNX holds the safety critical core
That is the risk: not that BlackBerry is broken, but that the outcome is concentrated. If QNX keeps converting its backlog, landing robotics and medical wins, and riding the physical AI trend, the stock works. If QNX stalls, there is no second engine. Once you accept that QNX is the only real play here, you understand the risk better than most people buying the headline
๐ ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฑ ๐ผ๐ป ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ฎ๐น๐๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป
At roughly $6.38, BB trades near 70x trailing earnings. That looks steep, but the number is distorted. The company only recently returned to consistent GAAP profitability, so the earnings base is small and the multiple is mechanically high. Forward measures tell a better story, around 30x EV/EBITDA with a FY27 free cash flow yield near 3%
It also helps to see where its peers trade. High growth AI software routinely carries premium multiples. CrowdStrike sits at a triple digit forward P/E, Datadog around 50 to 60x, and even Aptiv, a hardware heavy automotive supplier, trades near 34x. Against that backdrop, paying up for the one genuinely high growth, AI exposed asset inside BlackBerry is not unusual for the category. The market prices safety critical embedded software and AI software like growth, not like value, and QNX is being valued on the same logic. You are still paying a growth price for execution that has not fully happened yet, which is worth sizing for, but the multiple is in line with how the market treats this kind of business
๐ช๐ต๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐น๐ฒ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐ฎ ๐น๐ผ๐ป๐ด ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐บ ๐ต๐ผ๐น๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฟ
BlackBerry is no longer a falling knife or a meme. It is a software company with a well positioned asset in QNX and a real secular trend behind it. The re rating off the lows was not irrational
There is optionality on top of the core growth: a possible QNX spin out, or strategic interest from a partner like NVIDIA or a Tier1 supplier, either of which would re rate the stock. Management has guided to roughly $100M in FY27 operating cash flow, and the balance sheet supports continued investment and buybacks: $432M in cash and investments plus an active repurchase program, a cushion the old BlackBerry never had
For a long term holder, this is a name to own and build as QNX proves itself quarter by quarter. The company I held is gone. The one that replaced it has a single strong reason to own it, and that reason is QNX. Know that, and you know what you are buying
Not financial advice. I have a personal history with this ticker and a bias toward it. DYOR
RR2 Capital