$BTC
Video elaboration on BTC's macro bearmarket bottoming formation.
In this video I don't tell you what I want to happen for BTC, I tell and teach what NEEDS to happen in order for price to deliver macro bullish reversals.
I advice you guys to watch the entire video, take notes and be on the correct side of the market from a HTF expectational orderflow perspective.
Later I will write an in-depth post with different phases and potential playbooks within, but first I wanted to share my thoughts via video so every single one of you will understand the post better later on.
bitcoin:native update 3rd September 2026
These video updates are for educational purposes only and should never be considered as investment or trading advice. Always make your own trade plan based on your own system. Consult and expert before putting your capital at risk.
The bitcoin:native market is in a positive condition and that was sparked by the attempt to influence longer term rates, which led to a short-covering rally. That move has meant that the cycle configuration is currently positive and the underlying seems to be forming a period of consolidation, which is likely to result in a move to supply, which is around 84-85k.
A loss of the 1:1 on the local structure would be a warning of weakness and that would be the invalidation for the above. If you do not know the context, entry, exit and invalidation, then you should never enter a trade (imho).
The overall data we can extract from the bitcoin:native chart suggests that the highest probability is as set out on video.
As always, thanks to the few who consistently support the feed.
https://t.co/oQXDnf8MNQ
🚨 New BTC & Altcoins update is LIVE on @SpitfireTraders YouTube!👇
https://t.co/luU6WQmJfX
Today’s a quick one because we already charted a bunch of altcoins on Monday’s free Spitfire livestream.
After the recent push up, we’re waiting for our AOIs 🎯
Patience > chasing.
@gannwyck Retail usually fomo buying, at the moment they don’t believe the pump and are waiting for pullbacks give them enough big green candles until it is to much to resist to jump in and bye bye.
Also +1 for me, I don’t see Trump nuke the market before midterms.
Just my 2 cents
Understanding the T+7 trade.
When a crypto event hits,think Token2049, Singapore GP, halving parties, exchange anniversaries,
you’re not trading macro liquidity.
You’re trading hype.
Here’s how the rhythm flows:
T–14 → T–7 → Accumulation window.
Whales position early, insiders prepare liquidity.
T–7 → T0 → The front-run.
Price begins to climb into the event,not after.
They’re partying, celebrating, speculating on “what pumps next.”
T0 → T+7 → Exit phase.
The hype peaks during the event itself.
Everyone’s euphoric, influencers are posting, headlines are loud,
that’s when distribution begins.
The T+7 short is the hangover after the celebration.
Liquidity compresses, volume fades, and reality kicks back in.
Now contrast that with a macro event,
stimulus, QE, rate cut, bailout,
there, money takes time to hit the market.
That’s when the rhythm stretches:
T+45 → T+90 becomes the engineered exit.
So:
• Crypto events → fast hype, T+7 trade
• Macro events → delayed liquidity, T+45 trade
Different timelines.
Same cycle.
Learn the rhythm, and you’ll stop being the liquidity.
Life is actually pretty simple.
See problem.
Find solution.
Execute.
That’s Performance OS.
Yes, your nervous system matters.
Yes, sleep matters.
Yes, being stressed all day matters.
Yes, talent matters.
Talent is actually super nice.
But talent without hard work?
Good luck.
Because luck is what happens when hard work meets opportunity.
You don’t control when the opportunity comes.
You control whether you’re ready when it does.
That’s the whole game.
And then there is karma.
Karma is interesting because it has latency.
You can do stupid shit and think you got away with it.
You can scam people.
Lie.
Cut corners.
Treat people like shit.
And maybe nothing happens.
Today.
That’s where people get confused.
They think no immediate consequence means no consequence.
Wrong.
The longer karma takes to arrive, the harder it can hit.
Same thing in the other direction.
Work when nobody cares.
Build when nobody is watching.
Solve problems.
Execute.
Keep going.
Nothing.
Nothing.
Nothing.
Then opportunity knocks.
And suddenly everyone calls you lucky.
Funny how that works.
Performance OS isn’t about being perfect.
It’s about seeing.
Seeing the problem.
Seeing the opportunity.
Seeing your own bullshit.
And executing.
That’s also why I don’t really care what arena we’re talking about.
Sports.
Business.
Money.
People.
Life.
Guys, one mistake?
Doesn’t matter where.
I see it.
No comment.