HockeyWiz

Every shot. Every edge.
NHL analytics: xG, shot maps, win odds, power rankings and playoff projections for all 32 teams updated every night.
Formerly JetEffect

[HockeyWiz @HockeyWizData]

@JetsHubYT definitely is

[HockeyWiz @HockeyWizData]

Despite the early worry about goaltending, the #NHLJets problem isn’t in net.

Goaltending:
- .893 SV% (14th, league avg .885)

Offence: plenty of shots, not enough good ones
- 7th in unblocked attempts (33.7 a game)
- 25th in shot quality
- 29th in slot chances
- 23rd in share of shots from the inner slot (19.9%)

Defence: the middle is wide open
- 30th in share of shots allowed from the inner slot (24.2%)
- 29th in unblocked attempts allowed (35.4 a game)

At 5-on-5, that adds up to 46.2% of the expected goals (25th).

The power play (2nd) is keeping them afloat at 4-1-2.

The Jets need to own the middle of the ice: attack it with the puck, protect it without it. #NHL

[HockeyWiz @HockeyWizData]

@ScottBilleck Awful

[HockeyWiz @HockeyWizData]

@nlregiment Unreal.

[HockeyWiz @HockeyWizData]

https://t.co/QFQHh57qab

[HockeyWiz @HockeyWizData]

Tonight’s #NHL slate: 11 games

- Biggest favourite: #VegasBorn 71% vs #Flames
- Closest game: #SJSharks @ #Smashville (49-51)
- Most goals expected: #SeaKraken @ #GoBolts (6.5)
- Biggest edge: #TimeToHunt PP vs #Canucks (+22%)
- #NHLJets 57% vs #Blackhawks (proj. 3.20-2.80)

[HockeyWiz @HockeyWizData]

@JaniceOwen @BluGoldWhiteout ^^^

[HockeyWiz @HockeyWizData]

@NHLRussell Ken Holland.

[HockeyWiz @HockeyWizData]

@Robken1961 100% on the confidence.

- 95th percentile in puck winning
- 95th in driving play (+15 xG% on vs. off ice)
- 91st in high-danger shots

He is winning puck battles and getting to the net. Still isn't the fastest, but his mind is.

[HockeyWiz @HockeyWizData]

Cole Perfetti is off to a great start for the #NHLJets

- 8 points in 6 games (109 point pace)
- 2 game winners
- 18:38 a night TOI (up from under 16 minutes last season)

5 of his 8 points are on the power play, and he’s shooting at 31.3%. That part won’t last... but

[HockeyWiz @HockeyWizData]

@DailyFaceoff Screw him

[HockeyWiz @HockeyWizData]

@NotTheJoeMarino Why would Winnipeg want UPL now?

[HockeyWiz @HockeyWizData]

@mikemcintyrewpg This.

[HockeyWiz @HockeyWizData]

https://t.co/QFQHh56SkD

[HockeyWiz @HockeyWizData]

...his contract will

- $6M cap hit through 2031
- Market value: $7.88M
- +$16.9M in surplus over the deal

Among forwards paid like him, only Brandon Hagel and Jackson Blake are better value

WizValue grade: A

[HockeyWiz @HockeyWizData]

@TheFlank Thank god

[HockeyWiz @HockeyWizData]

https://t.co/8oFwm7k0mw

[HockeyWiz @HockeyWizData]

The #NHLJets aren’t short on shots (32.5 a game, 11th). They’re short on good ones (5v5, 6 GP)

- 17.9% from the inner slot (27th)
- Average shot distance 33 ft (26th)
- 41% from the faceoff circles, where they’re shooting 3.8%

When they get to the slot? 17.1%. *Go to the net*

[HockeyWiz @HockeyWizData]

The other end is the bigger problem

- 36.8 attempts allowed a game (30th), and 24.4% come from the inner slot (30th)

That’s 9 looks in tight every night, with opponents finishing at 16.7%

They keep teams out of the circles, but the front of the net is wide open

[HockeyWiz @HockeyWizData]

Matchup breakdown for #NHLJets vs MIN tonight

- MIN on the tail end of a B2B
- Pickard making his 1st start of the season

Who wins the former Oilers tandem duel?

WPG needs to protect the left circle hot zone

Edge: WPG (51%)

https://t.co/8oFwm7k0mw